Occidental
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 912 (#389) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 977 (#264) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.8 (#124) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.630 (#386) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.511 (#231) | NetEff +0.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.772 (#283) | AdjNet +10.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.772 (#282) | AdjNet +10.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.634 (#284) | AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 61.7 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-04 | @ | UC San Diego | L | 51 - 86 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Stanton | W | 107 - 51 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Ottawa (AZ) | L | 65 - 67 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Nobel | L | 80 - 82 |
| 2024-11-18 | vs | Linfield | L | 53 - 57 |
| 2024-11-21 | vs | La Verne | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2024-11-24 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | L | 52 - 55 |
| 2024-12-15 | @ | Whittier | L | 56 - 67 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Puget Sound | W | 52 - 50 |
| 2024-12-22 | vs | Willamette | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2024-12-31 | vs | Nobel | W | 78 - 56 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Caltech | W | 80 - 79 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Chapman | W | 75 - 52 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | SAGU American Indian | W | 66 - 36 |
| 2025-01-20 | @ | Caltech | L | 65 - 67 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Pomona-Pitzer | W | 79 - 55 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Redlands | W | 78 - 71 |
| 2025-01-27 | @ | Claremont-M-S | W | 60 - 53 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Whittier | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Cal Lutheran | L | 53 - 73 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Chapman | L | 57 - 71 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | La Verne | L | 61 - 77 |
| 2025-02-10 | vs | Cal Lutheran | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Claremont-M-S | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Redlands | L | 60 - 72 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | L | 54 - 60 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlin Imai | - | 1 | 32.0 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | -17 | -0.5 | -0.4 | 72.7 | 77.8 | 80.0 | -0.03 | 102.3 | 104.5 |
| Elyse Waldal | - | 1 | 33.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 10.0 | -37 | -1.5 | -1.6 | 50.0 | 42.9 | 100.0 | -0.22 | 66.0 | 62.5 |
| Ainsley Shelsta | - | 19 | 26.6 | 14.0 | 10.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 11.1 | 14.3 | 40 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 49.5 | 0 | 58.6 | 0.15 | 52.5 | 49.5 |
| Paige Yasukochi | - | 26 | 35.9 | 13.3 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 13.0 | 7.5 | 92 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 41.6 | 33.3 | 77.6 | -0.11 | 47.5 | 44.4 |
| Mele Sake | - | 1 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 57 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 54.5 | 0 | 0 | 0.27 | 54.5 | 54.5 |
| Addison Reardon | - | 1 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 54 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 44.4 | 37.5 | 0 | 0.54 | 61.1 | 61.1 |
| Dara Tokeshi | - | 21 | 30.9 | 10.0 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 94 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 39.7 | 26.8 | 75.5 | 0.17 | 49.6 | 45.5 |
| Alexis Dockter | - | 1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 16 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 44.4 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.65 | 55.6 | 55.6 |
| Michelle Lagunas-Monroy | - | 20 | 23.9 | 9.1 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 7.6 | 9.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 45.4 | 0 | 71.7 | 0.01 | 50.7 | 45.4 |
| Miche Lagunas-monroy | - | 2 | 30.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.7 | 0 | 72.7 | 0.01 | 32.3 | 21.7 |
| Michelle Lagunas-mon | - | 1 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 70.9 | 66.7 |
| Emily Ko | - | 26 | 24.8 | 7.4 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 77 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 37.1 | 35.8 | 79.2 | 0.11 | 48.9 | 44.0 |
| Gio Horner | - | 1 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | -4.0 | -25 | -1.0 | -0.9 | 15.4 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.05 | 23.7 | 15.4 |
| Dominique Cabading | - | 24 | 30.4 | 6.3 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 7.5 | 5.6 | 74 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 26.3 | 28.0 | 65.5 | 0.1 | 37.2 | 32.1 |
| Peyton Gardner | - | 1 | 31.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | -74 | -2.1 | -2.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.24 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Autumn Hill | - | 1 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 20.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.46 | 23.0 | 20.0 |
| Sarah Skaggs | - | 1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | -16 | -0.9 | -1.5 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.44 | 64.4 | 66.7 |
| Megan Delgado | - | 24 | 9.7 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 40.7 | 38.5 | 100.0 | -0.21 | 55.0 | 54.4 |
| Natalia Sefair-Lopez | - | 1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 20 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.25 | 60.2 | 50.0 |
| Ila Giblin | - | 25 | 11.9 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 32 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 52.7 | 0.0 | 65.4 | 0.03 | 55.6 | 52.7 |
| Kh Anderson-strawder | - | 2 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.22 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Khailand Anderson-st | - | 2 | 14.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0 | 0 | - | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Emme Eisenman | - | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 75 | 3.3 | 4.7 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 18.4 | 20.0 |
| Carmen Cruz | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 39 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.46 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Claire Thompson | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 51 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.72 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Paige Oh | - | 1 | 29.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | -2.0 | 39 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.23 | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| Khailand Anderson-Strawder | - | 19 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 37.8 | 0.0 | 85.7 | 0.11 | 42.4 | 37.8 |
| Micah Elegores | - | 13 | 9.9 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 11 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 29.6 | 14.3 | 57.1 | 0.17 | 34.9 | 31.5 |
| Kayla Ikuma | - | 26 | 6.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 53 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 46.4 | 31.2 | 25.0 | 0.13 | 53.8 | 55.4 |
| Cristina Sepulveda | - | 22 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 36.4 | 40.0 | 77.8 | -0.05 | 56.8 | 45.5 |
| Morgan Seshiki | - | 22 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 46.2 | 16.7 | 100.0 | - | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Nicole Vanegas | - | 22 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 43 | 2.9 | 16.7 | 38.5 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 0.58 | 40.7 | 42.3 |
| Lillian Spector | - | 14 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 6 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.04 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Alyanna McGrath | - | 11 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Savannah Pohl | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 39 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.42 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Brianna Forbess | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -6 | -0.3 | -1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 |
| Cayton Smith | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -42 | -1.7 | -4.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Katie Anderson | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ayana Peterson-Henry | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -35 | -1.7 | -8.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.53 | 0 | 0 |
| Maya Sanders | - | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -9 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jaydin Lutu | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Aasia Williams | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -35 | -1.8 | -9.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.32 | 0 | 0 |
| Daisy Boling-Schmidt | - | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -54 | -1.5 | -1.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.08 | 0 | 0 |
| Emma Floyd | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -9 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Syd Shoemaker | - | 1 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -42 | -1.8 | -9.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.33 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Lecia Sincere | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Addie Hiler | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.15 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG