🐻⬇️🏀

Penn College

Also known as: Penn College
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 799 (#615) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 732 (#626) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 805 (#753) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -25.4 (#397) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -25.6 (#730) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.315 (#582) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -17.0 More → 0.116 (#56) NetEff -17.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -26.5 More → 0.045 (#711) AdjNet -26.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -26.8 More → 0.042 (#711) AdjNet -26.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 89.9 More → 0.138 (#710) AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 89.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 86.6 More → 0.184 (#748) AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 86.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.111 (#742) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.114 (#745) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 23 More → 715 (#619) RD 103 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Rowan W 119 - 72
2025-11-08 vs King's (PA) L 65 - 95
2025-11-10 @ Penn St.-Hazleton L 77 - 95
2025-11-12 vs Muhlenberg L 45 - 58
2025-11-15 @ Keuka L 66 - 77
2025-11-19 vs Penn St.-Altoona L 94 - 101
2025-11-21 vs Lebanon Valley L 78 - 89
2025-11-25 vs Penn St.-Mont Alto W 87 - 82
2025-12-03 vs Penn St.-Abington L 67 - 78
2025-12-05 @ Elmira L 95 - 96
2025-12-13 @ Alfred L 62 - 74
2025-12-29 @ Eastern Conn. St. L 57 - 86
2025-12-30 @ Wesleyan (CT) L 44 - 99
2026-01-03 @ Notre Dame (MD) L 70 - 92
2026-01-07 @ Keystone W 80 - 77
2026-01-10 vs Wilson W 96 - 93
2026-01-13 @ Penn St.-Berks L 101 - 105
2026-01-17 vs Penn St. Harrisburg L 58 - 72
2026-01-21 @ Lancaster Bible L 63 - 117
2026-01-23 vs St. Mary's (MD) W 77 - 57
2026-01-31 @ Penn St. Brandywine L 58 - 84
2026-02-04 vs Valley Forge L 77 - 89
2026-02-07 vs Cairn L 80 - 89

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ethan Roberts - 1 18.2 28.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 22.0 - - - 72.7 80.0 72.7 - 88.4 90.9
Michael Baskerville - 1 33.0 22.0 9.0 3.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 9.0 31.0 -87 -4.8 -37.6 55.6 100.0 78.6 -1.25 72.6 61.1
Jaden Hall - 1 19.0 19.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 13.0 14.0 -18 -1.1 -8.8 53.8 62.5 0 -1.18 73.1 73.1
Ray Gooley - 1 23.0 18.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 15.0 -41 -2.2 -17.6 87.5 100.0 0 -3.84 112.5 112.5
Dalton Scantlebury - 1 16.8 17.0 10.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 10.0 24.0 - - - 70.0 0 42.9 - 65.0 70.0
William Lawder - 1 30.0 15.0 11.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 14.0 16.0 -3 -0.2 -1.2 50.0 0 20.0 0.61 46.3 50.0
Braelen Cage - 1 21.0 14.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 4.0 -35 -2.2 -32.8 41.7 20.0 75.0 2.65 50.9 45.8
Kaden Claar - 1 28.0 14.0 8.0 0.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 14.0 13.0 -20 -1.0 -5.0 35.7 0.0 100.0 0.15 44.4 35.7
Octavio Alexander - 5 29.8 13.8 3.8 3.8 1.0 0.0 2.6 9.4 10.4 -2 -0.2 -1.2 55.3 53.8 71.4 -2.49 64.9 62.8
Jay Henry - 7 30.4 13.3 4.0 3.7 1.9 0.0 3.7 10.7 8.4 30 2.7 27.6 38.7 31.2 65.2 1.5 48.8 42.0
Chris Henderson - 1 30.0 13.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 12.0 6.0 104 5.8 39.6 33.3 25.0 50.0 0.52 41.9 37.5
Augustus Gerhart - 1 17.4 12.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 13.0 - - - 75.0 0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Denzel Pierre - 1 19.0 11.0 7.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 12.0 12.0 -19 -1.1 -9.8 33.3 37.5 0 -1.86 45.8 45.8
