๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Oregon State

Also known as: Oregon State Beavers
Program History

2013 Team Stats (8 games)

52.5
PPG
63.0
Opp
-10.5
Margin
36.4%
FG%
33.8%
3P%
60.3%
FT%
33.1
RPG
10.3
APG
17.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
56.0
Adj PPG
52.6
Adj Opp PPG
#115
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 899 (#221) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 897 (#239) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +72 elo More โ†’ 902 (#295) HCA +72 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +4.6 (#110) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +3.2 (#121) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.280 (#244) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.8 More โ†’ 0.711 (#105) AdjNet +7.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.1 More โ†’ 0.718 (#104) AdjNet +8.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 52.6 More โ†’ 0.576 (#115) AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 52.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 57.3 More โ†’ 0.470 (#177) AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 57.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.517 (#151) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.496 (#160) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 166 | GP 26 More โ†’ 866 (#258) RD 166 | GP 26

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-10 vs Western Washington Vikings W 71 - 59
2012-11-12 vs Cal Poly Mustangs L 62 - 72
2012-11-22 vs Louisville Cardinals T 0 - 0
2012-11-29 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 71 - 48
2012-12-01 vs Sacramento State Hornets L 71 - 80
2012-12-09 vs Saint Martin's Saints W 84 - 36
2012-12-13 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 54 - 36
2012-12-15 @ Loyola Marymount Lions L 62 - 73
2012-12-21 @ Texas Tech Lady Raiders L 48 - 66
2013-01-04 vs USC Trojans L 55 - 56
2013-01-06 vs UCLA Bruins L 64 - 68
2013-01-11 @ Arizona Wildcats W 57 - 48
2013-01-13 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 55 - 66
2013-01-15 @ Oregon Ducks W 63 - 53
2013-01-20 vs Oregon Ducks W 68 - 49
2013-01-25 @ Washington Huskies L 77 - 81
2013-01-27 @ Washington State Cougars L 73 - 76
2013-02-01 vs California Golden Bears L 38 - 60
2013-02-03 vs Stanford Cardinal L 45 - 65
2013-02-08 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 47 - 61
2013-02-10 @ Utah Utes L 40 - 66
2013-02-15 vs Washington State Cougars L 49 - 51
2013-02-18 vs Washington Huskies L 44 - 49
2013-02-22 @ Stanford Cardinal L 53 - 90
2013-02-24 @ California Golden Bears L 56 - 58
2013-03-01 vs Utah Utes W 54 - 46
2013-03-03 vs Colorado Buffaloes L 63 - 66
2013-03-07 @ USC Trojans L 57 - 64

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Weisner J. Weisner G 8 0.0 14.5 7.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 3.4 12.0 9.5 -58 26 -2.2 -3.2 43.8 50.0 100.0 2.45 56.0 51.6
A. Gibson A. Gibson G 8 0.0 8.5 3.5 1.9 1.2 0.4 1.9 10.0 3.6 -139 26 -5.3 -7.9 32.5 23.8 75.0 -2.15 40.7 38.8
M. Schwegler M. Schwegler NA 1 0.0 8.0 4.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 5.0 30 26 1.2 2.4 20.0 33.3 100.0 3.98 36.8 30.0
P. Bright P. Bright NA 1 0.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 4.0 -69 23 -3.0 -6.3 60.0 0 0.0 -0.94 55.1 60.0
A. Martin A. Martin G 8 0.0 5.1 2.2 1.8 0.4 0.8 2.1 5.6 2.5 -98 26 -3.8 -5.7 33.3 28.0 100.0 -1.52 43.8 41.1
D. Hunter D. Hunter F 7 0.0 3.9 6.4 0.3 0.9 0.6 1.9 5.4 4.7 -55 26 -2.1 -4.6 26.3 0.0 50.0 0.28 30.6 26.3
S. Edwards-Teasley S. Edwards-Teasley NA 7 0.0 2.7 3.6 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.6 2.9 4.6 -14 26 -0.5 -1.2 40.0 50.0 40.0 1.95 42.8 42.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG