Oregon State
2013 Team Stats (8 games)
52.5
PPG
63.0
Opp
-10.5
Margin
36.4%
FG%
33.8%
3P%
60.3%
FT%
33.1
RPG
10.3
APG
17.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
56.0
Adj PPG
52.6
Adj Opp PPG
#115
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 899 (#221) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 897 (#239) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 902 (#295) | HCA +72 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +4.6 (#110) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +3.2 (#121) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.280 (#244) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.711 (#105) | AdjNet +7.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.718 (#104) | AdjNet +8.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.576 (#115) | AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 52.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.470 (#177) | AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 57.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.517 (#151) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.496 (#160) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 866 (#258) | RD 166 | GP 26 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-10 | vs | Western Washington Vikings | W | 71 - 59 |
| 2012-11-12 | vs | Cal Poly Mustangs | L | 62 - 72 |
| 2012-11-22 | vs | Louisville Cardinals | T | 0 - 0 |
| 2012-11-29 | vs | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | W | 71 - 48 |
| 2012-12-01 | vs | Sacramento State Hornets | L | 71 - 80 |
| 2012-12-09 | vs | Saint Martin's Saints | W | 84 - 36 |
| 2012-12-13 | vs | Cal State Fullerton Titans | W | 54 - 36 |
| 2012-12-15 | @ | Loyola Marymount Lions | L | 62 - 73 |
| 2012-12-21 | @ | Texas Tech Lady Raiders | L | 48 - 66 |
| 2013-01-04 | vs | USC Trojans | L | 55 - 56 |
| 2013-01-06 | vs | UCLA Bruins | L | 64 - 68 |
| 2013-01-11 | @ | Arizona Wildcats | W | 57 - 48 |
| 2013-01-13 | @ | Arizona State Sun Devils | L | 55 - 66 |
| 2013-01-15 | @ | Oregon Ducks | W | 63 - 53 |
| 2013-01-20 | vs | Oregon Ducks | W | 68 - 49 |
| 2013-01-25 | @ | Washington Huskies | L | 77 - 81 |
| 2013-01-27 | @ | Washington State Cougars | L | 73 - 76 |
| 2013-02-01 | vs | California Golden Bears | L | 38 - 60 |
| 2013-02-03 | vs | Stanford Cardinal | L | 45 - 65 |
| 2013-02-08 | @ | Colorado Buffaloes | L | 47 - 61 |
| 2013-02-10 | @ | Utah Utes | L | 40 - 66 |
| 2013-02-15 | vs | Washington State Cougars | L | 49 - 51 |
| 2013-02-18 | vs | Washington Huskies | L | 44 - 49 |
| 2013-02-22 | @ | Stanford Cardinal | L | 53 - 90 |
| 2013-02-24 | @ | California Golden Bears | L | 56 - 58 |
| 2013-03-01 | vs | Utah Utes | W | 54 - 46 |
| 2013-03-03 | vs | Colorado Buffaloes | L | 63 - 66 |
| 2013-03-07 | @ | USC Trojans | L | 57 - 64 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Weisner
|
G | 8 | 0.0 | 14.5 | 7.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 3.4 | 12.0 | 9.5 | -58 | 26 | -2.2 | -3.2 | 43.8 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 2.45 | 56.0 | 51.6 |
A. Gibson
|
G | 8 | 0.0 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 10.0 | 3.6 | -139 | 26 | -5.3 | -7.9 | 32.5 | 23.8 | 75.0 | -2.15 | 40.7 | 38.8 |
M. Schwegler
|
NA | 1 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 30 | 26 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 20.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 3.98 | 36.8 | 30.0 |
P. Bright
|
NA | 1 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | -69 | 23 | -3.0 | -6.3 | 60.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.94 | 55.1 | 60.0 |
A. Martin
|
G | 8 | 0.0 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 5.6 | 2.5 | -98 | 26 | -3.8 | -5.7 | 33.3 | 28.0 | 100.0 | -1.52 | 43.8 | 41.1 |
D. Hunter
|
F | 7 | 0.0 | 3.9 | 6.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 5.4 | 4.7 | -55 | 26 | -2.1 | -4.6 | 26.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.28 | 30.6 | 26.3 |
S. Edwards-Teasley
|
NA | 7 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 4.6 | -14 | 26 | -0.5 | -1.2 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 1.95 | 42.8 | 42.5 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG