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Old Dominion

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Old Dominion Monarchs, Old Dominion
Program History
Coach: Mike Jones

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

76.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
48.3%
FG%
36.5%
3P%
67.2%
FT%
38.8
RPG
14.8
APG
13.0
TO
65.7
Est. poss./game
67.3
Adj PPG
57.8
Adj Opp PPG
#117
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 810 (returning production + recruiting): last season 906, returning -22, transfers -48, freshmen -27 More → 886 (#205) Preseason prior 810 (returning production + recruiting): last season 906, returning -22, transfers -48, freshmen -27
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +212 elo More → 974 (#174) HCA +212 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +212 elo More → 1016 (#135) HCA +212 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.0 More → -2.1 (#181) HCA +2.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More → -2.0 (#181) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.653 (#116) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.5 More → 0.546 (#132) AdjNet +9.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.0 More → 0.553 (#128) AdjNet +10.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 57.8 More → 0.562 (#117) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 57.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 57.9 More → 0.586 (#97) AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 57.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.541 (#132) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.546 (#131) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 182 | GP 3 More → 978 (#168) RD 182 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.331 (#241) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 61 - 49
2026-11-04 vs Regent Regent Royals W 91 - 47
2026-11-07 @ Bucknell Bison W 82 - 62
2026-11-11 @ Norfolk State Spartans W 71 - 60
2026-11-14 vs Longwood Lancers - Preview
2026-11-17 @ Virginia Cavaliers - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Zacch Wiggins Zacch Wiggins G 4 30.5 14.0 4.0 2.2 1.5 0.5 1.8 8.8 11.8 31 2 15.5 17.6 57.1 23.1 81.2 0.3 66.6 61.4
Adante' Holiman Adante' Holiman G 4 24.5 9.5 1.0 1.8 0.8 0.0 1.5 9.2 2.2 7 2 3.5 6.5 37.8 33.3 66.7 -0.96 49.6 48.6
Jared Turner Jared Turner F 4 21.8 8.8 6.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.5 4.8 10.2 46 2 23.0 33.4 63.2 61.1 0 1.55 92.1 92.1
Bubu Benjamin Bubu Benjamin G 4 20.2 8.0 1.5 1.8 1.2 0.2 1.8 6.2 4.8 22 2 11.0 18.3 40.0 30.8 88.9 1.19 55.2 48.0
Kylan Howze Kylan Howze F 4 14.2 6.5 4.5 0.8 0.5 0.8 1.0 3.5 8.5 3 2 1.5 3.7 78.6 0 80.0 -0.59 80.2 78.6
Scottie Hubbard Scottie Hubbard G 4 11.8 6.0 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.5 4.0 4.0 9 2 4.5 17.3 43.8 50.0 100.0 0.88 67.6 62.5
CJ Lyons CJ Lyons G 2 10.5 5.5 1.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 9 1 9.0 132.5 40.0 40.0 50.0 0.3 50.6 50.0
Lucio Martini Lucio Martini F 1 10.0 5.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 - - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 56.3 50.0
Khoi Thurmon Khoi Thurmon G 4 18.0 4.8 2.0 4.8 1.2 0.2 1.0 4.5 7.5 31 2 15.5 26.8 44.4 100.0 33.3 1.16 49.2 50.0
Zamoku Weluche-Ume Zamoku Weluche-Ume F 4 18.2 4.8 5.8 0.8 0.8 0.5 1.8 4.8 6.0 -5 2 -2.5 -6.0 47.4 0.0 16.7 -1.29 43.9 47.4
Jotham Nweke Jotham Nweke F 4 16.8 4.5 4.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.0 3.0 7.0 15 2 7.5 17.1 66.7 25.0 20.0 -0.2 63.4 70.8
Rieco Hellams Rieco Hellams G 1 8.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 - - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 - 51.5 33.3
Ben Nacey Ben Nacey F 3 6.0 3.3 3.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 2.7 4.7 -6 1 -6.0 -55.4 50.0 0 66.7 -1.12 53.6 50.0
Cj Harper Cj Harper G 4 6.2 2.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.2 0.0 -2 2 -1.0 -9.5 33.3 50.0 50.0 -0.37 40.5 38.9
CJ Parker CJ Parker G 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -3.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Noah Eddy Noah Eddy G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Theo Gerges Theo Gerges G 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

234 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Howze18% Wiggins50% Howze50% Hubbard50% Holiman50% Hubbard31% Turner67% Turner33%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Weluche-Ume20% Thurmon19% Holiman33% Thurmon67% Holiman33% Hubbard40% Holiman40% Holiman19% Holiman60% Holiman23%
Misses: who misses most here

Zacch WigginsAdante' HolimanJared TurnerKylan HowzeScottie HubbardKhoi ThurmonZamoku Weluche-Ume

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 45-60 75.0 90 Kylan Howze 18% (16 pts) Jotham Nweke 13% (12 pts) Zamoku Weluche-Ume 20% (3 misses) CJ Lyons 13% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 26-57 45.6 52 Zacch Wiggins 50% (26 pts) Khoi Thurmon 12% (6 pts) Khoi Thurmon 19% (6 misses) Bubu Benjamin 13% (4 misses)
Mid-range left 0-3 0.0 0 - - Adante' Holiman 33% (1 misses) Bubu Benjamin 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 0-3 0.0 0 - - Khoi Thurmon 67% (2 misses) Adante' Holiman 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 4-7 57.1 8 Kylan Howze 50% (4 pts) Adante' Holiman 25% (2 pts) Adante' Holiman 33% (1 misses) Bubu Benjamin 33% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 2-7 28.6 6 Scottie Hubbard 50% (3 pts) Zacch Wiggins 50% (3 pts) Scottie Hubbard 40% (2 misses) Zamoku Weluche-Ume 40% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 2-7 28.6 6 Adante' Holiman 50% (3 pts) Cj Harper 50% (3 pts) Adante' Holiman 40% (2 misses) Bubu Benjamin 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 16-37 43.2 48 Scottie Hubbard 31% (15 pts) Adante' Holiman 25% (12 pts) Adante' Holiman 19% (4 misses) Bubu Benjamin 14% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 6-11 54.5 18 Jared Turner 67% (12 pts) Adante' Holiman 17% (3 pts) Adante' Holiman 60% (3 misses) Bubu Benjamin 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 12-42 28.6 36 Jared Turner 33% (12 pts) Adante' Holiman 17% (6 pts) Adante' Holiman 23% (7 misses) Zacch Wiggins 23% (7 misses)