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Oregon State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Oregon State Beavers, Oregon State
Program History
Coach: Wayne Tinkle

2016 Team Stats (27 games)

71.4
PPG
71.4
Opp
+0.0
Margin
43.6%
FG%
36.6%
3P%
67.1%
FT%
34.2
RPG
13.1
APG
11.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
73.1
Adj PPG
65.1
Adj Opp PPG
#71
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1168 (#83) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1163 (#70) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More → 1008 (#158) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +9.0 (#67) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +6.5 (#88) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.545 (#148) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.9 More → 0.833 (#65) AdjNet +13.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.1 More → 0.836 (#66) AdjNet +14.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 65.1 More → 0.675 (#71) AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 65.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 68.5 More → 0.553 (#126) AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 68.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.695 (#78) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.673 (#85) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 110 | GP 31 More → 1166 (#68) RD 110 | GP 31

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-14 vs Bushnell Beacons W 74 - 52
2015-11-17 vs Iona Gaels W 93 - 73
2015-11-19 @ Rice Owls W 77 - 69
2015-11-21 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 71 - 59
2015-11-24 vs Valparaiso Beacons L 57 - 63
2015-12-02 vs Loyola Marymount Lions W 79 - 70
2015-12-05 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 66 - 62
2015-12-12 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 67 - 82
2015-12-18 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 82 - 69
2015-12-19 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 76 - 71
2015-12-21 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats W 82 - 61
2016-01-03 vs Oregon Ducks W 70 - 57
2016-01-06 vs Stanford Cardinal L 72 - 78
2016-01-09 vs California Golden Bears W 77 - 71
2016-01-13 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 54 - 71
2016-01-17 @ Utah Utes L 53 - 59
2016-01-20 vs UCLA Bruins L 73 - 82
2016-01-24 vs USC Trojans W 85 - 70
2016-01-28 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 68 - 86
2016-01-30 @ Arizona Wildcats L 63 - 80
2016-02-04 vs Utah Utes W 71 - 69
2016-02-06 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 60 - 56
2016-02-11 @ Stanford Cardinal W 62 - 50
2016-02-13 @ California Golden Bears L 71 - 83
2016-02-20 @ Oregon Ducks L 81 - 91
2016-02-24 vs Washington Huskies W 82 - 81
2016-02-28 vs Washington State Cougars W 69 - 49
2016-03-02 @ USC Trojans L 70 - 81
2016-03-05 @ UCLA Bruins W 86 - 82
2016-03-09 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 75 - 66
2016-03-10 @ California Golden Bears L 68 - 76
2016-03-18 vs VCU Rams L 67 - 75

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
G. Payton II G. Payton II - 27 34.1 15.5 7.8 5.1 2.3 0.4 2.2 13.1 15.9 40 25 1.6 2.0 47.3 29.5 64.1 4.4 52.5 49.9
Tres Tinkle Tres Tinkle F 22 28.7 13.7 5.6 1.1 1.1 0.5 1.5 9.5 11.0 25 20 1.2 1.9 47.1 39.1 70.3 0.64 58.6 53.6
S. Thompson Jr. S. Thompson Jr. - 27 22.0 10.4 2.0 0.8 1.2 0.3 0.8 9.2 4.9 -24 25 -1.0 -1.9 39.1 33.7 69.7 -0.38 50.1 46.2
Drew Eubanks Drew Eubanks - 27 21.1 7.2 4.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.3 5.4 6.9 -16 25 -0.6 -1.2 55.5 0 62.7 -2.47 57.6 55.5
Olaf Schaftenaar Olaf Schaftenaar F 27 23.5 6.7 2.6 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.8 5.2 5.5 26 25 1.0 1.9 41.4 40.0 79.4 0.8 58.4 55.0
Malcolm Duvivier Malcolm Duvivier G 27 24.8 5.4 2.3 2.0 0.4 0.1 1.6 5.3 3.3 62 25 2.5 4.1 34.5 30.8 65.9 2.42 45.3 41.5
Langston Morris-Walker Langston Morris-Walker G 27 15.9 5.0 2.4 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.5 4.3 4.0 -20 25 -0.8 -2.0 36.8 35.6 65.9 -0.1 49.6 45.7
Derrick Bruce Derrick Bruce G 23 11.9 5.0 0.9 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 3.7 2.9 -2 23 -0.1 -0.3 38.4 52.4 62.2 1.47 54.8 51.2
Jarmal Reid Jarmal Reid F 21 14.8 4.1 2.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 1.2 3.7 2.7 -46 18 -2.6 -7.2 39.0 0 64.3 -1.84 45.6 39.0
Daniel Gomis Daniel Gomis F 11 7.1 1.3 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.7 -9 8 -1.1 -7.6 60.0 0 100.0 -2.99 64.3 60.0
Gligorije Rakocevic Gligorije Rakocevic C 22 6.9 1.3 1.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.5 -6 21 -0.3 -1.7 41.7 0 75.0 -1.11 49.5 41.7
Cheikh N'diaye Cheikh N'diaye C 23 5.3 1.2 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.7 6 22 0.3 2.6 81.8 0 60.0 -0.03 76.7 81.8
Matt Dahlen Matt Dahlen F 7 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - - 0.0 0 50.0 -0.2 26.6 0.0
Justin Stangel Justin Stangel C 3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 -0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Noah Togiai Noah Togiai G 2 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.97 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG