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Oregon State

Also known as: Oregon State Beavers, Oregon State
Program History

Model Outputs

1991-1992
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1112 (#92) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1052 (#119) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More โ†’ 965 (#194) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ +6.8 (#82) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +4.0 (#103) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.479 (#171) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.1 More โ†’ 0.761 (#77) AdjNet +10.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.1 More โ†’ 0.763 (#77) AdjNet +10.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 69.1 More โ†’ 0.644 (#80) AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 69.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 69.5 More โ†’ 0.523 (#139) AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 69.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.610 (#100) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.586 (#110) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 128 | GP 29 More โ†’ 1057 (#113) RD 128 | GP 29

1992 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1991-11-26 vs New Orleans W 79 - 58
1991-11-30 N Massachusetts L 65 - 74
1991-12-01 N Eastern Michigan W 87 - 72
1991-12-05 @ Western Michigan L 76 - 87
1991-12-07 @ Ohio State L 58 - 84
1991-12-14 vs Missouri State W 72 - 63
1991-12-21 @ Fresno State L 72 - 83
1991-12-27 N La Salle W 92 - 80
1991-12-28 N Minnesota W 92 - 80
1992-01-02 vs Sacramento State W 104 - 89
1992-01-03 vs James Madison L 68 - 80
1992-01-09 vs Stanford L 64 - 67
1992-01-11 vs California W 77 - 65
1992-01-16 @ Southern California L 73 - 90
1992-01-18 @ UCLA L 81 - 87
1992-01-23 vs Washington W 82 - 58
1992-01-25 vs Washington State L 69 - 81
1992-01-30 @ Arizona State W 61 - 47
1992-02-02 @ Arizona L 58 - 86
1992-02-08 @ Oregon L 63 - 64
1992-02-13 vs UCLA L 62 - 72
1992-02-15 vs Southern California W 92 - 78
1992-02-20 @ Washington State L 84 - 87
1992-02-23 @ Washington W 77 - 67
1992-02-27 vs Arizona State W 80 - 72
1992-03-01 vs Arizona L 62 - 70
1992-03-07 vs Oregon W 62 - 54
1992-03-12 @ California L 66 - 79
1992-03-14 @ Stanford L 56 - 76

1992 Roster

No roster data available for this season.