🐻⬇️🏀

Paine

Also known as: Paine
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 940 (#340) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 890 (#359) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -3.3 (#264) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.258 (#456) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.8 More → 0.266 (#510) AdjNet -8.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.6 More → 0.268 (#512) AdjNet -8.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 77.0 More → 0.360 (#507) AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 77.0

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-19 vs North Greenville W 57 - 49
2024-11-21 @ North Greenville L 65 - 72
2024-11-30 vs Shaw W 71 - 69
2024-12-05 @ Augusta L 60 - 91
2024-12-13 @ Fort Valley St. W 56 - 53

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
John St. Germain III - 1 28.0 19.0 3.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 25.0 52 3.2 13.4 80.0 0 91.7 0.4 92.4 80.0
Demitri Gardner - 1 26.0 18.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 10.0 13.0 -5 -0.2 -0.8 70.0 50.0 100.0 -0.51 82.7 80.0
Max Amadasun - 1 20.0 16.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 15.0 -38 -1.6 -5.4 70.0 0 100.0 -0.06 73.5 70.0
Marcus Scott - 1 27.0 16.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 4.0 -16 -0.6 -1.6 40.0 36.4 0 1.16 53.3 53.3
Dee Barnes - 1 35.0 12.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 5.0 5.0 -60 -2.7 -6.8 40.0 0.0 80.0 0.19 63.8 40.0
Ryan Djoussa - 2 21.5 10.5 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 7.0 9.0 -111 -4.0 -62.3 57.1 0 100.0 -0.12 64.8 57.1
Kael Rillie - 2 15.0 10.0 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 7.0 7.0 -32 -1.5 -40.0 50.0 54.5 0 -0.28 71.4 71.4
Elias Palsson - 1 15.0 10.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 -63 -1.9 -8.9 42.9 33.3 100.0 -0.72 63.5 57.1
TJ Baker - 1 20.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 4.0 23 1.0 3.3 37.5 40.0 50.0 0.69 50.7 50.0
Sayerr Senghore - 1 25.0 9.0 11.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 11.0 9 0.4 0.8 44.4 33.3 0 1.05 50.0 50.0
Hassane Diallo - 1 33.0 8.0 11.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 8.0 15.0 -14 -0.5 -1.3 50.0 0 0 1.54 50.0 50.0
Savion Brown - 2 32.0 7.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 9.0 -1.0 -41 -1.2 -5.0 38.9 16.7 0 0.55 41.7 41.7
Michael Wilson Jr. - 2 27.0 7.0 9.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 2.5 9.0 7.5 -3 -0.6 -12.3 22.2 0.0 75.0 0.8 32.5 22.2
Justin Perry - 1 15.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 -4 -0.3 -4.0 100.0 0 75.0 -0.2 93.1 100.0
Max Topham - 1 30.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 1.0 -50 -1.9 -6.2 37.5 25.0 0.0 0.16 41.5 43.8
Jermaine Vereen - 1 15.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 4.0 -73 -3.3 -10.5 50.0 0 0.0 0.02 46.6 50.0
Kyndon Wilburg - 1 6.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 -7 -0.7 -7.2 100.0 0 0 -0.29 100.0 100.0
Jaylen Jackson - 1 17.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 2.0 86 4.5 29.5 22.2 28.6 0 -1.13 33.3 33.3
John Haddock Rogers - 2 18.0 5.0 7.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 4.5 3.0 7.0 40 2.7 21.6 66.7 66.7 0.0 0.24 72.7 83.3
CaDarrius Sowell - 2 28.5 5.0 5.5 2.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 7.5 6.0 -32 -1.3 -4.0 33.3 0.0 0 0.25 33.3 33.3
Khirius Doucet - 1 35.0 5.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 4.0 -85 -2.9 -6.9 40.0 33.3 0 -1.01 50.0 50.0
Mike Robinson - 1 10.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 -23 -2.3 -18.4 25.0 0.0 100.0 -0.21 47.0 25.0
Chaeavon Torrance - 1 16.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 -54 -3.4 -15.2 66.7 0.0 0 0.07 66.7 66.7
Ayden Baker - 2 12.5 2.0 5.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 4.0 3.5 -23 -1.9 -22.4 25.0 0.0 0 -0.28 25.0 25.0
Ja'Queze Kirby - 1 8.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 20.5 0.0
Zyere Edwards - 1 8.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 -14 -0.5 -7.9 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.09 20.5 0.0
Alex Hogg - 1 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -4 -1.3 -3.4 100.0 0 0 -0.21 100.0 100.0
Evan Joyner - 1 21.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 2.0 -8 -0.3 -3.0 14.3 0.0 0 -0.37 14.3 14.3
Oliver Lucas - 1 7.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 39 3.2 44.8 100.0 0 0 -0.28 100.0 100.0
Jahlen Jack - 1 21.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 10 0.5 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.78 20.5 0.0
Davorian Rudolph - 1 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -9 -1.3 -35.8 50.0 0 0 -0.29 50.0 50.0
Luis Nonfon - 1 18.0 1.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 36 1.2 6.3 0.0 0 50.0 0.56 26.6 0.0
Carter Bobbitt - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jacob Brown - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 84 3.0 5.3 0 0 0 2.76 0 0
Bradyn Durrah - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sheldon Joseph - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 32 2.5 213.9 0 0 0 -1.06 0 0
West Kellett - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0.3 13.4 0 0 0 -1.05 0 0
Nick McConnell - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Caleb Mills - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10 3.3 99.6 0 0 0 -1.21 0 0
Jakari Thompson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -70 -5.4 -42.9 0 0 0 -0.14 0 0
Jaylen Bandy - 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 -2 -0.2 -1.3 0.0 0 0 -0.16 0.0 0.0
Justin Harris - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 -17 -0.7 -12.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.29 0.0 0.0
Ellija Preddy - 1 10.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1.0 -52 -4.3 -65.1 0.0 0 0 -0.34 0.0 0.0
Jon Tran - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 21 5.2 57.3 0.0 0.0 0 -0.62 0.0 0.0
Carlton Young - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 69 3.0 12.1 0 0 0 0.99 0 0
Micah Glover - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17 1.4 8.8 0 0 0 -0.0 0 0
AJ Horton - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Adonai Mussie - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 0.1 1.4 0 0 0 -0.39 0 0
Demetrius Paul - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 -0.4 -8.6 0 0 0 -0.87 0 0
Tyler Pendergrass - 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0 0.19 0.0 0.0
Antonio Puaauli-Pelham - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 -14 -1.0 -3.3 0.0 0.0 0 0.19 0.0 0.0
Eric Wright Jr. - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 40 1.0 3.2 0.0 0 0 1.83 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG