Phoenix Mercury

2012: 7-27 (4-18 vs Western) · Western

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2012 All seasons:

Also known as: Phoenix Mercury

Program History

2012 Team Stats (34 games)

74.5

PPG

86.7

Opp

-12.2

Margin

38.4%

FG%

29.5%

3P%

76.1%

FT%

37.4

RPG

13.7

APG

15.8

82.5

Est. poss./game

73.6

Adj PPG

84.1

Adj Opp PPG

#12

Adj Margin Rank

Model Outputs

2012

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	850 (#10)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +76 elo More →	800 (#11)	HCA +76 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +80 elo More →	855 (#11)	HCA +80 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More →	-10.8 (#12)	HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.5 More →	-12.7 (#12)	HCA +3.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.148 (#12)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.8 More →	0.181 (#12)	AdjNet -12.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.3 More →	0.170 (#12)	AdjNet -13.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.6 \| AdjD 84.1 More →	0.278 (#12)	AdjO 73.6 \| AdjD 84.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.4 \| AdjD 83.6 More →	0.264 (#12)	AdjO 72.4 \| AdjD 83.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.220 (#12)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.218 (#12)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 \| GP 34 More →	790 (#11)	RD 150 \| GP 34
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More →	0.222 (#12)	Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2012 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2012-05-20	@	Minnesota Lynx	L	83 - 105
2012-05-22	@	Dallas Wings	W	89 - 87
2012-05-26	vs	Los Angeles Sparks	L	88 - 99
2012-05-31	@	Atlanta Dream	L	65 - 81
2012-06-01	@	Las Vegas Aces	L	66 - 85
2012-06-03	vs	Dallas Wings	W	79 - 72
2012-06-08	@	Los Angeles Sparks	L	74 - 90
2012-06-15	vs	Minnesota Lynx	L	60 - 78
2012-06-17	@	Dallas Wings	L	75 - 87
2012-06-20	vs	Washington Mystics	W	80 - 77
2012-06-23	vs	Los Angeles Sparks	L	84 - 93
2012-06-27	@	Minnesota Lynx	L	80 - 96
2012-06-29	@	Chicago Sky	W	84 - 81
2012-07-01	@	Washington Mystics	L	77 - 90
2012-07-03	@	Las Vegas Aces	L	81 - 82
2012-07-07	vs	Atlanta Dream	L	93 - 100
2012-07-08	@	Seattle Storm	L	68 - 83
2012-07-10	vs	Los Angeles Sparks	L	71 - 90
2012-07-13	vs	Seattle Storm	L	64 - 83
2012-08-16	@	Seattle Storm	L	58 - 72
2012-08-19	vs	Las Vegas Aces	L	47 - 89
2012-08-23	vs	New York Liberty	L	77 - 89
2012-08-25	vs	Indiana Fever	L	72 - 85
2012-08-30	@	Seattle Storm	W	75 - 68
2012-09-01	vs	Las Vegas Aces	W	94 - 90
2012-09-05	@	New York Liberty	L	59 - 87
2012-09-07	@	Connecticut Sun	W	91 - 82
2012-09-09	@	Indiana Fever	L	83 - 89
2012-09-12	vs	Connecticut Sun	L	78 - 100
2012-09-14	vs	Dallas Wings	L	84 - 92
2012-09-16	vs	Chicago Sky	L	55 - 86
2012-09-18	@	Los Angeles Sparks	L	76 - 101
2012-09-21	vs	Minnesota Lynx	L	66 - 89
2012-09-23	vs	Seattle Storm	L	57 - 71

2012 Roster

Show Alumni

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

legacy: 2012 has no current published run; its RAPM and plus/minus come from the legacy run (an earlier model generation, not verified).

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
DeWanna Bonner	G	32	35.0	20.6	7.2	2.2	1.7	0.9	2.3	18.2	12.1	333	32	10.4	9.5	36.4	28.3	85.2	1.5	48.7	40.9
Diana Taurasi	G	8	20.7	14.0	1.6	2.2	0.5	0.5	1.8	9.8	7.4	23	8	2.9	4.0	43.6	39.5	90.0	-0.17	61.4	54.5
Candice Dupree	F	13	26.5	13.2	4.8	1.3	0.6	0.5	2.1	11.3	7.1	113	13	8.7	10.2	48.3	0.0	81.1	0.59	52.7	48.3
Charde Houston	G	27	25.7	12.0	3.4	1.6	1.3	0.4	1.9	11.4	5.4	196	27	7.3	8.5	40.8	34.8	72.3	0.91	49.3	47.1
Samantha Prahalis	G	28	31.6	11.6	3.2	4.5	1.6	0.1	3.0	12.0	6.0	260	28	9.3	9.0	35.2	27.1	86.8	0.93	44.4	39.6
Lynetta Kizer	-	15	15.6	7.1	3.4	0.5	0.4	0.1	1.1	6.6	3.9	207	22	9.4	15.6	44.4	75.0	94.1	2.12	50.2	46.0
Briana Butler	G	11	23.5	7.0	3.6	1.1	0.5	0.5	1.3	6.5	4.9	119	11	10.8	13.0	33.8	37.8	78.9	0.83	48.5	43.7
Alexis Hornbuckle	G	34	25.5	6.5	4.2	2.0	1.2	0.5	2.1	7.6	4.7	300	34	8.8	10.0	33.5	32.5	60.5	1.66	40.4	38.5
Krystal Thomas	C	29	26.6	6.4	8.0	0.9	0.2	0.9	2.3	5.4	8.7	307	29	10.6	12.0	48.4	0.0	50.0	2.13	49.7	48.4
Alexis Gray-Lawson	-	19	16.7	4.5	2.0	1.2	0.4	0.2	0.9	5.4	1.9	92	19	4.8	7.3	29.4	15.8	73.1	0.83	37.5	32.4
Nakia Sanford	F	30	16.7	4.1	3.3	0.6	0.5	0.3	1.3	3.8	3.8	179	30	6.0	8.4	42.5	25.0	60.0	0.61	47.5	44.2
Dymond Simon	-	8	12.2	3.8	1.5	1.9	0.5	0.0	1.8	5.6	0.2	59	8	7.4	16.5	28.9	12.5	100.0	0.57	32.7	31.1
Avery Warley-Talbert	F	28	17.8	3.1	5.7	0.2	0.4	0.5	1.1	2.5	6.2	163	28	5.8	8.3	47.1	-	58.8	0.34	50.6	47.1
Andrea Riley	-	9	9.3	2.8	0.9	1.4	0.3	0.1	1.3	3.1	1.1	28	11	2.5	6.3	17.9	6.2	82.4	0.23	35.2	19.6
Zane Tamane	-	2	7.3	0.0	1.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	-0.5	-	-	-	-	0.0	-	-	0.24	0.0	0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2012 Shot Zones

2385 located field-goal attempts in 34 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

DeWanna BonnerCharde HoustonSamantha PrahalisAlexis Hornbuckle

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	400-676	59.2	800	DeWanna Bonner 22% (172 pts)	Krystal Thomas 14% (116 pts)	DeWanna Bonner 17% (48 misses)	Krystal Thomas 17% (46 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	148-479	30.9	296	DeWanna Bonner 20% (60 pts)	Samantha Prahalis 17% (50 pts)	DeWanna Bonner 26% (87 misses)	Charde Houston 13% (44 misses)
Mid-range left	84-245	34.3	168	Samantha Prahalis 19% (32 pts)	Candice Dupree 15% (26 pts)	Samantha Prahalis 23% (37 misses)	DeWanna Bonner 16% (26 misses)
Mid-range center	37-92	40.2	74	DeWanna Bonner 22% (16 pts)	Samantha Prahalis 19% (14 pts)	DeWanna Bonner 25% (14 misses)	Samantha Prahalis 24% (13 misses)
Mid-range right	86-273	31.5	172	DeWanna Bonner 31% (54 pts)	Samantha Prahalis 14% (24 pts)	DeWanna Bonner 34% (63 misses)	Samantha Prahalis 14% (26 misses)
Left corner 3	15-35	42.9	45	DeWanna Bonner 47% (21 pts)	Charde Houston 27% (12 pts)	Alexis Hornbuckle 30% (6 misses)	DeWanna Bonner 25% (5 misses)
Right corner 3	12-29	41.4	36	Charde Houston 42% (15 pts)	Briana Butler 17% (6 pts)	Charde Houston 35% (6 misses)	DeWanna Bonner 18% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 left	61-211	28.9	183	DeWanna Bonner 34% (63 pts)	Samantha Prahalis 30% (54 pts)	Samantha Prahalis 25% (38 misses)	DeWanna Bonner 23% (35 misses)
Above-break 3 center	19-116	16.4	57	DeWanna Bonner 37% (21 pts)	Charde Houston 32% (18 pts)	DeWanna Bonner 27% (26 misses)	Charde Houston 16% (16 misses)
Above-break 3 right	58-229	25.3	174	Alexis Hornbuckle 22% (39 pts)	DeWanna Bonner 19% (33 pts)	DeWanna Bonner 35% (60 misses)	Charde Houston 17% (29 misses)