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Oklahoma State

Also known as: Oklahoma State Cowboys, Oklahoma State
Program History

2012 Team Stats (8 games)

64.9
PPG
77.0
Opp
-12.1
Margin
42.2%
FG%
31.7%
3P%
77.9%
FT%
26.6
RPG
10.4
APG
11.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.6
Adj PPG
63.5
Adj Opp PPG
#98
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1144 (#99) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1049 (#136) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 965 (#219) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +5.9 (#95) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +4.3 (#112) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.393 (#221) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.6 More โ†’ 0.772 (#85) AdjNet +10.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.8 More โ†’ 0.778 (#84) AdjNet +10.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 63.5 More โ†’ 0.614 (#98) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 63.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 66.3 More โ†’ 0.508 (#158) AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 66.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.616 (#116) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.596 (#122) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 132 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1087 (#115) RD 132 | GP 31

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 71 - 39
2011-11-15 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 73 - 46
2011-11-16 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 90 - 85
2011-11-23 vs Stanford Cardinal L 67 - 82
2011-11-25 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 57 - 59
2011-11-30 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 59 - 56
2011-12-04 vs Langston Lions W 80 - 58
2011-12-07 @ Missouri State Bears W 72 - 67
2011-12-10 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 68 - 74
2011-12-17 vs New Mexico Lobos L 56 - 66
2011-12-21 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 52 - 69
2011-12-28 @ SMU Mustangs W 68 - 58
2011-12-31 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 61 - 67
2012-01-04 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 67 - 59
2012-01-07 @ Texas Longhorns L 49 - 58
2012-01-09 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 72 - 65
2012-01-14 @ Baylor Bears L 65 - 106
2012-01-18 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 68 - 71
2012-01-21 vs Kansas State Wildcats L 58 - 66
2012-01-25 vs Missouri Tigers W 79 - 72
2012-01-28 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 61 - 76
2012-02-04 vs Baylor Bears L 60 - 64
2012-02-07 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 69 - 67
2012-02-11 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 66 - 81
2012-02-15 @ Missouri Tigers L 65 - 83
2012-02-18 vs Texas Longhorns W 90 - 78
2012-02-22 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 64 - 77
2012-02-25 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 60 - 42
2012-02-27 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 58 - 70
2012-03-03 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 58 - 77
2012-03-07 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 76 - 60
2012-03-08 @ Missouri Tigers L 70 - 88

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Keiton Page Keiton Page G 31 35.6 17.3 1.8 2.2 1.5 0.0 1.6 6.5 14.7 32 23 1.4 1.8 39.1 37.1 87.5 3.35 118.2 51.2
Le'Bryan Nash Le'Bryan Nash F 27 30.1 13.2 5.0 1.4 0.6 0.4 2.6 6.6 11.5 1 20 0.1 0.1 41.8 24.2 73.3 0.04 87.5 44.1
Markel Brown Markel Brown F 32 30.9 9.9 5.1 2.4 1.2 0.6 2.3 4.0 13.0 -6 23 -0.3 -0.4 39.4 32.4 69.1 0.24 105.2 44.1
Brian Williams Brian Williams F 31 27.4 9.7 3.3 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.8 3.9 10.2 -32 22 -1.5 -2.3 47.5 28.3 73.3 -1.22 101.8 52.9
J. Olukemi J. Olukemi G-F 13 23.0 9.4 4.8 1.0 1.1 0.0 2.4 2.2 11.7 8 9 0.9 1.9 35.7 22.2 85.0 -2.63 165.8 39.3
Reger Dowell Reger Dowell G 11 19.2 5.5 1.7 1.7 0.3 0.2 1.5 1.5 6.4 48 7 6.9 15.3 47.1 55.6 100.0 2.77 163.8 61.8
Cezar Guerrero Cezar Guerrero G 31 18.3 5.5 1.6 1.6 0.7 0.0 1.3 2.8 5.5 23 22 1.0 2.6 33.7 36.1 80.0 -0.21 95.1 41.3
Michael Cobbins Michael Cobbins C 32 26.9 4.9 5.8 0.8 0.9 1.5 1.2 2.2 10.5 -17 23 -0.7 -1.2 52.1 0.0 59.1 -0.42 97.3 52.1
Fred Gulley Fred Gulley G 8 18.4 4.0 2.5 1.5 1.1 0.0 0.8 1.2 7.1 23 6 3.8 8.8 50.0 40.0 100.0 0.83 153.3 60.0
Philip Jurick Philip Jurick C 27 16.5 1.6 4.9 0.7 0.2 1.7 0.9 0.5 7.8 33 18 1.8 5.5 78.6 0 33.3 0.91 122.5 78.6
Marek Soucek Marek Soucek C 19 7.4 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4 -16 14 -1.1 -6.8 45.5 25.0 0.0 -1.41 101.5 50.0
Christien Sager Christien Sager F 11 4.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.4 4 9 0.4 4.8 0 0 0 -1.08 0 0
Grayson George Grayson George G 4 0.8 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.12 0 0
Mason Cox Mason Cox F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG