Ohio Dominican
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1065 (#120) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1132 (#85) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1046 (#131) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.4 (#83) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.4 (#130) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.508 (#330) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#18) | NetEff +70.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.648 (#331) | AdjNet +5.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.652 (#333) | AdjNet +5.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.609 (#324) | AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 68.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.711 (#63) | AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 68.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.770 (#87) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.756 (#87) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1141 (#85) | RD 93 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Drury | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Southwest Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Roosevelt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Davis & Elkins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Penn St.-Fayette | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Walsh | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Wright St.-Lake | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Cedarville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Ashland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Hiram | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Ky. Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Ashland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | Thomas More | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Lake Erie | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Thomas More | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Findlay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Malone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Northwood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Tiffin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Cedarville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Hillsdale | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Johnson | - | 1 | 32.7 | 24.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | -51 | -2.3 | -8.9 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 85.7 | 1.34 | 66.4 | 60.0 |
| D'monyae Davis | - | 1 | 37.4 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 14.0 | -74 | -3.5 | -12.7 | 43.8 | 37.5 | 75.0 | 4.22 | 56.3 | 53.1 |
| Daniel Allen | - | 1 | 23.1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 31 | 1.5 | 6.7 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 100.0 | -2.71 | 100.6 | 100.0 |
| Cole McWhinnie | - | 1 | 28.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | -38 | -1.7 | -7.5 | 55.6 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 1.82 | 82.4 | 77.8 |
| Elijah Hinton | - | 17 | 26.0 | 15.4 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 11.0 | 12.8 | 136 | 6.5 | 33.7 | 53.5 | 40.0 | 70.7 | 3.71 | 61.4 | 58.8 |
| Derek Goodman | - | 19 | 32.2 | 14.8 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 11.4 | 9.2 | 67 | 2.9 | 10.8 | 48.1 | 45.0 | 71.4 | -0.32 | 60.9 | 59.5 |
| Anthony Ruffolo | - | 1 | 34.8 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | -14 | -0.6 | -2.2 | 35.7 | 28.6 | 100.0 | 2.81 | 47.0 | 42.9 |
| Ethan Sellars | - | 1 | 32.5 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | -105 | -5.2 | -33.2 | 38.5 | 40.0 | 0 | -2.85 | 53.8 | 53.8 |
| Caleb Glaser | - | 1 | 27.6 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | -78 | -3.9 | -27.1 | 55.6 | 0 | 44.4 | -1.17 | 54.0 | 55.6 |
| Kai Simpson | - | 1 | 34.2 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 113 | 5.1 | 20.5 | 26.7 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 3.5 | 42.9 | 36.7 |
| Demar Burton | - | 1 | 34.8 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | -119 | -5.7 | -26.4 | 55.6 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.34 | 60.7 | 55.6 |
| Jaylen Davis | - | 1 | 32.3 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | -63 | -3.1 | -10.5 | 35.7 | 22.2 | 0 | -0.05 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Terrance Broughton | - | 19 | 28.1 | 11.1 | 2.2 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 9.3 | 7.5 | 28 | 1.2 | 5.7 | 46.0 | 32.6 | 75.0 | 0.04 | 56.3 | 54.5 |
| Michael Lucarotti | - | 1 | 37.4 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | -129 | -5.9 | -22.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 83.3 | 0.2 | 63.7 | 50.0 |
| Caleb Conard | - | 19 | 24.1 | 10.8 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 8.2 | 10.9 | 34 | 1.5 | 6.7 | 47.7 | 19.0 | 66.7 | -0.05 | 54.0 | 49.0 |
| Garrett Bolte | - | 1 | 22.6 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | -81 | -3.7 | -22.3 | 37.5 | 40.0 | 100.0 | -2.28 | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| Will Gibson | - | 1 | 24.1 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | -92 | -4.2 | -22.4 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -1.6 | 66.6 | 70.0 |
| Carson Browne | - | 1 | 18.4 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 119 | 6.3 | 40.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 4.34 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Logan Ryan | - | 19 | 19.3 | 8.1 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 6.7 | 4.7 | 36 | 1.6 | 11.5 | 43.3 | 36.8 | 80.0 | 0.82 | 56.7 | 54.3 |
| Tommy Morgan | - | 1 | 28.4 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | -48 | -2.2 | -14.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.29 | 58.1 | 50.0 |
| Colin McHale | - | 1 | 36.1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 24 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 30.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.02 | 38.3 | 35.0 |
| Carson Seemann | - | 19 | 22.4 | 7.2 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.6 | 10.1 | 95 | 4.1 | 19.6 | 54.5 | 35.3 | 72.3 | 1.98 | 62.6 | 58.0 |
| Jonathan Whiteside | - | 1 | 15.8 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -26 | -1.2 | -7.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -3.04 | 90.2 | 100.0 |
| Ethan Damerum | - | 1 | 19.3 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | -87 | -4.3 | -21.1 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Ashton Janowski | - | 1 | 32.9 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | -58 | -2.8 | -11.0 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.11 | 28.7 | 30.0 |
| Mitchell Rylee | - | 1 | 33.5 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 71 | 3.2 | 20.1 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.58 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Mikail Harmison | - | 1 | 11.9 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 26 | 1.2 | 10.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 1.9 | 133.0 | 150.0 |
| Braylon Morris | - | 1 | 18.8 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | -25 | -1.1 | -7.1 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.71 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Connor Stonebraker | - | 1 | 17.4 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | -1.0 | -20 | -0.9 | -5.9 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.17 | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Brady Moore | - | 19 | 12.8 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 39 | 1.7 | 15.1 | 54.8 | 5.9 | 50.0 | -0.07 | 55.6 | 55.5 |
| Jonah Nesmith | - | 1 | 14.9 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -172 | -7.8 | -30.4 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.33 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Jacob Pleiman | - | 1 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -86 | -4.8 | -67.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.36 | 72.5 | 100.0 |
| CJ Yarian | - | 1 | 12.4 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 15 | 0.7 | 4.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 3.17 | 51.5 | 33.3 |
| Zac Kimball | - | 18 | 18.9 | 3.2 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 6.8 | -14 | -0.6 | -4.8 | 48.8 | 36.4 | 100.0 | -1.96 | 63.9 | 58.5 |
| Ryan Paris | - | 1 | 23.6 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 39 | 2.2 | 14.6 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.82 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Tony Ezeonu | - | 8 | 6.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 4.1 | - | - | - | 61.5 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 0.8 | 75.6 | 73.1 |
| Rashid Nikiema | - | 12 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 19 | 1.6 | 36.3 | 31.2 | 9.1 | 100.0 | 0.68 | 40.8 | 32.8 |
| Noah Smith | - | 1 | 29.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | -135 | -6.8 | -46.2 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2.58 | 20.5 | 25.0 |
| Curtis Blair III | - | 1 | 8.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 31 | 1.4 | 10.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.85 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Paxton Giertz | - | 1 | 10.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | -8 | -0.4 | -4.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.69 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Zion Crowe | - | 1 | 13.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 19 | 1.7 | 38.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.64 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kyler Krull | - | 10 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.3 | 5.1 | 46.2 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0.33 | 54.2 | 53.8 |
| Camden Cox | - | 6 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 56 | 2.2 | 10.1 | 20.0 | 14.3 | 0 | 1.39 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Marquel Newsome | - | 1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -77 | -4.8 | -53.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.66 | 0 | 0 |
| TJ Pangonas | - | 1 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | -137 | -7.6 | -262.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3.57 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Andrew Blanton | - | 1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40 | 4.4 | 28.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Jonathan | - | 1 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -7 | -0.3 | -2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.34 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael App | - | 1 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 3 | 0.6 | 26.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Johnson | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 25 | 1.7 | 8.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Colin McClure | - | 1 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -48 | -2.3 | -18.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.66 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jack McCune | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 8 | 0.5 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.79 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG