Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 859 (#340) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 877 (#315) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.8 (#216) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.448 (#380) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.561 (#204) | NetEff +1.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.410 (#440) | AdjNet -3.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.420 (#439) | AdjNet -2.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.471 (#434) | AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 60.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arianna Stockinger | - | 29 | 30.1 | 12.2 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 11.0 | 7.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.6 | 30.0 | 73.6 | -0.2 | 49.6 | 45.3 |
| Tower Lorde | - | 22 | 21.1 | 10.8 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 7.1 | 9.0 | 30 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 58.6 | 0 | 64.3 | 0.29 | 61.4 | 58.6 |
| Katumina Mansaray | - | 29 | 30.6 | 9.8 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 9.7 | 4.4 | 24 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 38.9 | 32.1 | 71.8 | -0.03 | 45.0 | 40.5 |
| Ciara Collins | - | 28 | 28.4 | 9.0 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 7.8 | 6.2 | 78 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 38.5 | 43.0 | 83.3 | 0.81 | 51.6 | 46.3 |
| Shanice Sinclair | - | 29 | 34.3 | 7.7 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 7.4 | 7.5 | 34 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 41.6 | 0.0 | 66.2 | 0.16 | 45.7 | 41.6 |
| Victoria Dieguez | - | 29 | 18.5 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 2.6 | 7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 33.1 | 25.0 | 73.9 | -0.02 | 43.1 | 39.7 |
| Morgan Ryan | - | 29 | 15.1 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 73 | 2.4 | 4.3 | 24.4 | 26.4 | 58.6 | 0.57 | 36.5 | 33.5 |
| Mari Lee | - | 28 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 | -11 | -0.5 | -1.5 | 39.5 | 11.1 | 72.7 | -0.3 | 44.9 | 40.7 |
| Cali Chiocchi | - | 29 | 6.6 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 38 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 22.0 | 14.3 | 71.4 | 0.19 | 29.5 | 25.6 |
| Grace Ziogas | - | 29 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | -0.1 | 44 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 26.9 | 5.6 | 0 | -0.07 | 28.8 | 28.8 |
| Davionna Phillips | - | 29 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | -4 | -0.3 | -2.7 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.04 | 34.9 | 28.6 |
| Ciara Mulleady | - | 29 | 5.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | -0.1 | -7 | -0.3 | -1.6 | 14.3 | 13.3 | 50.0 | -0.33 | 21.2 | 17.9 |
| Jaylyn Chorba | - | 27 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 48 | 3.4 | 14.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.31 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Nina Marshall | - | 14 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG