Paine
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 899 (#449) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 848 (#481) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 919 (#595) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -30.6 (#299) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -25.2 (#625) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.002 (#676) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.017 (#445) | NetEff -29.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.002 (#730) | AdjNet -53.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.002 (#725) | AdjNet -53.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.035 (#730) | AdjO 45.2 | AdjD 81.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.236 (#650) | AdjO 57.0 | AdjD 70.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.145 (#632) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.163 (#630) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 750 (#486) | RD 246 | GP 3 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Middle Georgia | L | 52 - 79 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Middle Georgia | L | 62 - 87 |
| 2026-01-12 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | L | 55 - 75 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tillmon, Ayva | - | 1 | 38.0 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 58.1 | 45.8 |
| Adia Dormu | - | 2 | 33.9 | 10.5 | 9.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 10.5 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 33.3 | 57.1 | - | 38.7 | 31.0 |
| Ayva Tillmon | - | 2 | 23.9 | 10.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 10.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 33.3 | 85.7 | - | 45.5 | 37.5 |
| Dormu, Adia | - | 1 | 34.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 37.0 | 30.0 |
| McCrary, Kyra | - | 1 | 32.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 30.2 | 28.6 |
| Kindal Glanton | - | 2 | 17.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 40.0 | 70.0 | - | 55.2 | 45.5 |
| Solomon, Nina | - | 1 | 40.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 26.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 26.7 | 26.7 |
| Brown, Leia | - | 1 | 37.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Nina Solomon | - | 2 | 24.0 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 31.2 | 37.5 | 100.0 | - | 44.4 | 40.6 |
| Tailin Ward | - | 2 | 15.1 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0.0 | 85.7 | - | 54.2 | 37.5 |
| Leia Brown | - | 2 | 27.6 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 18.8 | 0.0 | 83.3 | - | 29.5 | 18.8 |
| Sierre Georges | - | 1 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 62.5 | - | 29.3 | 0.0 |
| Glanton, Kindal | - | 1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 104.2 | 100.0 |
| Daiyah Ruger | - | 2 | 5.2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 41.2 | 0.0 |
| tekiarah jones | - | 1 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | 97 | 4.2 | 15.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 2.73 | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| A'Keira Blue | - | 2 | 22.1 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Lockhart, Jayla | - | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jones, Tekiarah | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jayla Lockhart | - | 1 | 20.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tamyira Countryman | - | 1 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG