Penn St.-Behrend
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1084 (#90) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1123 (#79) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.6 (#96) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.954 (#198) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.947 (#48) | NetEff +22.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.642 (#327) | AdjNet +5.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.643 (#326) | AdjNet +4.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.593 (#307) | AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 66.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | CWRU | W | 60 - 59 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Carnegie Mellon | L | 74 - 78 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | St. John Fisher | W | 84 - 60 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Chatham | L | 52 - 80 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Buffalo St. | W | 80 - 57 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Oberlin | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | SUNY Brockport | L | 62 - 83 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 93 - 62 |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | La Roche | W | 74 - 60 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Keuka | W | 88 - 50 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Altavilla | - | 10 | 27.8 | 15.1 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 13.5 | 6.9 | 205 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 41.5 | 23.7 | 78.9 | 1.03 | 49.8 | 44.8 |
| Rachel Majewski | - | 10 | 28.0 | 14.6 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 16.0 | 3.4 | - | - | - | 36.2 | 30.6 | 53.6 | - | 42.4 | 40.9 |
| Alaina Fabian | - | 2 | 28.5 | 14.5 | 10.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 13.5 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 40.0 | 75.0 | - | 44.9 | 37.0 |
| Madilyn Boyer | - | 10 | 28.3 | 11.0 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 10.0 | 9.3 | 155 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 41.0 | 20.0 | 80.8 | 0.34 | 49.4 | 44.5 |
| Alaina Fabin | - | 8 | 21.1 | 9.5 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 8.6 | 9.1 | 144 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 52.2 | 33.3 | 40.0 | 1.28 | 53.4 | 53.6 |
| Alexis Furyes | - | 10 | 25.4 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 4.9 | 11.2 | - | - | - | 55.1 | 0 | 39.1 | - | 53.3 | 55.1 |
| Rachel Kaulis | - | 10 | 17.9 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 5.7 | - | - | - | 48.9 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 51.3 | 48.9 |
| Julia Balaski | - | 10 | 17.3 | 4.8 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 46 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 32.3 | 20.0 | 19.0 | 0.6 | 33.7 | 35.5 |
| Emma Marstellar | - | 9 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | -22 | -1.0 | -2.8 | 36.4 | 60.0 | 33.3 | 0.27 | 47.7 | 50.0 |
| Anna Harpst | - | 10 | 12.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 16.0 | 12.5 | 100.0 | - | 23.2 | 20.0 |
| Chloe Yazembiak | - | 9 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 | -8 | -0.4 | -3.9 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.16 | 37.0 | 20.0 |
| Addy Landowski | - | 9 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 23 | 1.1 | 5.4 | 37.5 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.09 | 45.0 | 43.8 |
| Amber Carr | - | 9 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0 | 0 | - | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Lilly Palladino | - | 9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | -15 | -0.7 | -1.8 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.46 | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Ella Garrity | - | 9 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | -28 | -1.5 | -5.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.33 | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| Jillian Soder | - | 9 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | -25 | -1.6 | -7.6 | 16.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -0.46 | 29.1 | 25.0 |
| Lexi Moore | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG