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Ohio Northern

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Ohio Northern
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1019 (#203) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 966 (#374) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1024 (#274) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +5.6 (#132) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +2.3 (#331) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.736 (#342) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -7.4 More → 0.269 (#423) NetEff -7.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.7 More → 0.916 (#197) AdjNet +20.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.3 More → 0.917 (#200) AdjNet +20.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 52.6 More → 0.747 (#207) AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 52.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 55.2 More → 0.555 (#298) AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 55.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.539 (#352) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.545 (#343) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 21 More → 1035 (#272) RD 105 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Wash. & Jeff. L 42 - 82
2025-11-15 vs Westminster (PA) L 40 - 48
2025-11-19 @ Manchester L 55 - 68
2025-11-22 vs Denison L 54 - 63
2025-11-25 @ Ohio Wesleyan L 59 - 74
2025-11-29 vs Trine L 49 - 50
2025-12-10 @ Wilmington (OH) W 75 - 40
2025-12-13 vs Capital W 68 - 60
2025-12-20 @ Mount Union L 59 - 67
2025-12-29 vs Elmhurst W 73 - 62
2025-12-30 @ DePauw L 30 - 60
2026-01-10 vs Muskingum W 59 - 54
2026-01-14 vs Otterbein L 43 - 77
2026-01-17 @ Marietta L 55 - 64
2026-01-21 vs Baldwin Wallace L 46 - 55
2026-01-24 vs Mount Union W 56 - 50
2026-01-28 vs Heidelberg W 80 - 66
2026-01-31 @ Capital L 49 - 59
2026-02-04 vs Wilmington (OH) W 65 - 39

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Emerson Gray - 19 28.7 14.4 5.4 2.1 1.7 0.1 3.0 11.3 9.4 - - - 46.0 32.7 80.0 - 55.2 49.8
Charlotte Pauling - 18 22.5 9.4 4.4 0.7 0.8 0.1 2.7 8.3 4.4 - - - 41.6 22.6 74.5 - 49.3 44.0
Courtney Sumner - 19 19.4 6.8 2.4 0.9 1.2 0.2 1.3 7.1 3.1 - - - 34.8 22.7 60.0 - 44.2 42.2
Gabi Croft - 19 21.9 5.2 3.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 1.2 5.8 3.5 - - - 33.3 22.7 76.0 - 40.2 35.6
Lexee Brewer - 19 21.7 4.7 3.3 2.3 1.8 0.2 1.6 4.2 6.4 - - - 44.3 35.7 64.3 - 52.3 50.6
Logan Phillips - 19 19.7 4.1 3.0 1.2 0.7 0.4 1.2 5.2 3.1 - - - 28.3 25.8 60.0 - 37.7 36.4
Liv Mueller - 16 6.6 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 2.7 0.4 - - - 39.5 26.7 0 - 48.8 48.8
Taylor Wagner - 19 13.2 2.4 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.5 - - - 41.9 0.0 73.1 - 53.0 41.9
Katelyn Stechschulte - 19 20.8 2.2 3.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.4 2.2 3.3 - - - 38.1 20.0 56.2 - 42.8 39.3
Pricilla Adjei - 15 13.8 1.9 2.7 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.7 2.0 2.7 - - - 36.7 25.0 55.6 - 41.2 38.3
Allison Schwartz - 9 3.1 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 0.4 -17 -0.8 -11.4 53.8 0 25.0 -1.85 50.8 53.8
Kennedy Morgan - 13 5.2 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 35 2.5 13.8 50.0 60.0 88.9 1.53 75.2 65.0
Allison Sevin - 9 3.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.9 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Kortney Fullenkamp - 7 6.0 0.9 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1 1.1 0.4 - - - 37.5 0.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
Liz Key - 10 8.2 0.6 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.5 0.6 - - - 13.3 15.4 0 - 20.0 20.0
Maggie Pothast - 6 1.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 45.2 0.0
Kayly Fetters - 8 2.9 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.6 -0.2 - - - 40.0 0.0 0 - 40.0 40.0
Sydney Little - 6 5.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 -1.2 52 2.5 16.7 0.0 0.0 0 1.45 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG