Paine
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 940 (#340) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 890 (#359) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.3 (#264) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.258 (#456) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.266 (#510) | AdjNet -8.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.268 (#512) | AdjNet -8.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.360 (#507) | AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 77.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-19 | vs | North Greenville | W | 57 - 49 |
| 2024-11-21 | @ | North Greenville | L | 65 - 72 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Shaw | W | 71 - 69 |
| 2024-12-05 | @ | Augusta | L | 60 - 91 |
| 2024-12-13 | @ | Fort Valley St. | W | 56 - 53 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John St. Germain III | - | 1 | 28.0 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 25.0 | 52 | 3.2 | 13.4 | 80.0 | 0 | 91.7 | 0.4 | 92.4 | 80.0 |
| Demitri Gardner | - | 1 | 26.0 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 70.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.51 | 82.7 | 80.0 |
| Max Amadasun | - | 1 | 20.0 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | -38 | -1.6 | -5.4 | 70.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.06 | 73.5 | 70.0 |
| Marcus Scott | - | 1 | 27.0 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | -16 | -0.6 | -1.6 | 40.0 | 36.4 | 0 | 1.16 | 53.3 | 53.3 |
| Dee Barnes | - | 1 | 35.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | -60 | -2.7 | -6.8 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 0.19 | 63.8 | 40.0 |
| Ryan Djoussa | - | 2 | 21.5 | 10.5 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 7.0 | 9.0 | -111 | -4.0 | -62.3 | 57.1 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.12 | 64.8 | 57.1 |
| Kael Rillie | - | 2 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | -32 | -1.5 | -40.0 | 50.0 | 54.5 | 0 | -0.28 | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| Elias Palsson | - | 1 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | -63 | -1.9 | -8.9 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.72 | 63.5 | 57.1 |
| TJ Baker | - | 1 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 23 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 37.5 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0.69 | 50.7 | 50.0 |
| Sayerr Senghore | - | 1 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 9 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 44.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.05 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Hassane Diallo | - | 1 | 33.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | -14 | -0.5 | -1.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.54 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Savion Brown | - | 2 | 32.0 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | -1.0 | -41 | -1.2 | -5.0 | 38.9 | 16.7 | 0 | 0.55 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Michael Wilson Jr. | - | 2 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 9.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 9.0 | 7.5 | -3 | -0.6 | -12.3 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.8 | 32.5 | 22.2 |
| Justin Perry | - | 1 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | -4 | -0.3 | -4.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.2 | 93.1 | 100.0 |
| Max Topham | - | 1 | 30.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | -50 | -1.9 | -6.2 | 37.5 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.16 | 41.5 | 43.8 |
| Jermaine Vereen | - | 1 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | -73 | -3.3 | -10.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 46.6 | 50.0 |
| Kyndon Wilburg | - | 1 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -7 | -0.7 | -7.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.29 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jaylen Jackson | - | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 86 | 4.5 | 29.5 | 22.2 | 28.6 | 0 | -1.13 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| John Haddock Rogers | - | 2 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 40 | 2.7 | 21.6 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0.24 | 72.7 | 83.3 |
| CaDarrius Sowell | - | 2 | 28.5 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 6.0 | -32 | -1.3 | -4.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.25 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Khirius Doucet | - | 1 | 35.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | -85 | -2.9 | -6.9 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.01 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Mike Robinson | - | 1 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -23 | -2.3 | -18.4 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.21 | 47.0 | 25.0 |
| Chaeavon Torrance | - | 1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -54 | -3.4 | -15.2 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.07 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Ayden Baker | - | 2 | 12.5 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | -23 | -1.9 | -22.4 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.28 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Ja'Queze Kirby | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 20.5 | 0.0 |
| Zyere Edwards | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -14 | -0.5 | -7.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.09 | 20.5 | 0.0 |
| Alex Hogg | - | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -4 | -1.3 | -3.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.21 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Evan Joyner | - | 1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | -8 | -0.3 | -3.0 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.37 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Oliver Lucas | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 39 | 3.2 | 44.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.28 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jahlen Jack | - | 1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 10 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.78 | 20.5 | 0.0 |
| Davorian Rudolph | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -9 | -1.3 | -35.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.29 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Luis Nonfon | - | 1 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 36 | 1.2 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.56 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Carter Bobbitt | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Brown | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 84 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.76 | 0 | 0 |
| Bradyn Durrah | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Sheldon Joseph | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32 | 2.5 | 213.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.06 | 0 | 0 |
| West Kellett | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.3 | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick McConnell | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Caleb Mills | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10 | 3.3 | 99.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.21 | 0 | 0 |
| Jakari Thompson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -70 | -5.4 | -42.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylen Bandy | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.2 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.16 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Justin Harris | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -17 | -0.7 | -12.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.29 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ellija Preddy | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -52 | -4.3 | -65.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.34 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jon Tran | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 21 | 5.2 | 57.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.62 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Carlton Young | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 69 | 3.0 | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 | 0 | 0 |
| Micah Glover | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17 | 1.4 | 8.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| AJ Horton | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Adonai Mussie | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.39 | 0 | 0 |
| Demetrius Paul | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.4 | -8.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.87 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Pendergrass | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Antonio Puaauli-Pelham | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | -14 | -1.0 | -3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Eric Wright Jr. | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 40 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.83 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG