Penn State
Model Outputs
2020-2021
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1264 (#103) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1366 (#72) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +34.1 (#54) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.1 (#576) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.294 (#71) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.324 (#46) | NetEff -6.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.542 (#57) | AdjNet +1.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.543 (#57) | AdjNet +1.5 |
2021 Schedule & Results
No games found for this season.
2021 Roster
No roster data available for this season.