Garrett Burys - 1 21.0 11.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 9.0 -28 -14.0 -22.7 50.0 0 100.0 -0.79 59.0 50.0
Jake Karnish - 1 22.0 11.0 7.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 17.0 -37 -4.6 -25.3 50.0 25.0 0 1.24 55.0 55.0
Liam Gorman - 1 15.0 11.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 8.0 -1 -0.1 -0.4 33.3 42.9 100.0 -2.44 55.7 50.0
Jack Woodard - 1 27.0 11.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 8.0 -50 -2.8 -9.8 40.0 14.3 100.0 0.5 50.6 45.0
Landon Reeder - 16 22.9 10.2 6.1 0.6 0.3 0.8 1.7 9.1 7.2 23 1.9 18.1 43.4 36.4 55.3 -1.11 50.4 49.0
Elija Eccleston - 1 21.0 10.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 5.0 -8 -0.5 -6.9 50.0 50.0 50.0 -3.18 72.7 75.0
Antwone George - 1 21.0 10.0 6.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 9.0 12.0 11 0.6 5.5 44.4 25.0 20.0 2.64 44.6 50.0
Cam Thrower - 1 14.8 10.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 10.0 - - - 40.0 50.0 83.3 - 65.4 50.0
Drew Buck - 1 26.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 6.0 -19 -1.1 -3.6 57.1 50.0 0 -1.14 71.4 71.4
Jordan Spencer - 1 26.0 9.0 10.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 18.0 127 7.1 48.0 40.0 0.0 71.4 3.89 55.7 40.0
Deven Dowdie - 1 15.0 9.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 6.0 15 0.8 9.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.45 116.0 116.7
Matt Christian - 1 17.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 2.0 - - - 42.9 60.0 0 - 64.3 64.3
Peyton Murphy - 9 21.2 8.4 3.2 1.7 0.9 0.2 2.0 6.9 5.6 2 0.2 0.9 41.9 46.2 80.0 1.37 55.4 51.6
Jay Jones - 1 19.9 8.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 140 7.0 50.0 75.0 100.0 50.0 2.66 82.0 87.5
Ethan Roman - 4 25.4 7.2 3.2 3.2 0.8 0.5 1.8 7.8 5.5 - - - 35.5 44.4 75.0 - 44.3 41.9
Maurice Davis - 1 17.0 7.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 11.0 42 2.1 25.6 60.0 0 50.0 2.57 59.5 60.0
Michelangelo Oberti - 1 5.3 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 - - - 75.0 0 100.0 - 78.8 75.0
Niklas Polonowski - 1 13.2 7.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 - - - 25.0 33.3 100.0 - 60.8 37.5
Owen Newcomer - 17 24.1 6.5 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.0 0.6 5.4 4.3 18 1.3 11.8 40.2 38.7 87.5 0.26 57.6 56.0
TJ Power - 1 22.4 6.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 7.0 - - - 22.2 0.0 50.0 - 27.9 22.2
William Kruse - 1 5.8 5.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 125.0 125.0
Lucas-Allan Lueth - 1 17.6 5.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 - - - 33.3 0 50.0 - 44.3 33.3
Alex Massung - 1 8.5 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 - - - 100.0 0 75.0 - 90.6 100.0
Josh Shepherd - 16 11.4 4.8 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.1 2.1 4.7 0.6 -45 -3.5 -39.5 34.7 26.8 73.7 -1.29 46.2 42.0
Cydae Joseph-Davis - 17 10.8 4.3 3.4 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.5 3.2 5.8 -10 -0.7 -10.0 63.0 0 55.6 0.63 63.0 63.0
Brian Rivera - 6 16.0 4.3 4.0 1.7 0.8 0.3 2.7 5.3 3.2 - - - 37.5 0.0 40.0 - 38.0 37.5
Neyshawn Mabry - 13 12.7 4.1 3.8 0.4 0.6 1.7 0.7 2.5 7.4 -1 -0.1 -0.8 65.6 25.0 69.2 1.99 70.3 68.8
Justin Leddo - 1 15.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 -39 -2.3 -43.4 33.3 0.0 0 -1.76 33.3 33.3
Payton Kamin - 1 5.8 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Michael Zanoni - 1 15.6 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -1.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 100.0 - 29.1 16.7
Kendall Bratten - 13 11.0 3.5 2.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 1.0 2.7 3.7 -25 -2.8 -65.9 48.6 25.0 50.0 0.06 52.5 51.4
Kris Hayes - 15 8.2 3.1 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.3 1.8 2.1 -37 -2.8 -152.1 48.1 54.5 88.2 -0.34 68.2 59.3
