🐻⬇️🏀

Ozarks (AR)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Ozarks (AR)
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 927 (#372) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 978 (#261) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -2.0 (#203) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.367 (#511) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.2 More → 0.538 (#224) NetEff +1.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.9 More → 0.312 (#444) AdjNet -6.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.3 More → 0.298 (#446) AdjNet -7.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 66.2 More → 0.390 (#448) AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 66.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Millsaps L 45 - 64
2024-11-09 vs Belhaven W 65 - 58
2024-11-16 vs Principia W 64 - 54
2024-11-19 vs Lyon W 77 - 64
2024-11-24 @ Hendrix W 78 - 62
2024-12-04 @ Centenary (LA) W 68 - 54
2024-12-08 @ Rhodes L 64 - 65
2024-12-19 vs Millsaps L 56 - 62
2024-12-21 vs Rhodes W 61 - 55
2024-12-30 vs Hendrix W 69 - 54
2025-01-04 vs Centenary (LA) W 84 - 44
2025-01-12 vs Austin W 71 - 54
2025-01-13 vs Dallas W 74 - 58
2025-01-17 vs Texas Lutheran L 54 - 61
2025-01-19 vs Southwestern (TX) W 75 - 72
2025-01-24 @ St. Thomas (TX) L 62 - 64
2025-01-26 @ Colorado Col. L 48 - 72
2025-01-31 @ Trinity (TX) L 51 - 64
2025-02-01 @ Schreiner L 58 - 64
2025-02-07 vs McMurry L 52 - 65
2025-02-09 vs Concordia (TX) W 63 - 62
2025-02-14 vs St. Thomas (TX) L 56 - 57
2025-02-16 vs Colorado Col. L 55 - 62
2025-02-21 @ Dallas W 62 - 48
2025-02-23 @ Austin L 51 - 56
2025-02-28 @ Texas Lutheran L 55 - 63
2025-03-19 vs Northwestern-St. Paul W 77 - 54

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Naomi Smith - 26 35.2 17.7 11.8 2.4 2.5 0.6 1.9 16.5 16.7 43 1.6 1.5 39.7 25.0 72.0 0.04 46.1 40.1
Abby Beene - 26 36.7 15.0 5.0 2.1 0.7 0.1 2.1 12.8 8.0 52 1.5 1.4 39.9 30.5 78.4 -0.21 51.5 46.4
Logan Jones - 1 29.0 15.0 5.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 12.0 121 4.5 5.7 42.9 50.0 50.0 0.69 50.4 50.0
Blythe Benefield - 1 24.0 14.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 13.0 - - - 71.4 0 66.7 - 72.6 71.4
Dalena Fisher - 26 23.2 10.2 4.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.1 9.4 5.0 76 2.1 3.1 38.5 31.8 80.6 0.4 49.0 44.3
Susie Moran - 1 20.0 10.0 13.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 13.0 - - - 36.4 0 100.0 - 42.1 36.4
Avery Arnold - 1 20.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 33 3.3 5.6 80.0 50.0 0 0.31 90.0 90.0
Abigail Mcbride - 1 16.0 8.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 5.0 - - - 57.1 0.0 0 - 57.1 57.1
Lili Garcia - 26 34.3 7.3 3.5 3.2 1.3 0.0 2.0 6.0 7.3 51 1.4 1.4 41.3 37.6 82.9 0.55 55.5 51.6
Keara Mattingley - 1 16.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 1.0 - - - 30.0 0 0 - 30.0 30.0
Taylor Rush - 1 26.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 3.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Kelsey Ground - 26 24.7 5.8 2.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 1.2 6.5 2.3 -6 -0.2 -0.3 30.4 30.0 60.0 -0.51 41.4 39.3
Abbey Linville - 1 22.0 5.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 8.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 100.0 - 64.4 50.0
Jaslynn Marsh - 26 24.0 3.3 2.3 2.8 1.1 0.0 1.8 3.2 4.5 39 1.5 1.9 33.7 29.0 70.0 0.08 44.7 39.2
Nadia Smith - 20 15.1 2.3 1.9 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.7 2.5 2.2 36 1.6 2.8 38.8 23.1 45.5 0.25 42.7 41.8
Savannah Ketchum - 1 6.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 0 0.0 - 34.7 50.0
Fallon Bowman - 1 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Elli Garcia - 26 4.3 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 -10 -0.3 -0.9 25.0 0 41.7 -1.17 29.7 25.0
Jacalyn Houston - 19 2.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 - - - 12.5 25.0 66.7 - 37.6 18.8
Lanie Moore - 24 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 -30 -2.0 -19.4 0.0 0.0 75.0 0.2 22.2 0.0
Emalee Smith - 25 1.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 -28 -1.5 -6.6 20.0 0.0 50.0 -0.66 25.5 20.0
Abby Sample - 24 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 25.0 - 7.4 0.0
Aaliyah Traylor - 10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kennedi Wright - 12 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -37 -3.7 -4.6 0 0 0 -0.21 0 0
Kendall Colbert - 7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Blakely Johnson - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15 0.8 2.0 0 0 0 0.26 0 0
Allyssa Joyner - 1 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Lauren Jones - 1 7.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 121 4.5 5.7 0.0 0 0 0.69 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG