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Otterbein

Also known as: Otterbein
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1066 (#113) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1191 (#31) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +12.7 (#69) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.604 (#404) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.2 More → 0.574 (#209) NetEff +2.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.5 More → 0.825 (#256) AdjNet +13.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.2 More → 0.825 (#257) AdjNet +13.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 56.8 More → 0.671 (#260) AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 56.8

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Saint Vincent W 70 - 60
2024-11-09 @ Wash. & Jeff. L 51 - 68
2024-11-15 @ Maine Maritime L 43 - 48
2024-11-17 @ Husson W 61 - 39
2024-11-23 vs Wittenberg L 60 - 67
2024-12-07 @ Baldwin Wallace L 48 - 69
2024-12-14 vs Heidelberg W 57 - 36
2024-12-21 vs Marietta W 76 - 63
2024-12-29 vs Albion W 63 - 48
2024-12-30 vs Oberlin W 60 - 56
2025-01-04 vs Mount Union W 62 - 51
2025-01-08 @ John Carroll L 31 - 48
2025-01-11 @ Muskingum W 62 - 59
2025-01-15 vs Ohio Northern L 55 - 64
2025-01-18 vs Capital L 50 - 58
2025-01-22 @ Wilmington (OH) L 56 - 59
2025-01-25 vs Baldwin Wallace L 42 - 52
2025-01-29 vs John Carroll W 69 - 67
2025-02-01 @ Heidelberg W 55 - 41
2025-02-05 @ Marietta L 60 - 64
2025-02-08 @ Mount Union L 59 - 70
2025-02-12 vs Wilmington (OH) W 66 - 57
2025-02-15 vs Muskingum W 80 - 52
2025-02-19 @ Ohio Northern L 64 - 67
2025-02-22 @ Capital L 54 - 73
2025-02-25 @ John Carroll W 71 - 54
2025-02-27 @ Ohio Northern L 42 - 55

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kyla Irby - 27 30.7 13.1 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.7 11.5 3.7 50 1.4 1.4 33.4 33.1 86.8 -0.23 48.9 40.8
Kathleen DeCarlo - 27 27.0 10.7 6.1 1.2 0.9 0.0 2.1 8.0 8.8 61 2.3 2.6 48.4 40.9 74.0 0.42 55.9 50.5
Mattie Walburn - 26 19.1 8.2 2.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 1.2 8.3 2.9 54 1.6 2.5 44.9 14.3 72.0 0.48 47.1 45.4
Abby Rawlings - 27 30.9 6.6 3.0 2.9 1.1 0.1 1.6 6.0 6.1 56 1.6 1.7 34.6 33.0 69.8 0.65 49.2 45.7
Kiara Hudgins - 27 30.7 6.5 3.9 3.0 2.2 0.0 2.3 5.9 7.5 39 1.1 1.2 38.0 28.6 75.8 0.4 47.0 39.9
Maizie King - 27 19.3 4.3 5.1 0.6 0.5 0.6 1.2 6.9 3.0 49 2.0 2.9 26.5 11.8 47.1 0.34 29.0 27.0
Anna Waskiewicz - 27 14.9 3.6 3.6 0.5 1.0 0.1 1.5 3.9 3.4 16 0.4 1.0 37.5 28.6 56.0 0.7 41.7 39.4
Madilyn Stechschulte - 20 11.3 3.4 3.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 3.4 2.8 31 1.1 2.3 41.2 27.3 61.5 0.59 45.4 43.4
JuJu Grubich - 24 7.2 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.6 1.2 1.5 26 1.2 3.8 39.3 40.0 66.7 0.24 50.1 46.4
Nicole Terry - 27 4.5 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.0 -21 -0.8 -2.2 37.0 0 41.2 -0.12 39.2 37.0
Sophie Smith - 20 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.1 215 5.1 8.7 20.0 0.0 100.0 1.11 23.9 20.0
Aliyah Moore - 23 2.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 -0.7 21 2.1 9.6 11.1 7.1 0 0.34 13.9 13.9
Kadence Conley - 27 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 -0.0 24 1.8 7.2 0.0 0.0 66.7 0.38 30.1 0.0
Ella Nagel - 14 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ally Carr - 27 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Lexee Brewer - 17 1.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.3 -0.4 -30 -1.9 -3.9 0.0 0.0 0 -0.11 0.0 0.0
Emma Crow - 26 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Marissa Wilkinson - 14 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Macy Etienne - 27 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Natalie Allen - 15 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG