Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 833 (#495) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 893 (#441) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 805 (#671) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.5 (#242) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.3 (#457) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.448 (#380) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.248 (#348) | NetEff -8.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.410 (#440) | AdjNet -3.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.420 (#439) | AdjNet -2.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.471 (#434) | AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 60.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.379 (#552) | AdjO 55.4 | AdjD 60.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.274 (#543) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.279 (#548) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 797 (#474) | RD 97 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Army West Point | L | 50 - 86 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Dominican (NY) | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Caldwell | L | 36 - 49 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Franklin Pierce | W | 79 - 52 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Mercy | W | 58 - 45 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Molloy | W | 75 - 62 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Felician | L | 37 - 73 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Assumption | L | 40 - 54 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | American Int'l | L | 67 - 88 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Adelphi | L | 47 - 55 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Bridgeport | L | 53 - 62 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Staten Island | L | 65 - 72 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | W | 58 - 45 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Saint Anselm | L | 58 - 68 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Adelphi | W | 62 - 51 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Saint Michael's | L | 44 - 59 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Bentley | L | 49 - 50 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Southern N.H. | L | 60 - 65 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | American Int'l | L | 50 - 67 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Franklin Pierce | L | 46 - 54 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Southern Conn. St. | L | 56 - 69 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Saint Anselm | L | 55 - 65 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Collins | - | 22 | 34.8 | 16.5 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 14.5 | 8.8 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 41.1 | 33.7 | 87.5 | -0.26 | 51.2 | 45.9 |
| Anisa Akinola | - | 22 | 31.7 | 11.2 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 10.8 | 8.2 | -66 | -3.0 | -11.0 | 37.8 | 29.9 | 76.7 | -0.36 | 46.5 | 42.0 |
| Grace Ziogas | - | 22 | 29.7 | 7.5 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 7.6 | 3.4 | -47 | -2.0 | -10.0 | 38.3 | 31.7 | 71.4 | -1.68 | 48.8 | 48.2 |
| Morgan Ryan | - | 14 | 22.0 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 7.1 | 1.9 | 8 | 0.5 | 8.6 | 28.0 | 27.5 | 70.6 | 0.51 | 40.5 | 37.5 |
| Cali Chiocchi | - | 22 | 31.1 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 5.5 | 8.0 | -50 | -2.1 | -8.5 | 41.0 | 29.4 | 59.3 | 0.15 | 47.1 | 45.1 |
| LyNeta Brand | - | 21 | 19.1 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 4.6 | -35 | -1.7 | -9.8 | 41.9 | 28.6 | 70.4 | 0.6 | 48.3 | 43.2 |
| Claire Fitzpatrick | - | 17 | 11.1 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1.2 | -27 | -1.8 | -11.0 | 37.3 | 45.2 | 40.0 | -1.71 | 50.5 | 51.0 |
| Ciera Cevallos | - | 21 | 19.5 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 3.4 | 2.7 | -9 | -0.4 | -3.4 | 28.2 | 16.7 | 68.0 | 0.9 | 37.8 | 31.7 |
| Mari Lee | - | 1 | 22.8 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 109 | 5.5 | 43.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Jaylyn Chorba | - | 20 | 12.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | -51 | -2.5 | -25.3 | 19.4 | 18.8 | 83.3 | -0.45 | 29.7 | 24.2 |
| Nina Marshall | - | 6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -3 | -0.6 | -144.0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.02 | 113.6 | 0 |
| Allison Twible | - | 1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG