Penn State
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1516 (#84) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1456 (#78) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +31.4 (#87) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.078 (#114) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.066 (#110) | AdjNet -22.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.063 (#110) | AdjNet -23.1 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-23 | vs | Penn State | L | 78 - 79 |
| 2003-11-26 | vs | Saint Francis (PA) | W | 67 - 58 |
| 2003-11-29 | @ | - | L | 64 - 67 |
| 2003-12-03 | vs | Penn State | W | 73 - 62 |
| 2003-12-10 | vs | Rutgers | W | 60 - 47 |
| 2003-12-20 | vs | St. Francis (NY) | L | 64 - 68 |
| 2003-12-28 | vs | Arkansas State | W | 73 - 61 |
| 2003-12-29 | @ | - | W | 82 - 63 |
| 2004-01-03 | vs | Penn State | W | 58 - 46 |
| 2004-01-07 | vs | Penn State | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2004-01-10 | vs | Penn State | W | 64 - 47 |
| 2004-01-14 | @ | - | W | 76 - 58 |
| 2004-01-21 | @ | - | W | 80 - 37 |
| 2004-01-24 | vs | Penn State | L | 59 - 69 |
| 2004-01-28 | vs | Penn State | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2004-01-31 | @ | - | W | 77 - 58 |
| 2004-02-04 | vs | Purdue | W | 62 - 47 |
| 2004-02-11 | vs | Penn State | L | 56 - 75 |
| 2004-02-14 | @ | - | W | 65 - 52 |
| 2004-02-18 | @ | - | W | 76 - 53 |
| 2004-02-21 | vs | Penn State | L | 58 - 66 |
| 2004-02-28 | vs | Penn State | L | 42 - 67 |
| 2004-03-03 | @ | - | W | 71 - 64 |
| 2004-03-06 | @ | - | W | 78 - 62 |
| 2004-03-11 | @ | - | L | 52 - 57 |
2004 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Jagla | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Marlon Smith | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Aaron Johnson | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Ben Luber | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Ndu Egekeze | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DeForrest Riley-Smith | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Rob Summers | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Brandon Cameron | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jason McDougald | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Kevin Fellows | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Rob Fletcher | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dan Adler | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG