πŸ»β¬‡οΈπŸ€

Pacific Union

Also known as: Pacific Union
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β†’ 940 (#338) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β†’ 760 (#530) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More β†’ 836 (#580) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More β†’ -22.5 (#542) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β†’ 0.004 (#691) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -39.4 More β†’ 0.010 (#738) AdjNet -39.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -38.8 More β†’ 0.010 (#738) AdjNet -38.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 90.8 More β†’ 0.067 (#732) AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 90.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 85.1 More β†’ 0.166 (#590) AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 85.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.096 (#583) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.106 (#583) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 211 | GP 11 More β†’ 660 (#502) RD 211 | GP 11

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-05 @ Alas. Fairbanks L 59 - 92
2025-11-06 @ Alas. Fairbanks L 70 - 110
2025-11-18 @ UC Merced L 50 - 89
2025-11-25 @ UAH L 64 - 117
2025-11-29 @ Dominican (CA) L 77 - 104
2025-12-09 @ Shorter L 84 - 98
2025-12-16 @ Saint Martin's L 66 - 108
2025-12-18 @ Saint Martin's L 65 - 87
2025-12-31 @ Montevallo L 61 - 91

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jett Birdsall - 1 18.1 19.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 7.0 - - - 70.0 50.0 100.0 - 87.3 85.0
Kenton Steele - 3 32.3 18.0 7.0 1.7 2.0 1.3 2.7 14.3 13.0 - - - 46.5 40.0 80.0 - 57.0 53.5
Daniel Benjamin - 4 27.9 16.2 2.2 0.2 0.8 0.2 2.2 13.8 3.8 -48 -2.0 -8.3 38.2 34.5 72.2 -1.0 51.7 47.3
Jevon Blackmore - 2 18.0 12.5 2.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 3.5 9.0 3.5 - - - 50.0 44.4 50.0 - 60.6 61.1
Brody Baumgartner - 1 25.4 11.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 8.0 - - - 55.6 0 50.0 - 55.7 55.6
Dom Perasso - 1 24.7 11.0 5.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 14.0 4.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 75.0 - 34.9 28.6
Jeremiah Sibley - 1 16.8 11.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 11.0 - - - 57.1 60.0 0 - 78.6 78.6
Grant Williams - 2 26.9 9.5 2.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 8.5 6.5 -27 -1.3 -6.5 41.2 50.0 0 2.7 55.9 55.9
Max Vacco - 1 18.6 9.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 5.0 - - - 57.1 0.0 33.3 - 54.1 57.1
Henry Smith - 1 25.0 9.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 5.0 - - - 30.0 30.0 0 - 45.0 45.0
Antwon Ferrell - 2 22.4 9.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 0.5 - - - 30.0 40.0 57.1 - 39.0 35.0
Mike Evans - 3 23.5 8.7 1.0 2.0 0.7 0.0 2.3 8.7 1.3 -55 -4.2 -19.6 34.6 40.0 100.0 1.12 48.4 46.2
Ben Tellez - 1 21.9 8.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 40.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Kourtland Armstrong - 4 20.1 7.8 2.2 0.2 1.8 0.0 2.5 5.2 4.2 - - - 38.1 55.6 90.9 - 60.0 50.0
Lance Rodriguez - 4 18.2 7.5 4.0 1.0 0.2 0.5 2.0 6.0 5.2 - - - 41.7 60.0 100.0 - 58.2 54.2
Lucas Gray - 1 20.2 7.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 13.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 60.0 - 56.5 50.0
Brandon Kincaid - 1 10.1 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 - - - 66.7 0 60.0 - 67.3 66.7
Anthony Hrboka - 1 22.5 6.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 2.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Charlie Kapranos - 1 26.5 6.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Cam Rice - 1 15.5 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -1.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 - 43.6 33.3
Vince Graves - 3 22.8 5.7 1.7 2.3 0.3 0.3 1.0 4.0 5.3 - - - 58.3 20.0 100.0 - 66.0 62.5
Caleb Berry - 1 11.7 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 33.3 100.0 100.0 - 64.4 50.0
Mack Hepper - 1 25.0 5.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 62.5 62.5
Aaron Anene - 2 23.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.5 6.5 1.0 -17 -2.4 -31.7 23.1 0.0 66.7 2.25 32.0 23.1
Kyle Durham - 2 17.0 4.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.5 3.0 - - - 22.2 20.0 80.0 - 40.2 27.8
Lorenzo Lentini - 3 17.4 4.3 1.7 0.3 1.0 0.0 1.7 3.0 2.7 - - - 33.3 25.0 83.3 - 55.8 44.4
Ryder Mackay - 1 11.6 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -1.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Camden Edmonds - 3 16.4 4.0 1.7 1.7 0.7 0.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 14 0.8 6.7 40.0 0 0.0 0.76 36.8 40.0
Jerald Mitchell - 2 8.3 3.5 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.5 -59 -1.6 -17.0 50.0 100.0 33.3 1.28 52.7 62.5
Johnny Huang - 4 23.7 3.5 4.8 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 5.8 2.0 - - - 26.1 0 50.0 - 28.3 26.1
Nikolas Burns - 2 7.8 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.5 0.5 - - - 60.0 0.0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Jacob Crockett - 3 15.2 2.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.3 0.3 - - - 30.0 28.6 0 - 40.0 40.0
Abram Bennett - 2 12.0 2.5 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 51.2 50.0
Colby Beck-Watts - 1 7.5 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Romyn Johnson - 1 8.6 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 26 1.1 5.7 25.0 0 0 -2.46 25.0 25.0
Julian Brown - 1 13.3 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 3 0.6 0.8 100.0 0 0.0 1.11 53.2 100.0
Zach Zuckerman - 1 8.1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Ricardo Luis Ortiz - 1 2.1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Justice Hayes - 3 14.5 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 2.0 3.3 -1.7 -22 -1.8 -31.8 20.0 20.0 0 -0.13 25.0 25.0
Connor Virnig - 4 9.3 1.5 2.8 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 3.0 0.8 - - - 25.0 0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Adrian Rodriguez - 2 12.2 1.0 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 3.5 1.5 2 0.3 6.1 14.3 0.0 0 1.32 14.3 14.3
D'montay Warner - 3 4.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.3 -0.7 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 20.5 0.0
Ian Coates-White - 1 4.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Joel Meske - 1 5.1 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J’Arius Nealy - 1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jordan Silva - 1 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ivan Suslov - 1 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Shuga Tsurumi - 1 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Shawn Tunson - 1 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Nate Willis - 1 1.4 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Shaun Burton - 1 11.6 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jeremiah Smith - 1 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 98 4.9 25.3 0 0 0.0 4.05 0.0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG