Oglethorpe
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 997 (#248) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1071 (#141) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.1 (#174) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.542 (#433) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.682 (#166) | NetEff +5.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.389 (#419) | AdjNet -3.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.366 (#425) | AdjNet -4.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.426 (#419) | AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 67.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Huntingdon | W | 89 - 66 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Piedmont | W | 84 - 77 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Oberlin | L | 61 - 69 |
| 2024-11-17 | @ | Wash. & Lee | L | 60 - 79 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Agnes Scott | W | 88 - 63 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Wesleyan (GA) | W | 77 - 48 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | LaGrange | L | 77 - 89 |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | Maryville (TN) | W | 67 - 50 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Southeastern Bapt. | W | 74 - 45 |
| 2024-12-15 | vs | Warren Wilson | W | 102 - 66 |
| 2024-12-18 | @ | Lipscomb | L | 38 - 113 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Ferrum | W | 52 - 46 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Roanoke | W | 66 - 49 |
| 2025-01-05 | vs | Emory | L | 61 - 81 |
| 2025-01-09 | vs | Centre | L | 43 - 60 |
| 2025-01-12 | vs | Sewanee | W | 79 - 56 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Berry | L | 57 - 66 |
| 2025-01-19 | @ | Millsaps | L | 51 - 69 |
| 2025-01-24 | @ | Rhodes | L | 52 - 72 |
| 2025-01-26 | @ | Hendrix | W | 70 - 68 |
| 2025-01-31 | vs | Rhodes | W | 71 - 57 |
| 2025-02-02 | vs | Hendrix | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2025-02-07 | @ | Centre | L | 62 - 69 |
| 2025-02-09 | @ | Sewanee | W | 73 - 65 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Berry | L | 58 - 70 |
| 2025-02-14 | vs | Millsaps | L | 59 - 75 |
| 2025-02-23 | vs | Rhodes | W | 79 - 69 |
| 2025-02-28 | @ | Millsaps | L | 58 - 63 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keimarya Rivera | - | 28 | 32.0 | 16.2 | 9.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 12.5 | 14.5 | -23 | -0.7 | -0.7 | 50.7 | 22.2 | 76.2 | 0.9 | 56.1 | 51.3 |
| Sheraton Foster | - | 25 | 32.6 | 11.7 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 10.4 | 7.2 | -20 | -0.6 | -0.7 | 34.2 | 26.4 | 68.2 | 0.21 | 45.1 | 36.9 |
| Anna Conza | - | 28 | 31.0 | 11.2 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 8.3 | 7.3 | -46 | -1.4 | -1.5 | 39.7 | 36.6 | 85.9 | -0.28 | 57.0 | 49.4 |
| Montana Harris | - | 20 | 17.6 | 7.8 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 5.4 | 25 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 46.8 | 0.0 | 59.1 | 0.48 | 49.3 | 46.8 |
| Malia Melton | - | 27 | 21.3 | 7.5 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 6.3 | 5.9 | -94 | -3.0 | -3.9 | 39.6 | 30.0 | 65.5 | 0.02 | 49.0 | 43.2 |
| Briley Elder | - | 27 | 26.9 | 7.3 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 8.1 | 2.9 | -26 | -0.8 | -1.1 | 29.5 | 29.4 | 71.4 | -0.61 | 43.0 | 41.4 |
| Mia Geveke | - | 26 | 17.5 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 34.3 | 34.5 | 39.1 | 0.03 | 48.2 | 48.5 |
| Brooke Herdman | - | 27 | 13.1 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 30 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 30.1 | 11.1 | 60.0 | -0.01 | 40.1 | 30.8 |
| Elizabeth Luick | - | 26 | 8.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 17.9 | 16.7 | 80.0 | 0.01 | 27.9 | 21.6 |
| Ja'Nease Bender | - | 12 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 23.1 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.01 | 33.9 | 23.1 |
| Karina Lopez | - | 22 | 3.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | -4 | -0.4 | -1.9 | 17.9 | 9.1 | 33.3 | 0.02 | 20.5 | 19.6 |
| Lily Burford | - | 24 | 4.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 12 | 0.9 | 4.5 | 26.7 | 11.1 | 50.0 | 0.14 | 31.5 | 30.0 |
| Kat Johnson | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 67 | 2.8 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.42 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaden Winfrey | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -20 | -3.3 | -7.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.09 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG