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Pacific

Also known as: Pacific Tigers, Pacific
Program History

Model Outputs

1992-1993
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1164 (#73) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1057 (#116) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +108 elo More → 1044 (#91) HCA +108 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More → +4.6 (#96) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More → +2.4 (#116) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.633 (#89) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.5 More → 0.703 (#87) AdjNet +7.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.6 More → 0.705 (#88) AdjNet +7.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 61.1 More → 0.594 (#97) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 61.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 62.3 More → 0.540 (#116) AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 62.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.630 (#90) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.620 (#94) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 133 | GP 26 More → 1130 (#80) RD 133 | GP 26

1993 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1992-12-01 @ Oregon State L 62 - 79
1992-12-05 vs Oregon W 80 - 68
1992-12-09 vs San Francisco L 65 - 66
1992-12-11 N Western Michigan L 56 - 63
1992-12-12 N Austin Peay L 69 - 72
1992-12-19 @ Fresno State W 70 - 49
1992-12-22 vs Saint Mary's W 77 - 57
1993-01-02 vs UC Santa Barbara L 66 - 67
1993-01-04 vs Long Beach State W 68 - 56
1993-01-09 @ San Jose State W 74 - 61
1993-01-14 @ Nevada–Las Vegas L 71 - 88
1993-01-16 @ New Mexico State L 48 - 53
1993-01-21 vs Nevada W 71 - 49
1993-01-23 vs Utah State W 86 - 79
1993-01-28 @ UC Irvine W 68 - 62
1993-01-30 @ Cal State Fullerton L 58 - 71
1993-02-04 vs Nevada–Las Vegas W 62 - 56
1993-02-06 vs San Jose State L 50 - 54
1993-02-11 vs New Mexico State W 71 - 68
1993-02-15 @ Nevada W 81 - 69
1993-02-18 @ Utah State W 72 - 62
1993-02-25 vs Cal State Fullerton W 56 - 53
1993-02-27 vs UC Irvine W 65 - 56
1993-03-04 @ UC Santa Barbara L 65 - 73
1993-03-06 @ Long Beach State W 69 - 66
1993-03-12 N UC Santa Barbara L 54 - 57

1993 Roster

No roster data available for this season.