Old Dominion
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 898 (#320) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 864 (#323) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.1 (#133) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#42) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.301 (#443) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.507 (#220) | NetEff +0.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.996 (#43) | AdjNet +48.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.516 (#402) | AdjNet +0.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.997 (#38) | AdjNet +49.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.534 (#399) | AdjNet +1.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.954 (#35) | AdjO 84.4 | AdjD 51.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.505 (#405) | AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 66.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Grand Valley St. | L | 43 - 94 |
| 2024-11-10 | @ | Davenport | W | 53 - 46 |
| 2024-11-17 | vs | UIndy | W | 76 - 60 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | West Liberty | L | 85 - 91 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Cleveland St. | L | 52 - 94 |
| 2024-11-27 | vs | Gannon | W | 73 - 62 |
| 2024-12-01 | vs | Clarion | L | 64 - 77 |
| 2024-12-05 | @ | Hillsdale | L | 62 - 64 |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | Central St. (OH) | W | 65 - 50 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Findlay | L | 53 - 79 |
| 2024-12-16 | @ | Walsh | L | 80 - 88 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Wheeling | W | 74 - 67 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | Hillsdale | L | 62 - 69 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Tiffin | W | 94 - 48 |
| 2025-01-09 | vs | Northwood | L | 55 - 70 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Malone | L | 61 - 74 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 60 - 75 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Lake Erie | W | 80 - 62 |
| 2025-01-23 | @ | Cedarville | W | 84 - 56 |
| 2025-01-30 | vs | Ashland | L | 39 - 49 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Ursuline | L | 57 - 71 |
| 2025-02-04 | vs | Lake Erie | W | 69 - 52 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Northwood | W | 71 - 69 |
| 2025-02-13 | @ | Findlay | L | 72 - 90 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Walsh | W | 91 - 77 |
| 2025-02-20 | vs | Thomas More | W | 80 - 65 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 59 - 65 |
| 2025-02-27 | @ | Malone | L | 47 - 58 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Cedarville | L | 77 - 80 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Stare | - | 29 | 29.2 | 15.1 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 12.2 | 8.3 | -35 | -1.2 | -1.3 | 45.6 | 24.5 | 83.3 | 0.15 | 53.7 | 47.3 |
| Brynn Mullet | - | 29 | 33.6 | 13.6 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 13.2 | 7.8 | -60 | -2.1 | -2.0 | 34.6 | 33.0 | 83.8 | -0.32 | 47.7 | 44.0 |
| Sarah Ochs | - | 29 | 34.1 | 13.4 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 10.5 | 8.1 | -112 | -3.0 | -3.0 | 43.6 | 36.2 | 76.9 | -0.13 | 55.3 | 50.5 |
| Jenna Shackleford | - | 29 | 20.5 | 7.3 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 5.9 | 5.8 | -54 | -1.5 | -2.0 | 43.6 | 31.6 | 76.1 | -0.01 | 52.9 | 47.1 |
| Macy Chapman | - | 29 | 19.4 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 4.4 | -105 | -2.8 | -4.1 | 33.6 | 23.3 | 84.8 | -0.4 | 42.4 | 37.0 |
| Logan Pride | - | 29 | 15.2 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 4.2 | 4.7 | -31 | -1.2 | -2.2 | 41.8 | 25.0 | 61.7 | -0.06 | 46.6 | 42.6 |
| Meghan Mayotte | - | 21 | 13.8 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 3.4 | 1.3 | -28 | -1.5 | -2.5 | 33.8 | 18.5 | 83.3 | -0.25 | 41.3 | 37.3 |
| Mackenzie Hurd | - | 15 | 13.9 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 1.6 | -57 | -2.4 | -3.9 | 30.4 | 8.3 | 57.1 | -0.47 | 36.4 | 32.6 |
| Shannon Wojciak | - | 29 | 9.5 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 2.6 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 43.3 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 0.01 | 46.5 | 43.3 |
| Jazmyn Wheeler | - | 29 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | -24 | -1.0 | -3.1 | 26.2 | 26.3 | 70.0 | -0.04 | 36.6 | 32.1 |
| La'Sonja Hill | - | 10 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 69 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 0.18 | 42.3 | 25.0 |
| Camryn Pickerill | - | 29 | 12.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.6 | -15 | -0.6 | -1.5 | 34.8 | 29.4 | 100.0 | -0.0 | 46.9 | 45.7 |
| Madelyn Fearon | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.01 | 0 | 0 |
| Meg Saffell | - | 29 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG