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Oregon State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Oregon State Beavers, Oregon State
Program History
Coach: Wayne Tinkle

2018 Team Stats (30 games)

73.2
PPG
70.6
Opp
+2.6
Margin
46.7%
FG%
33.2%
3P%
71.5%
FT%
35.0
RPG
14.8
APG
13.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.7
Adj PPG
66.2
Adj Opp PPG
#95
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1097 (#113) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1041 (#146) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 993 (#184) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +6.2 (#92) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +6.5 (#89) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.609 (#107) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.3 More → 0.744 (#90) AdjNet +9.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.4 More → 0.747 (#89) AdjNet +9.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 66.2 More → 0.622 (#95) AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 66.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 67.4 More → 0.577 (#103) AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 67.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.634 (#103) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.626 (#103) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 130 | GP 32 More → 1076 (#116) RD 130 | GP 32

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 99 - 82
2017-11-13 vs Wyoming Cowboys L 66 - 75
2017-11-18 vs Long Beach State Beach W 89 - 81
2017-11-23 vs St. John's Red Storm L 77 - 82
2017-11-24 vs Long Beach State Beach L 69 - 74
2017-11-26 @ Marist Red Foxes W 65 - 46
2017-12-02 vs Loyola Marymount Lions W 78 - 74
2017-12-05 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 74 - 62
2017-12-09 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 85 - 58
2017-12-12 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 70 - 69
2017-12-16 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 63 - 60
2017-12-21 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 78 - 79
2017-12-29 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 76 - 57
2017-12-31 vs Utah Utes L 64 - 66
2018-01-05 vs Oregon Ducks W 76 - 64
2018-01-11 @ Arizona Wildcats L 53 - 62
2018-01-13 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 75 - 77
2018-01-18 vs UCLA Bruins W 69 - 63
2018-01-20 vs USC Trojans L 67 - 74
2018-01-27 @ Oregon Ducks L 57 - 66
2018-02-01 @ Stanford Cardinal L 71 - 80
2018-02-03 @ California Golden Bears L 70 - 74
2018-02-08 vs Washington State Cougars W 94 - 62
2018-02-10 vs Washington Huskies W 97 - 94
2018-02-15 @ UCLA Bruins L 68 - 75
2018-02-17 @ USC Trojans L 59 - 72
2018-02-22 vs Arizona Wildcats L 65 - 75
2018-02-24 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 79 - 75
2018-03-01 @ Washington Huskies L 77 - 79
2018-03-03 @ Washington State Cougars W 92 - 67
2018-03-07 @ Washington Huskies W 69 - 66
2018-03-08 @ USC Trojans L 48 - 61

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tres Tinkle Tres Tinkle F 30 36.4 17.3 7.1 3.6 1.3 0.5 3.0 12.5 14.3 70 23 3.0 3.4 46.5 32.4 83.9 1.8 58.9 52.5
Stephen Thompson Stephen Thompson - 30 36.6 15.8 3.1 3.3 1.7 0.3 2.1 12.7 9.4 57 23 2.5 2.7 46.6 34.7 67.0 1.92 56.5 54.5
Drew Eubanks Drew Eubanks - 30 31.5 13.3 6.9 1.2 0.5 1.6 1.7 8.3 13.4 70 23 3.0 4.0 62.5 0 71.0 1.02 65.8 62.5
Ethan Thompson Ethan Thompson - 30 32.4 10.0 4.1 3.5 0.6 0.4 2.0 7.9 8.6 53 23 2.3 3.0 38.4 34.0 73.0 0.61 52.0 45.4
Alfred Hollins Alfred Hollins F 29 13.9 5.9 2.6 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.7 4.0 5.1 -15 22 -0.7 -2.4 49.1 36.1 69.4 -1.58 59.3 54.7
Jaquori McLaughlin Jaquori McLaughlin G 5 25.6 3.2 2.2 3.6 1.6 0.6 2.6 3.8 4.8 -6 5 -1.2 -2.0 26.3 0.0 100.0 -3.24 37.0 26.3
Seth Berger Seth Berger F 29 13.3 3.1 2.3 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.6 2.7 3.7 12 22 0.5 1.7 47.4 20.0 54.2 -1.08 50.8 49.4
Gligorije Rakocevic Gligorije Rakocevic C 26 10.6 2.6 2.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.7 -45 20 -2.2 -8.7 49.1 0.0 61.5 -3.39 52.8 49.1
Kendal Manuel Kendal Manuel G 28 10.4 2.5 1.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 2.1 1.9 -25 20 -1.2 -4.8 40.7 38.9 53.3 -3.07 53.4 52.5
Zach Reichle Zach Reichle G 28 9.0 1.8 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.8 1.7 1.5 8 21 0.4 1.8 33.3 37.5 70.0 -0.77 48.7 45.8
Ronnie Stacy Ronnie Stacy G 19 8.8 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.9 0.9 19 17 1.1 5.0 32.4 33.3 31.6 -0.12 35.3 35.1
Xavier Smith Xavier Smith G 6 2.7 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 - - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Ben Kone Ben Kone ATH 15 4.1 0.4 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 6 8 0.8 5.0 10.0 0.0 100.0 -1.05 25.5 10.0
Tanner Sanders Tanner Sanders G 6 2.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG