๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Orlando Magic

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Orlando Magic
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (9 games)

107.0
PPG
116.2
Opp
-9.2
Margin
44.5%
FG%
34.2%
3P%
74.9%
FT%
41.9
RPG
26.4
APG
17.3
TO
101.2
Est. poss./game
108.7
Adj PPG
115.3
Adj Opp PPG
#21
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 979 (#18) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +9 elo More โ†’ 919 (#21) HCA +9 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +10 elo More โ†’ 928 (#22) HCA +10 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.0 More โ†’ -3.5 (#21) HCA +1.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +0.8 More โ†’ -3.1 (#21) HCA +0.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.341 (#24) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.1 More โ†’ 0.419 (#22) AdjNet -6.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.1 More โ†’ 0.419 (#22) AdjNet -6.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 108.7 | AdjD 115.3 More โ†’ 0.433 (#21) AdjO 108.7 | AdjD 115.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 108.8 | AdjD 115.1 More โ†’ 0.439 (#21) AdjO 108.8 | AdjD 115.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.373 (#22) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.374 (#22) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 127 | GP 9 More โ†’ 905 (#22) RD 127 | GP 9
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.429 (#21) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-10-21 vs Atlanta Hawks L 125 - 132
2026-10-23 vs Minnesota Timberwolves L 93 - 115
2026-10-25 @ New York Knicks W 111 - 102
2026-10-28 @ Toronto Raptors L 99 - 129
2026-10-30 @ Toronto Raptors W 121 - 114
2026-11-01 vs Boston Celtics L 97 - 108
2026-11-02 vs Washington Wizards L 94 - 103
2026-11-05 @ Phoenix Suns L 104 - 117
2026-11-07 @ Golden State Warriors L 119 - 126
2026-11-10 @ Sacramento Kings - Preview
2026-11-11 @ Utah Jazz - Preview
2026-11-13 vs Milwaukee Bucks - Preview
2026-11-16 @ Boston Celtics - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Paolo Banchero Paolo Banchero F 2 33.5 24.5 6.5 7.5 1.0 0.0 4.0 11.5 24.0 -20 2 -10.0 -11.8 69.6 50.0 70.0 -0.77 77.0 76.1
Franz Wagner Franz Wagner F 9 36.4 20.8 6.3 8.8 1.3 0.0 4.6 17.7 15.0 - - - - 44.0 23.3 77.1 - 51.9 47.2
Desmond Bane Desmond Bane G 8 34.5 17.5 3.9 2.2 1.0 0.8 2.6 14.1 8.6 -32 8 -4.0 -4.6 38.9 36.8 82.8 0.5 55.7 51.3
Anthony Black Anthony Black G 6 30.2 15.7 5.7 5.2 1.7 0.8 2.7 11.2 15.2 -24 6 -4.0 -5.3 46.3 42.9 76.9 -0.74 59.9 55.2
Tristan da Silva Tristan da Silva F 9 30.4 15.1 3.7 1.7 0.3 0.3 1.4 12.4 7.2 -44 9 -4.9 -6.4 45.5 40.0 40.0 -0.56 59.5 59.8
Wendell Carter Jr. Wendell Carter Jr. C 9 33.4 14.8 9.6 1.0 1.0 0.7 1.9 8.1 17.0 -27 9 -3.0 -3.6 63.0 47.8 73.2 0.79 73.0 70.5
Jalen Suggs Jalen Suggs G 3 33.3 8.0 5.0 5.7 2.0 0.3 3.0 9.3 8.7 -18 3 -6.0 -7.2 35.7 11.1 75.0 0.66 40.3 37.5
Jamal Cain Jamal Cain F 9 19.4 7.2 3.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.3 5.9 3.9 -85 9 -9.4 -19.4 41.5 30.3 91.7 -1.77 55.8 50.9
Jase Richardson Jase Richardson G 9 22.6 5.9 2.1 2.7 0.7 0.6 0.9 7.3 3.7 -34 9 -3.8 -6.7 31.8 24.1 80.0 -0.48 38.9 37.1
Jevon Carter Jevon Carter G 5 14.2 4.0 0.6 1.6 0.6 0.0 0.2 4.4 2.2 -27 5 -5.4 -15.2 31.8 33.3 0 -0.57 45.5 45.5
Goga Bitadze Goga Bitadze C 7 8.7 3.7 3.4 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.4 2.1 5.6 5 7 0.7 3.2 53.3 0 66.7 -0.37 60.2 53.3
Colin Castleton Colin Castleton C 3 4.3 3.0 1.3 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 2.0 3.0 -1 3 -0.3 -3.2 66.7 0 50.0 -0.43 65.4 66.7
Nikola Vuฤeviฤ‡ Nikola Vuฤeviฤ‡ C 9 8.6 2.4 2.4 1.2 0.0 0.6 0.3 2.7 3.7 -66 9 -7.3 -34.3 37.5 23.1 50.0 -1.8 44.2 43.8
Alex Morales Alex Morales - 6 9.2 0.8 1.3 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.8 1.7 -1 6 -0.2 -0.7 40.0 0.0 50.0 -0.14 42.5 40.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

653 located field-goal attempts in 8 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Wagner30% Wagner25% Bane25% Bane57% Banchero50% Bane27% Silva24% Silva43% Bane54% Bane33%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Wagner31% Wagner37% Bane14% Bane29% Wagner31% Bane24% Wagner24% Bane30% Bane31% Bane16%
Misses: who misses most here

Franz WagnerDesmond BaneTristan da SilvaPaolo Banchero

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 117-169 69.2 234 Franz Wagner 30% (70 pts) Wendell Carter Jr. 23% (54 pts) Franz Wagner 31% (16 misses) Desmond Bane 19% (10 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 59-127 46.5 118 Franz Wagner 25% (30 pts) Jase Richardson 14% (16 pts) Franz Wagner 37% (25 misses) Anthony Black 12% (8 misses)
Mid-range left 8-22 36.4 16 Desmond Bane 25% (4 pts) Jamal Cain 25% (4 pts) Desmond Bane 14% (2 misses) Franz Wagner 14% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 7-14 50.0 14 Desmond Bane 57% (8 pts) Franz Wagner 14% (2 pts) Desmond Bane 29% (2 misses) Franz Wagner 29% (2 misses)
Mid-range right 2-15 13.3 4 Paolo Banchero 50% (2 pts) Wendell Carter Jr. 50% (2 pts) Franz Wagner 31% (4 misses) Desmond Bane 23% (3 misses)
Left corner 3 15-49 30.6 45 Desmond Bane 27% (12 pts) Jase Richardson 20% (9 pts) Desmond Bane 24% (8 misses) Tristan da Silva 18% (6 misses)
Right corner 3 21-42 50.0 63 Tristan da Silva 24% (15 pts) Desmond Bane 19% (12 pts) Franz Wagner 24% (5 misses) Tristan da Silva 19% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 left 35-109 32.1 105 Tristan da Silva 43% (45 pts) Desmond Bane 17% (18 pts) Desmond Bane 30% (22 misses) Tristan da Silva 22% (16 misses)
Above-break 3 center 13-42 31.0 39 Desmond Bane 54% (21 pts) Franz Wagner 15% (6 pts) Desmond Bane 31% (9 misses) Franz Wagner 14% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 right 21-64 32.8 63 Desmond Bane 33% (21 pts) Anthony Black 14% (9 pts) Desmond Bane 16% (7 misses) Franz Wagner 16% (7 misses)