Ohio State
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1188 (#64) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1109 (#78) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1044 (#107) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +6.2 (#83) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +7.0 (#73) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.479 (#181) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.779 (#71) | AdjNet +11.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.783 (#71) | AdjNet +11.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.623 (#81) | AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 60.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.571 (#94) | AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 61.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.673 (#73) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.664 (#72) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1154 (#62) | RD 112 | GP 32 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-25 | vs | Coppin State | W | 58 - 51 |
| 2002-11-29 | N | Alabama | L | 48 - 54 |
| 2002-12-03 | N | Duke | L | 76 - 91 |
| 2002-12-07 | vs | Tennessee Tech | W | 71 - 64 |
| 2002-12-14 | vs | Morehead State | W | 74 - 60 |
| 2002-12-18 | @ | Pittsburgh | L | 49 - 69 |
| 2002-12-21 | vs | Seton Hall | W | 71 - 54 |
| 2002-12-23 | vs | Radford | W | 96 - 80 |
| 2002-12-28 | vs | Tennessee State | W | 94 - 73 |
| 2002-12-30 | vs | Hampton | W | 70 - 62 |
| 2003-01-04 | vs | Louisville | L | 64 - 72 |
| 2003-01-09 | @ | Michigan State | L | 55 - 66 |
| 2003-01-11 | vs | Indiana | W | 81 - 69 |
| 2003-01-15 | vs | Michigan | L | 50 - 61 |
| 2003-01-18 | vs | Wisconsin | L | 52 - 53 |
| 2003-01-21 | @ | Indiana | L | 51 - 69 |
| 2003-01-25 | @ | Iowa | W | 83 - 72 |
| 2003-01-29 | @ | Purdue | L | 65 - 70 |
| 2003-02-01 | vs | Northwestern | W | 65 - 52 |
| 2003-02-05 | vs | Minnesota | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2003-02-09 | @ | Illinois | L | 57 - 76 |
| 2003-02-12 | @ | Penn State | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2003-02-15 | @ | Michigan | L | 54 - 70 |
| 2003-02-22 | vs | Purdue | W | 52 - 44 |
| 2003-02-25 | vs | Iowa | L | 64 - 71 |
| 2003-03-05 | @ | Northwestern | W | 52 - 48 |
| 2003-03-08 | vs | Michigan State | L | 58 - 72 |
| 2003-03-13 | N | Iowa | W | 66 - 64 |
| 2003-03-14 | N | Wisconsin | W | 58 - 50 |
| 2003-03-15 | N | Michigan State | W | 55 - 54 |
| 2003-03-16 | N | Illinois | L | 59 - 72 |
| 2003-03-19 | @ | Georgia Tech | L | 58 - 72 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.