Pacific Lutheran
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 807 (#471) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 815 (#444) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.2 (#238) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.176 (#594) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.170 (#336) | NetEff -11.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.242 (#473) | AdjNet -9.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.235 (#471) | AdjNet -10.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.360 (#470) | AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 62.7 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Warner Pacific | L | 45 - 54 |
| 2024-11-10 | vs | Ripon | L | 38 - 51 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | Texas Lutheran | L | 40 - 62 |
| 2024-11-25 | vs | Concordia (TX) | L | 59 - 66 |
| 2024-12-17 | @ | Seattle Pacific | L | 45 - 73 |
| 2024-12-18 | @ | Northwest (WA) | L | 75 - 82 |
| 2025-02-21 | @ | Pacific (OR) | L | 40 - 51 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Reisner | - | 6 | 31.0 | 12.8 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 11.2 | 3.5 | -159 | -5.7 | -6.2 | 38.8 | 31.4 | 70.0 | -0.9 | 50.8 | 47.0 |
| Kasidy Javernick | - | 7 | 28.3 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 11.1 | 3.0 | -50 | -2.3 | -3.2 | 30.8 | 32.4 | 66.7 | -0.1 | 39.1 | 37.8 |
| Taylor Schmidtke | - | 7 | 19.6 | 5.1 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 5.1 | 2.9 | -14 | -0.6 | -0.7 | 38.9 | 27.8 | 37.5 | 0.36 | 45.5 | 45.8 |
| Brooke Samura | - | 7 | 16.9 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 7.4 | 1.4 | -45 | -1.9 | -2.5 | 23.1 | 8.3 | 64.3 | -0.2 | 29.2 | 24.0 |
| Ashley Akamine | - | 7 | 17.3 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 5.4 | 0.7 | -10 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 26.3 | 12.5 | 42.9 | 0.41 | 29.2 | 27.6 |
| Emi Wada | - | 7 | 14.3 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 4.9 | -0.9 | -155 | -4.8 | -6.8 | 29.4 | 22.2 | 50.0 | -0.89 | 33.0 | 32.4 |
| Kylie Griffin | - | 6 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | -113 | -4.7 | -14.4 | 35.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.7 | 41.6 | 39.3 |
| Brandie Tobin | - | 7 | 16.4 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 2.7 | -15 | -0.7 | -1.8 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.2 | 29.8 | 25.0 |
| Raylie Wardenaar | - | 6 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.3 | -0.7 | 6 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 20.0 | 36.4 | 0 | 0.29 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Kate Wooten | - | 7 | 9.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 2.3 | -91 | -4.3 | -8.6 | 35.7 | 28.6 | 100.0 | -0.8 | 47.0 | 42.9 |
| Jaida Wood | - | 7 | 14.0 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.4 | 56.3 | 56.2 |
| Stacie Spahr | - | 7 | 16.9 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 3.3 | -37 | -1.5 | -2.9 | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | 21.1 | 21.1 |
| Ava Bright | - | 6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | -0.5 | -77 | -5.9 | -14.9 | 28.6 | 0 | 0 | -0.66 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Shaela Allen-Greggs | - | 6 | 8.7 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 9 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.34 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Tami Gallo-paul | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -3 | -0.3 | -2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Madison Moles | - | 5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 11 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG