Penn College
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 748 (#630) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 715 (#634) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 805 (#753) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -25.3 (#496) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -25.6 (#730) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.315 (#582) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.116 (#56) | NetEff -17.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.045 (#711) | AdjNet -26.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.042 (#711) | AdjNet -26.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.138 (#710) | AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 89.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.184 (#748) | AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 86.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.111 (#742) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.114 (#745) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 712 (#611) | RD 103 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Rowan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | King's (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-10 | @ | Penn St.-Hazleton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Muhlenberg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Keuka | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Penn St.-Altoona | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Lebanon Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Penn St.-Mont Alto | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Penn St.-Abington | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-05 | @ | Elmira | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Alfred | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Eastern Conn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Wesleyan (CT) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Notre Dame (MD) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Keystone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Wilson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Penn St.-Berks | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Penn St. Harrisburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Lancaster Bible | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | St. Mary's (MD) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Penn St. Brandywine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Valley Forge | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Cairn | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baskerville | - | 1 | 33.0 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 31.0 | -87 | -4.8 | -37.6 | 55.6 | 100.0 | 78.6 | -1.88 | 72.6 | 61.1 |
| Jaden Hall | - | 1 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | -18 | -1.1 | -8.8 | 53.8 | 62.5 | 0 | -0.29 | 73.1 | 73.1 |
| Ray Gooley | - | 1 | 23.0 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | -41 | -2.2 | -17.6 | 87.5 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.66 | 112.5 | 112.5 |
| William Lawder | - | 1 | 30.0 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 16.0 | -3 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 20.0 | 1.43 | 46.3 | 50.0 |
| Braelen Cage | - | 1 | 21.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | -35 | -2.2 | -32.8 | 41.7 | 20.0 | 75.0 | 0.86 | 50.9 | 45.8 |
| Kaden Claar | - | 1 | 28.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 | -20 | -1.0 | -5.0 | 35.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -2.49 | 44.4 | 35.7 |
| Octavio Alexander | - | 5 | 29.8 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 9.4 | 10.4 | -2 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 55.3 | 53.8 | 71.4 | 2.69 | 64.9 | 62.8 |
| Jay Henry | - | 7 | 30.4 | 13.3 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 10.7 | 8.4 | 30 | 2.7 | 27.6 | 38.7 | 31.2 | 65.2 | 0.75 | 48.8 | 42.0 |
| Chris Henderson | - | 1 | 30.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 104 | 5.8 | 39.6 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 4.51 | 41.9 | 37.5 |
| Denzel Pierre | - | 1 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | -19 | -1.1 | -9.8 | 33.3 | 37.5 | 0 | -1.94 | 45.8 | 45.8 |
| Garrett Burys | - | 1 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | -28 | -14.0 | -22.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.02 | 59.0 | 50.0 |
| Jake Karnish | - | 1 | 22.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | -37 | -4.6 | -25.3 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -1.4 | 55.0 | 55.0 |
| Liam Gorman | - | 1 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 33.3 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 1.81 | 55.7 | 50.0 |
| Jack Woodard | - | 1 | 27.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | -50 | -2.8 | -9.8 | 40.0 | 14.3 | 100.0 | -1.98 | 50.6 | 45.0 |
| Landon Reeder | - | 16 | 22.9 | 10.2 | 6.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 9.1 | 7.2 | 23 | 1.9 | 18.1 | 43.4 | 36.4 | 55.3 | -0.91 | 50.4 | 49.0 |
| Elija Eccleston | - | 1 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | -8 | -0.5 | -6.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.66 | 72.7 | 75.0 |
| Antwone George | - | 1 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 5.5 | 44.4 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 2.31 | 44.6 | 50.0 |
| Drew Buck | - | 1 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | -19 | -1.1 | -3.6 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.26 | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| Deven Dowdie | - | 1 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 15 | 0.8 | 9.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -0.41 | 116.0 | 116.7 |
| Jordan Spencer | - | 1 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 127 | 7.1 | 48.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 4.43 | 55.7 | 40.0 |
| Matt Christian | - | 1 | 17.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 60.0 | 0 | - | 64.3 | 64.3 |
| Peyton Murphy | - | 9 | 21.2 | 8.4 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 6.9 | 5.6 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 41.9 | 46.2 | 80.0 | -1.44 | 55.4 | 51.6 |
| Ethan Roman | - | 4 | 25.4 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 7.8 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 35.5 | 44.4 | 75.0 | -1.43 | 44.3 | 41.9 |
| Maurice Davis | - | 1 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 42 | 2.1 | 25.6 | 60.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.65 | 59.5 | 60.0 |
| Owen Newcomer | - | 17 | 24.1 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 5.4 | 4.3 | 18 | 1.3 | 11.8 | 40.2 | 38.7 | 87.5 | 1.44 | 57.6 | 56.0 |
| Josh Shepherd | - | 16 | 11.4 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 0.6 | -45 | -3.5 | -39.5 | 34.7 | 26.8 | 73.7 | -1.83 | 46.2 | 42.0 |
| Cydae Joseph-Davis | - | 17 | 10.8 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 5.8 | -10 | -0.7 | -10.0 | 63.0 | 0 | 55.6 | -1.73 | 63.0 | 63.0 |
| Brian Rivera | - | 6 | 16.0 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 5.3 | 3.2 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0.0 | 40.0 | - | 38.0 | 37.5 |
| Neyshawn Mabry | - | 13 | 12.7 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 7.4 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.8 | 65.6 | 25.0 | 69.2 | 1.3 | 70.3 | 68.8 |
| Justin Leddo | - | 1 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | -39 | -2.3 | -43.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.72 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Kendall Bratten | - | 13 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 3.7 | -25 | -2.8 | -65.9 | 48.6 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 3.03 | 52.5 | 51.4 |
| Kris Hayes | - | 15 | 8.2 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.1 | -37 | -2.8 | -152.1 | 48.1 | 54.5 | 88.2 | -3.33 | 68.2 | 59.3 |
| Devin Kimmick | - | 1 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.48 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Matt Lee | - | 1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -1.0 | -9 | -1.3 | -10.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.43 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Colby Bost | - | 17 | 10.9 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3.1 | 1.0 | -13 | -0.9 | -21.4 | 34.6 | 23.8 | 100.0 | -0.29 | 43.0 | 39.4 |
| Nazier Sanders | - | 6 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 57.1 | 53.6 |
| Jenssyn Shuey | - | 8 | 15.3 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 34.8 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.51 | 46.1 | 45.7 |
| Hunter Hoy | - | 6 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | -9 | -0.9 | -26.6 | 42.9 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 0.19 | 50.8 | 46.4 |
| Aiden Littleton | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -58 | -5.8 | -39.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.14 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Aidan McCormack | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | -52 | -3.2 | -37.9 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.1 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Colin Boyle | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 53.2 | 100.0 |
| Elias Sherman-Murphy | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -13 | -0.9 | -12.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.93 | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| Brody Tharp | - | 3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | -3 | -1.0 | -133.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Jason Brice | - | 1 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -47 | -2.8 | -44.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -4.04 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Rylan Price | - | 5 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -0.4 | 18 | 2.6 | 369.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Johnathan Regis | - | 3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -3 | -1.5 | -133.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Staunch | - | 5 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -0.2 | -4 | -0.8 | -56.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Charlie Giordano | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -24 | -3.4 | -144.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ace Branham | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -68 | -6.2 | -189.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -6.39 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kyle Jones | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18 | 1.4 | 25.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaden Cesar | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -47 | -3.4 | -87.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -5.14 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Christian Metivia | - | 1 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jalen Triplin | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -11 | -0.9 | -41.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 |
| David Reed IV | - | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -29 | -1.6 | -21.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.13 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ryan Ambrose | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4 | 0.4 | 12.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.89 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ben Debalko | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -7 | -0.9 | -25.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Brady Hofsass | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -0.5 | -11.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Aiden Kane | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -12 | -1.5 | -41.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jackson Schaffer | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 0.4 | 26.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Wolgemuth | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -9 | -3.0 | -36.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Gianpiero Arnone | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Comerford | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 21 | 1.9 | 12.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2.71 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Gavin D'Iorio | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Antoine Vandewiele | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -4.0 | -102.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG