๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Ohio State

Also known as: Ohio State Buckeyes
Program History

Model Outputs

2002-2003
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1188 (#64) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1109 (#78) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +112 elo More โ†’ 1044 (#107) HCA +112 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ +6.2 (#83) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +7.0 (#73) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.479 (#181) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.0 More โ†’ 0.779 (#71) AdjNet +11.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.1 More โ†’ 0.783 (#71) AdjNet +11.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 60.8 More โ†’ 0.623 (#81) AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 60.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 61.3 More โ†’ 0.571 (#94) AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 61.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.673 (#73) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.664 (#72) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1154 (#62) RD 112 | GP 32

2003 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2002-11-25 vs Coppin State W 58 - 51
2002-11-29 N Alabama L 48 - 54
2002-12-03 N Duke L 76 - 91
2002-12-07 vs Tennessee Tech W 71 - 64
2002-12-14 vs Morehead State W 74 - 60
2002-12-18 @ Pittsburgh L 49 - 69
2002-12-21 vs Seton Hall W 71 - 54
2002-12-23 vs Radford W 96 - 80
2002-12-28 vs Tennessee State W 94 - 73
2002-12-30 vs Hampton W 70 - 62
2003-01-04 vs Louisville L 64 - 72
2003-01-09 @ Michigan State L 55 - 66
2003-01-11 vs Indiana W 81 - 69
2003-01-15 vs Michigan L 50 - 61
2003-01-18 vs Wisconsin L 52 - 53
2003-01-21 @ Indiana L 51 - 69
2003-01-25 @ Iowa W 83 - 72
2003-01-29 @ Purdue L 65 - 70
2003-02-01 vs Northwestern W 65 - 52
2003-02-05 vs Minnesota W 73 - 68
2003-02-09 @ Illinois L 57 - 76
2003-02-12 @ Penn State W 76 - 67
2003-02-15 @ Michigan L 54 - 70
2003-02-22 vs Purdue W 52 - 44
2003-02-25 vs Iowa L 64 - 71
2003-03-05 @ Northwestern W 52 - 48
2003-03-08 vs Michigan State L 58 - 72
2003-03-13 N Iowa W 66 - 64
2003-03-14 N Wisconsin W 58 - 50
2003-03-15 N Michigan State W 55 - 54
2003-03-16 N Illinois L 59 - 72
2003-03-19 @ Georgia Tech L 58 - 72

2003 Roster

No roster data available for this season.