Penn College
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 833 (#306) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 818 (#311) | HCA +62 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 926 (#296) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.6 (#300) | HCA +1.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.3 (#299) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.278 (#266) | - |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.355 (#287) | AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 81.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.390 (#279) | AdjO 80.8 | AdjD 81.3 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 822 (#307) | RD 177 | GP 3 |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | @ | Hilbert | L | 98 - 105 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ | Buffalo St. | W | 88 - 72 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | Penn St.-Altoona | W | 78 - 75 |
2026-2027 Roster
No roster data available for this season.