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Omaha

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

62.0
PPG
57.5
Opp
+4.5
Margin
35.0%
FG%
25.0%
3P%
69.0%
FT%
38.8
RPG
13.0
APG
14.8
TO
68.8
Est. poss./game
57.6
Adj PPG
63.0
Adj Opp PPG
#273
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 799 (returning production + recruiting): last season 872, returning -41, transfers -33, freshmen +0 More โ†’ 835 (#269) Preseason prior 799 (returning production + recruiting): last season 872, returning -41, transfers -33, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +169 elo More โ†’ 858 (#291) HCA +169 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +169 elo More โ†’ 860 (#291) HCA +169 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.7 More โ†’ -7.5 (#233) HCA +1.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.6 More โ†’ -7.4 (#233) HCA +1.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.198 (#248) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.4 More โ†’ 0.317 (#241) AdjNet -4.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.1 More โ†’ 0.298 (#254) AdjNet -6.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 63.0 More โ†’ 0.322 (#273) AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 63.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 57.7 | AdjD 63.1 More โ†’ 0.324 (#273) AdjO 57.7 | AdjD 63.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.307 (#260) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.307 (#260) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 180 | GP 3 More โ†’ 857 (#273) RD 180 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.245 (#273) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-03 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 48 - 66
2026-11-07 vs Avila Eagles W 69 - 34
2026-11-09 vs Western Illinois Leathernecks L 54 - 57
2026-11-13 vs Drake Bulldogs W 77 - 73
2026-11-18 @ Creighton Bluejays - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mya Skoff Mya Skoff G 4 28.8 14.2 3.5 3.2 0.2 0.2 1.0 13.0 7.5 7 4 1.8 2.4 32.7 25.9 80.0 0.55 46.9 39.4
Halle Dolliver Halle Dolliver G 4 23.5 11.0 4.8 1.5 1.2 1.8 1.0 9.8 9.5 -6 4 -1.5 -2.6 43.6 37.5 40.0 -1.33 50.7 51.3
Cora Olsen Cora Olsen F 4 25.0 10.2 2.2 2.0 0.5 0.0 1.8 8.0 5.2 9 4 2.2 3.6 40.6 37.5 80.0 -0.35 53.1 45.3
Ani Leu Ani Leu G 4 15.2 5.2 2.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.8 5.2 3.0 -6 4 -1.5 -3.9 38.1 0.0 71.4 -1.57 43.6 38.1
Aduke Ojullu Aduke Ojullu F 2 12.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 4.0 2.0 -5 2 -2.5 -8.5 50.0 50.0 50.0 0.12 56.3 56.2
Nyaluak Dak Nyaluak Dak F 4 12.2 4.0 3.8 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.8 3.8 4.5 11 4 2.8 9.1 46.7 0.0 66.7 -0.08 49.0 46.7
Jade Brown Jade Brown F 4 16.2 3.5 5.2 0.2 0.8 1.5 2.5 3.2 5.5 -2 4 -0.5 -1.2 46.2 50.0 50.0 -1.49 50.4 50.0
Sydney Terveen Sydney Terveen G 2 6.5 3.5 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.5 4.0 11 2 5.5 33.3 40.0 40.0 50.0 0.67 59.5 60.0
Avril Smith Avril Smith F 4 22.0 3.5 8.0 1.8 1.8 1.0 1.0 4.8 10.2 4 4 1.0 1.8 21.1 0.0 75.0 0.98 31.1 21.1
Ava Markowski Ava Markowski G 4 19.0 2.5 1.2 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.8 3.5 2.2 12 4 3.0 6.4 21.4 23.1 50.0 1.13 33.6 32.1
Elsa Vedral Elsa Vedral G 3 5.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 13 3 4.3 29.4 100.0 100.0 0 -0.21 150.0 150.0
Ali Stephens Ali Stephens F 2 12.0 1.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.5 -0.5 9 2 4.5 14.9 11.1 14.3 0 -1.33 16.7 16.7
Regan Juenemann Regan Juenemann G 3 8.7 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3 -2.7 3 3 1.0 4.6 7.7 8.3 0 -0.34 11.5 11.5
Leekaya Burke Perryman Leekaya Burke Perryman G 4 11.8 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.0 1.8 1.0 0.0 5 4 1.2 4.4 25.0 0 0 -2.11 25.0 25.0
Tannika Leger-Walker Tannika Leger-Walker G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

245 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Olsen24% Dolliver21% Dolliver50% Ojullu25% Vedral33% Dolliver27% Skoff100% Olsen33%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Olsen27% Skoff22% Smith50% Skoff50% Smith33% Juenemann43% Leu33% Markowski27% Skoff58% Skoff31%
Misses: who misses most here

Mya SkoffHalle DolliverCora OlsenAni LeuAduke OjulluAva MarkowskiAvril SmithElsa VedralRegan Juenemann

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 17-28 60.7 34 Cora Olsen 24% (8 pts) Ani Leu 18% (6 pts) Cora Olsen 27% (3 misses) Halle Dolliver 27% (3 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 34-79 43.0 68 Halle Dolliver 21% (14 pts) Cora Olsen 18% (12 pts) Mya Skoff 22% (10 misses) Cora Olsen 20% (9 misses)
Mid-range left 4-14 28.6 8 Halle Dolliver 50% (4 pts) Avril Smith 25% (2 pts) Avril Smith 50% (5 misses) Halle Dolliver 20% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 0-4 0.0 0 - - Mya Skoff 50% (2 misses) Aduke Ojullu 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 4-13 30.8 8 Aduke Ojullu 25% (2 pts) Halle Dolliver 25% (2 pts) Avril Smith 33% (3 misses) Mya Skoff 22% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 3-10 30.0 9 Elsa Vedral 33% (3 pts) Mya Skoff 33% (3 pts) Regan Juenemann 43% (3 misses) Halle Dolliver 29% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 0-6 0.0 0 - - Ani Leu 33% (2 misses) Sydney Terveen 33% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 11-37 29.7 33 Halle Dolliver 27% (9 pts) Mya Skoff 18% (6 pts) Ava Markowski 27% (7 misses) Ani Leu 19% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 center 4-16 25.0 12 Mya Skoff 100% (12 pts) - Mya Skoff 58% (7 misses) Ani Leu 25% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 right 9-38 23.7 27 Cora Olsen 33% (9 pts) Halle Dolliver 33% (9 pts) Mya Skoff 31% (9 misses) Halle Dolliver 17% (5 misses)