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Pacific

Also known as: Pacific Tigers, Pacific
Program History

Model Outputs

1995-1996
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1084 (#102) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 977 (#170) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More → 1036 (#100) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.6 More → +4.3 (#98) HCA +3.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.4 More → +4.5 (#102) HCA +3.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.677 (#68) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.6 More → 0.656 (#104) AdjNet +5.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.7 More → 0.658 (#104) AdjNet +5.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 67.3 More → 0.575 (#105) AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 67.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 67.3 More → 0.580 (#89) AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 67.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.596 (#108) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.597 (#102) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 130 | GP 26 More → 1025 (#131) RD 130 | GP 26

1996 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1995-11-26 vs San Diego W 80 - 78
1995-12-02 @ Saint Mary's L 46 - 53
1995-12-09 vs Fresno State W 73 - 70
1995-12-19 vs Baylor W 77 - 54
1995-12-22 @ Santa Clara L 70 - 75
1995-12-28 N Rutgers L 68 - 69
1995-12-30 N Texas A&M L 72 - 77
1996-01-02 @ UC Irvine L 54 - 72
1996-01-04 @ Cal State Fullerton L 69 - 79
1996-01-08 @ Nevada–Las Vegas W 88 - 68
1996-01-10 vs New Mexico State W 78 - 66
1996-01-13 @ Utah State L 71 - 73
1996-01-15 @ Nevada L 55 - 75
1996-01-20 vs San Jose State W 81 - 60
1996-01-25 vs UC Santa Barbara L 64 - 66
1996-01-27 vs Long Beach State L 77 - 83
1996-02-01 @ New Mexico State W 75 - 59
1996-02-08 vs Nevada W 90 - 56
1996-02-10 vs Utah State W 74 - 57
1996-02-15 vs Nevada–Las Vegas W 80 - 55
1996-02-17 @ San Jose State L 73 - 79
1996-02-22 @ Long Beach State W 71 - 61
1996-02-24 @ UC Santa Barbara W 79 - 72
1996-02-29 vs Cal State Fullerton W 87 - 63
1996-03-03 vs UC Irvine W 80 - 74
1996-03-08 N San Jose State L 57 - 77

1996 Roster

No roster data available for this season.