Devin Kimmick - 1 22.0 3.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 2 0.1 0.6 25.0 33.3 0 0.21 37.5 37.5
Matt Lee - 1 17.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -1.0 -9 -1.3 -10.0 20.0 20.0 0 -0.83 30.0 30.0
Colby Bost - 17 10.9 2.8 1.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.9 3.1 1.0 -13 -0.9 -21.4 34.6 23.8 100.0 -0.53 43.0 39.4
Nazier Sanders - 6 5.5 2.8 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.5 2.3 1.8 - - - 42.9 33.3 100.0 - 57.1 53.6
Jenssyn Shuey - 8 15.3 2.8 3.0 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.0 2.9 3.0 - - - 34.8 33.3 50.0 - 46.1 45.7
Hunter Hoy - 6 7.3 2.7 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.7 2.3 0.7 -9 -0.9 -26.6 42.9 25.0 75.0 1.03 50.8 46.4
Aidan McCormack - 1 10.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 0.0 -52 -3.2 -37.9 16.7 0.0 0 -2.57 16.7 16.7
Aiden Littleton - 1 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -58 -5.8 -39.5 50.0 0 0.0 -1.11 41.0 50.0
Colin Boyle - 1 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0 0.0 -0.21 53.2 100.0
Elias Sherman-Murphy - 1 14.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -13 -0.9 -12.7 33.3 0.0 0.0 0.48 29.1 33.3
Brody Tharp - 3 1.6 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 -3 -1.0 -133.3 50.0 50.0 0 -0.67 75.0 75.0
Jason Brice - 1 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -47 -2.8 -44.4 0.0 0.0 50.0 -2.52 26.6 0.0
AJ Levine - 1 15.5 1.0 4.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 17.4 0.0
Rylan Price - 5 2.2 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 -0.4 18 2.6 369.2 0.0 0.0 0 0.54 0.0 0.0
Johnathan Regis - 3 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 -3 -1.5 -133.3 0 0 0 -0.67 0 0
Luke Staunch - 5 2.2 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.0 -0.2 -4 -0.8 -56.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.38 0.0 0.0
Jalen Triplin - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -11 -0.9 -41.4 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0
David Reed IV - 1 15.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 -29 -1.6 -21.3 0.0 0 0 -1.38 0.0 0.0
Charlie Giordano - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -24 -3.4 -144.0 0 0 0 -0.99 0 0
Ace Branham - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -68 -6.2 -189.8 0.0 0.0 0 -2.57 0.0 0.0
Kyle Jones - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18 1.4 25.9 0 0 0 -0.39 0 0
Jaden Cesar - 1 7.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -47 -3.4 -87.9 0.0 0 0 -1.99 0.0 0.0
Christian Metivia - 1 19.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Bradyn Foster - 1 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ryan Ambrose - 1 8.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 4 0.4 12.3 0.0 0.0 0 0.86 0.0 0.0
Ben Debalko - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 -7 -0.9 -25.6 0.0 0.0 0 -0.61 0.0 0.0
Brady Hofsass - 1 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -4 -0.5 -11.8 0.0 0.0 0 -0.06 0.0 0.0
Aiden Kane - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -12 -1.5 -41.1 0.0 0 0 -0.82 0.0 0.0
Jackson Schaffer - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3 0.4 26.4 0 0 0 0.05 0 0
Ethan Wolgemuth - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -9 -3.0 -36.7 0 0 0 -0.13 0 0
Gianpiero Arnone - 1 9.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3 1.0 11.0 0 0 0 0.64 0 0
Nathan Comerford - 1 9.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 21 1.9 12.6 0.0 0 0.0 1.12 0.0 0.0
Gavin D'Iorio - 1 11.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 1.67 0.0 0.0
Antoine Vandewiele - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4 -4.0 -102.1 0 0 0 -0.41 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG