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Pacific (OR)

Also known as: Pacific (OR)
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 916 (#274) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 989 (#215) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +53 elo More โ†’ 947 (#276) HCA +53 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.5 More โ†’ +7.7 (#114) HCA +2.5
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +3.7 (#157) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.591 (#153) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -6.8 More โ†’ 0.313 (#293) NetEff -6.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.6 More โ†’ 0.705 (#123) AdjNet +7.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.9 More โ†’ 0.715 (#120) AdjNet +7.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 71.5 More โ†’ 0.618 (#125) AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 71.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 73.2 More โ†’ 0.500 (#196) AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 73.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.561 (#175) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.537 (#184) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 145 | GP 23 More โ†’ 960 (#241) RD 145 | GP 23

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Colorado Col. - Incomplete score
2024-11-09 vs Trinity (TX) L 81 - 82
2024-11-15 vs Douglas (CAN) - Incomplete score
2024-11-16 vs Douglas (CAN) - Incomplete score
2024-11-22 vs Cal Maritime - Incomplete score
2024-11-23 vs Redlands - Incomplete score
2024-12-12 vs Schreiner - Incomplete score
2024-12-14 @ Seattle U - Incomplete score
2024-12-29 @ Neb. Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2024-12-30 @ Concordia (TX) - Incomplete score
2025-01-03 vs Linfield - Incomplete score
2025-01-04 @ Lewis & Clark - Incomplete score
2025-01-07 vs George Fox - Incomplete score
2025-01-10 @ Puget Sound - Incomplete score
2025-01-17 vs Whitman - Incomplete score
2025-01-18 vs Whitworth - Incomplete score
2025-01-24 vs Willamette - Incomplete score
2025-01-25 @ Pacific Lutheran - Incomplete score
2025-01-31 vs Lewis & Clark - Incomplete score
2025-02-01 @ Linfield - Incomplete score
2025-02-04 @ George Fox - Incomplete score
2025-02-08 vs Puget Sound - Incomplete score
2025-02-14 @ Whitworth - Incomplete score
2025-02-15 @ Whitman - Incomplete score
2025-02-21 vs Pacific Lutheran - Incomplete score
2025-02-22 @ Willamette - Incomplete score

2025 Roster

No roster data available for this season.