Penn St. Harrisburg
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 887 (#421) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 871 (#395) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.4 (#314) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.537 (#435) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.483 (#245) | NetEff -0.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.094 (#552) | AdjNet -19.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.080 (#552) | AdjNet -20.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.249 (#544) | AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 68.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Carpenter | - | 27 | 35.2 | 19.3 | 10.5 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 11.6 | 20.3 | 31 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 58.3 | 18.2 | 83.5 | 0.59 | 66.3 | 59.0 |
| Mikayla Coleman | - | 26 | 32.3 | 13.9 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 13.4 | 3.0 | -60 | -1.8 | -1.9 | 35.0 | 32.4 | 84.3 | -0.38 | 47.7 | 43.4 |
| Giahny Correa | - | 23 | 24.3 | 9.0 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 9.9 | 1.8 | 51 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 32.6 | 24.1 | 70.2 | 0.74 | 41.3 | 37.0 |
| Ali Lister | - | 27 | 34.9 | 9.0 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 5.2 | 8.0 | 8.7 | 55 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 35.9 | 22.6 | 80.4 | 0.77 | 47.0 | 38.7 |
| Sam Shaak | - | 27 | 24.1 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 4.4 | 6.1 | 35 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 42.0 | 32.9 | 83.3 | 0.68 | 54.4 | 51.7 |
| Norma Thornhill | - | 4 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 33.3 | 75.0 | - | 73.3 | 64.3 |
| Lauren Moffatt | - | 27 | 24.0 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 4.2 | 4.8 | -65 | -1.9 | -2.6 | 34.5 | 30.0 | 67.7 | -0.7 | 45.0 | 41.2 |
| Norma Thornbill | - | 1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Meghan Sholley | - | 20 | 7.0 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 18 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 28.6 | 26.9 | 66.7 | 0.22 | 42.4 | 38.6 |
| Allison Metzgar | - | 22 | 11.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.6 | -1.0 | -16 | -0.7 | -1.2 | 14.0 | 12.2 | 25.0 | -0.61 | 19.6 | 19.3 |
| Jp Ferguson | - | 15 | 6.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 86 | 2.9 | 7.7 | 36.4 | 14.3 | 75.0 | 0.8 | 47.0 | 40.9 |
| Molli Hogbin | - | 15 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 18 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 27.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.36 | 26.5 | 27.8 |
| Nicole Hernandez | - | 25 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | -24 | -0.8 | -1.9 | 30.4 | 28.6 | 0 | -0.01 | 34.8 | 34.8 |
| Malorie Eslick | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG