Penn State
Model Outputs
2015-2016
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1416 (#91) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1457 (#62) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +34.1 (#55) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.9 (#580) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.101 (#96) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.115 (#77) | NetEff -18.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.317 (#86) | AdjNet -6.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.314 (#86) | AdjNet -6.7 |
2016 Schedule & Results
No games found for this season.
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.