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Penn State

Season: 2026 2024 2022
Also known as: Penn State Nittany Lions, Penn State
Program History

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1370 (#94) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1440 (#62) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +34.8 (#46) HCA +2.8
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -4.2 (#571) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.707 (#18) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.2 More → 0.636 (#18) NetEff +5.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.3 More → 0.838 (#16) AdjNet +14.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.4 More → 0.841 (#16) AdjNet +14.4

2018 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2018 Roster

No roster data available for this season.