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Oglethorpe

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Oglethorpe
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1045 (#195) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1115 (#129) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1031 (#244) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +8.4 (#126) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +1.1 (#354) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.542 (#433) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.0 More → 0.754 (#252) NetEff +8.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.9 More → 0.389 (#419) AdjNet -3.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.7 More → 0.366 (#425) AdjNet -4.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 67.5 More → 0.426 (#419) AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 67.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 64.2 More → 0.526 (#342) AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 64.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.584 (#303) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.580 (#317) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 21 More → 1079 (#208) RD 102 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Georgia St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 @ Piedmont - Incomplete score
2025-11-12 @ LaGrange - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Huntingdon - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ Agnes Scott - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 vs LaGrange - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs Berry - Incomplete score
2025-12-15 vs Pacific (OR) - Incomplete score
2025-12-17 vs Hope - Incomplete score
2025-12-29 vs Berea - Incomplete score
2025-12-30 vs Covenant - Incomplete score
2026-01-11 @ Southwestern (TX) - Incomplete score
2026-01-16 vs Sewanee - Incomplete score
2026-01-18 vs Centre - Incomplete score
2026-01-23 @ Berry - Incomplete score
2026-01-30 vs Rhodes - Incomplete score
2026-02-01 vs Millsaps - Incomplete score
2026-02-06 @ Sewanee - Incomplete score
2026-02-08 @ Centre - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Keimarya Rivera - 18 30.8 19.3 8.7 2.0 1.1 1.0 2.5 12.7 17.0 73 3.5 14.7 56.1 12.5 79.8 2.6 62.6 56.4
Marlie Battle - 18 29.4 11.1 5.6 2.9 3.6 0.3 3.1 10.2 10.2 40 2.1 8.3 44.3 23.3 44.9 2.86 46.9 46.2
Sheraton Foster - 18 25.0 9.1 2.3 1.6 1.7 0.1 2.0 8.1 4.7 77 3.7 21.4 29.7 28.1 70.9 1.82 44.6 35.2
Anna Conza - 18 27.5 9.1 2.7 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.0 8.1 3.5 34 1.6 7.2 33.8 37.6 75.6 -1.68 49.8 44.8
Malia Melton - 18 24.0 6.1 4.9 1.8 0.6 0.2 2.1 4.9 6.7 77 3.7 18.4 38.2 21.4 66.0 1.91 48.5 41.6
Jaden Winfrey - 18 15.3 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.9 0.2 0.8 3.7 4.3 5 0.3 2.4 34.8 37.8 88.9 -0.6 55.9 47.7
Briley Elder - 18 19.1 4.6 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.0 5.3 1.2 51 2.4 15.8 27.1 27.8 57.9 0.29 39.8 37.5
Callie Cavender - 5 2.9 1.8 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.8 0.4 - - - 44.4 0.0 33.3 - 43.6 44.4
Aliyah Shaffer - 17 9.2 1.4 2.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 1.2 2.5 0.5 -34 -1.9 -30.6 19.0 23.5 44.4 -1.63 26.1 23.8
Genny Rogers - 10 3.7 1.2 0.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.0 0.6 7 0.9 31.1 40.0 0 66.7 0.03 47.5 40.0
Lauren Phillip - 18 6.1 0.8 1.9 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.3 -31 -1.6 -30.0 20.8 0 33.3 -3.16 23.9 20.8
Ashton Jones - 9 3.4 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.4 3 0.3 11.8 33.3 50.0 50.0 -1.19 43.6 41.7
Sarah Kate Evans - 3 2.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 -11 -0.6 -2.6 50.0 0.0 0 1.57 50.0 50.0
Gaby LoPresti - 11 3.4 0.5 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 -29 -3.2 -161.1 40.0 0.0 16.7 -2.77 32.7 40.0
Kamaria McDermott - 6 2.4 0.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.3 1.5 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Channing Segars - 3 1.3 0.3 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.3 -0.3 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 10.2 0.0
Brooke Herdman - 16 4.5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 -7 -0.4 -18.0 16.7 0.0 25.0 -3.52 19.3 16.7
Abby Scott - 7 3.3 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 20 2.9 1411.8 0.0 0 50.0 1.99 12.9 0.0
Lily Burford - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sarah Kate - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG