Ohio
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1065 (#126) | Preseason prior 1058 (returning production + recruiting): last season 995, returning +132, transfers -68, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1046 (#125) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1045 (#124) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +5.2 (#122) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +5.2 (#120) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.674 (#116) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.564 (#138) | AdjNet +3.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.577 (#137) | AdjNet +3.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.543 (#146) | AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 58.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.542 (#146) | AdjO 57.3 | AdjD 58.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.589 (#127) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.589 (#127) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1052 (#129) | RD 222 | GP 1 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.586 (#126) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | UL Monroe Warhawks | W | 57 - 46 |
| 2026-11-09 | vs | Otterbein Cardinals | W | 68 - 44 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | Georgia Lady Bulldogs | L | 55 - 75 |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | Howard Bison | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | vs | Xavier Musketeers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sienna Allen
|
G | 1 | 15.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 104.2 | 100.0 |
Monica Williams
|
G | 3 | 26.0 | 11.7 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 5.7 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 11 | 1 | 11.0 | 12.2 | 36.7 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -0.61 | 49.6 | 45.0 |
Bailey Tabeling
|
G | 3 | 27.7 | 9.7 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 11.7 | 1.0 | 14 | 1 | 14.0 | 17.4 | 31.4 | 21.1 | 75.0 | 2.04 | 39.4 | 37.1 |
Gigi Bower
|
G | 3 | 17.7 | 8.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 8 | 1 | 8.0 | 16.2 | 41.2 | 46.2 | 66.7 | 0.63 | 61.1 | 58.8 |
Asiah Baxter
|
G | 3 | 22.7 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 6.0 | 5.7 | 12 | 1 | 12.0 | 22.0 | 38.9 | 27.3 | 75.0 | 0.68 | 50.6 | 47.2 |
Antonicia Moultrie
|
G | 3 | 25.0 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 4.7 | 6.7 | 5 | 1 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 35.7 | 0.0 | 81.8 | -1.02 | 50.4 | 35.7 |
Danni Scully
|
F | 3 | 19.0 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.3 | -4 | 1 | -4.0 | -8.8 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -3.15 | 46.8 | 41.7 |
A. Jennings
|
G | 2 | 14.5 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 6.0 | - | - | - | - | 23.1 | 16.7 | 50.0 | - | 32.0 | 26.9 |
Kamie Ellis
|
G | 3 | 23.3 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 8.7 | 3 | 1 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 30.0 | 28.6 | 100.0 | -1.53 | 46.0 | 40.0 |
Madison Lim
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 53.2 | 0.0 |
Vivienne Macheck
|
G | 2 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 34.7 | 50.0 |
Irene Asensio
|
G | 3 | 17.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 6 | 1 | 6.0 | 15.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Aubrey Pepper
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Blossom Wallace
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Cassidy Lafler
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Bella Ranallo
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
162 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Monica WilliamsBailey TabelingGigi BowerAsiah BaxterAntonicia MoultrieA. Jennings
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 20-34 | 58.8 | 40 | Antonicia Moultrie 20% (8 pts) | Bailey Tabeling 20% (8 pts) | Monica Williams 43% (6 misses) | Asiah Baxter 14% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 14-36 | 38.9 | 28 | Monica Williams 29% (8 pts) | A. Jennings 14% (4 pts) | Bailey Tabeling 27% (6 misses) | A. Jennings 18% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-4 | 50.0 | 4 | Bailey Tabeling 50% (2 pts) | Monica Williams 50% (2 pts) | A. Jennings 50% (1 misses) | Monica Williams 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-0 | - | 0 | - | - | - | - |
| Mid-range right | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Bailey Tabeling 50% (1 misses) | Gigi Bower 50% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 4-11 | 36.4 | 12 | Bailey Tabeling 50% (6 pts) | Gigi Bower 50% (6 pts) | Antonicia Moultrie 29% (2 misses) | Bailey Tabeling 29% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-6 | 33.3 | 6 | Gigi Bower 50% (3 pts) | Kamie Ellis 50% (3 pts) | Asiah Baxter 50% (2 misses) | A. Jennings 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 8-35 | 22.9 | 24 | Monica Williams 38% (9 pts) | Asiah Baxter 25% (6 pts) | Monica Williams 22% (6 misses) | Irene Asensio 15% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-10 | 30.0 | 9 | Gigi Bower 67% (6 pts) | Monica Williams 33% (3 pts) | Bailey Tabeling 29% (2 misses) | Monica Williams 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 4-24 | 16.7 | 12 | Asiah Baxter 25% (3 pts) | Gigi Bower 25% (3 pts) | Bailey Tabeling 45% (9 misses) | Danni Scully 15% (3 misses) |