Ohio Wesleyan
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1145 (#28) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1358 (#7) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1224 (#16) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +20.4 (#28) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +16.3 (#144) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.975 (#169) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.896 (#164) | NetEff +15.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.985 (#128) | AdjNet +35.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.985 (#131) | AdjNet +35.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.882 (#131) | AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 52.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.782 (#70) | AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 55.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.874 (#84) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.872 (#78) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1394 (#12) | RD 112 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | vs | Otterbein | W | 72 - 62 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Calvin | L | 45 - 70 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Hope | W | 65 - 62 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Heidelberg | W | 86 - 48 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Ohio Northern | W | 74 - 59 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | John Carroll | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Capital | W | 68 - 53 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Simpson | W | 67 - 59 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Wash. & Jeff. | W | 61 - 50 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Allegheny | W | 75 - 60 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Wittenberg | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Kenyon | W | 83 - 55 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Wooster | W | 71 - 59 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | DePauw | W | 55 - 50 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Denison | W | 72 - 65 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Oberlin | W | 71 - 39 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | John Carroll | L | 65 - 70 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Wittenberg | W | 65 - 59 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macy Miller | - | 17 | 26.8 | 16.5 | 12.1 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 13.5 | 19.0 | 96 | 5.1 | 47.6 | 51.3 | 0 | 74.6 | 1.45 | 54.7 | 51.3 |
| Alyssa Griner | - | 18 | 24.7 | 10.0 | 5.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 10.1 | 5.7 | 105 | 5.2 | 33.9 | 36.3 | 0.0 | 70.6 | 3.24 | 42.5 | 36.3 |
| Maddie Ebbert | - | 18 | 22.9 | 9.0 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 7.5 | 8.7 | 86 | 4.5 | 27.3 | 39.3 | 30.0 | 60.2 | 5.06 | 46.6 | 40.4 |
| Kendall Dieringer | - | 18 | 20.5 | 8.3 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 6.3 | 5.3 | 144 | 7.2 | 52.4 | 39.5 | 42.3 | 69.8 | 1.0 | 54.3 | 49.1 |
| Nora Johns | - | 18 | 27.5 | 6.2 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 6.3 | 4.1 | 108 | 5.4 | 28.9 | 36.8 | 37.5 | 83.3 | 2.2 | 45.5 | 42.1 |
| Mia Guscoff | - | 18 | 23.1 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 6.1 | 0.8 | 42 | 2.1 | 14.2 | 30.9 | 31.9 | 50.0 | 1.51 | 44.3 | 44.1 |
| Katie Neuhart | - | 18 | 15.3 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 85 | 4.2 | 39.3 | 43.2 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.35 | 44.4 | 43.2 |
| Carly Lehman | - | 18 | 14.4 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 127 | 6.3 | 72.7 | 41.8 | 27.6 | 50.0 | 0.87 | 48.3 | 47.8 |
| Chloe Ebeling | - | 14 | 7.5 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 11 | 0.7 | 13.2 | 54.2 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.08 | 54.4 | 54.2 |
| Grace Heliger | - | 8 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 10 | 1.2 | 18.0 | 70.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.15 | 68.9 | 70.0 |
| Claire Wakim | - | 16 | 7.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 8 | 0.4 | 14.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 12.5 | -1.36 | 37.3 | 40.0 |
| Sophia Roush | - | 12 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 11 | 0.8 | 51.6 | 46.7 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 0.07 | 53.5 | 50.0 |
| Bella Brader | - | 17 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.7 | -0.6 | 7 | 0.4 | 10.4 | 10.3 | 10.7 | 75.0 | 0.94 | 19.5 | 15.5 |
| Camryn Brunner | - | 6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Chloe Kelly | - | 5 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.6 | 52.9 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.12 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Alexandria Magers | - | 5 | 5.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.32 | 9.2 | 0.0 |
| Amia Tate | - | 5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | -0.4 | -3 | -0.6 | -79.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.08 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Skylar Grabow | - | 5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 | 52.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.12 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG