🐻⬇️🏀

Occidental

Also known as: Occidental
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 912 (#389) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 977 (#264) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +5.8 (#124) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.630 (#386) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.3 More → 0.511 (#231) NetEff +0.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.6 More → 0.772 (#283) AdjNet +10.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.3 More → 0.772 (#282) AdjNet +10.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 61.7 More → 0.634 (#284) AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 61.7

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-04 @ UC San Diego L 51 - 86
2024-11-09 vs Stanton W 107 - 51
2024-11-13 vs Ottawa (AZ) L 65 - 67
2024-11-15 vs Nobel L 80 - 82
2024-11-18 vs Linfield L 53 - 57
2024-11-21 vs La Verne W 72 - 55
2024-11-24 vs UC Santa Cruz L 52 - 55
2024-12-15 @ Whittier L 56 - 67
2024-12-21 @ Puget Sound W 52 - 50
2024-12-22 vs Willamette W 71 - 67
2024-12-31 vs Nobel W 78 - 56
2025-01-04 vs Caltech W 80 - 79
2025-01-15 vs Chapman W 75 - 52
2025-01-16 vs SAGU American Indian W 66 - 36
2025-01-20 @ Caltech L 65 - 67
2025-01-22 vs Pomona-Pitzer W 79 - 55
2025-01-25 vs Redlands W 78 - 71
2025-01-27 @ Claremont-M-S W 60 - 53
2025-01-29 vs Whittier L 63 - 67
2025-02-01 @ Cal Lutheran L 53 - 73
2025-02-05 @ Chapman L 57 - 71
2025-02-08 @ La Verne L 61 - 77
2025-02-10 vs Cal Lutheran W 68 - 63
2025-02-12 vs Claremont-M-S L 58 - 67
2025-02-15 @ Redlands L 60 - 72
2025-02-19 @ Pomona-Pitzer L 54 - 60

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kaitlin Imai - 1 32.0 27.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 21.0 -17 -0.5 -0.4 72.7 77.8 80.0 -0.03 102.3 104.5
Elyse Waldal - 1 33.0 17.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 10.0 -37 -1.5 -1.6 50.0 42.9 100.0 -0.22 66.0 62.5
Ainsley Shelsta - 19 26.6 14.0 10.9 0.9 0.4 1.1 1.9 11.1 14.3 40 2.2 2.3 49.5 0 58.6 0.15 52.5 49.5
Paige Yasukochi - 26 35.9 13.3 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.6 2.5 13.0 7.5 92 2.5 2.2 41.6 33.3 77.6 -0.11 47.5 44.4
Mele Sake - 1 26.0 12.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 11.0 12.0 57 1.6 2.8 54.5 0 0 0.27 54.5 54.5
Addison Reardon - 1 28.0 11.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 2.0 54 2.2 2.5 44.4 37.5 0 0.54 61.1 61.1
Dara Tokeshi - 21 30.9 10.0 1.9 1.6 1.2 0.0 1.1 9.0 4.5 94 3.4 2.9 39.7 26.8 75.5 0.17 49.6 45.5
Alexis Dockter - 1 19.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 2.0 16 0.8 1.6 44.4 50.0 0 -0.65 55.6 55.6
Michelle Lagunas-Monroy - 20 23.9 9.1 6.4 1.4 0.7 1.2 1.9 7.6 9.1 0 0.0 0.0 45.4 0 71.7 0.01 50.7 45.4
Miche Lagunas-monroy - 2 30.0 9.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 11.5 5.5 0 0.0 0.0 21.7 0 72.7 0.01 32.3 21.7
Michelle Lagunas-mon - 1 24.0 8.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 15.0 - - - 66.7 0 66.7 - 70.9 66.7
Emily Ko - 26 24.8 7.4 4.2 2.8 1.3 0.1 2.5 6.7 6.6 77 2.2 3.1 37.1 35.8 79.2 0.11 48.9 44.0
Gio Horner - 1 23.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 -4.0 -25 -1.0 -0.9 15.4 0.0 75.0 -0.05 23.7 15.4
Dominique Cabading - 24 30.4 6.3 4.4 3.1 1.8 0.2 2.8 7.5 5.6 74 2.1 2.2 26.3 28.0 65.5 0.1 37.2 32.1
Peyton Gardner - 1 31.0 6.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 3.0 -74 -2.1 -2.4 33.3 0.0 0 0.24 33.3 33.3
Autumn Hill - 1 20.0 5.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 4.0 3 0.1 0.1 20.0 0 50.0 0.46 23.0 20.0
Sarah Skaggs - 1 19.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 -16 -0.9 -1.5 66.7 0.0 50.0 -0.44 64.4 66.7
Megan Delgado - 24 9.7 4.2 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.9 3.8 1.3 2 0.1 0.2 40.7 38.5 100.0 -0.21 55.0 54.4
Natalia Sefair-Lopez - 1 8.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 20 0.6 1.0 50.0 0.0 66.7 0.25 60.2 50.0
Ila Giblin - 25 11.9 3.8 2.6 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 3.0 3.8 32 1.1 1.8 52.7 0.0 65.4 0.03 55.6 52.7
Kh Anderson-strawder - 2 7.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 0.5 2 0.2 0.4 50.0 0 0 -0.22 50.0 50.0
Khailand Anderson-st - 2 14.5 2.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 2.5 2.0 3.5 2.5 - - - 28.6 0 0 - 28.6 28.6
Emme Eisenman - 1 15.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 75 3.3 4.7 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 18.4 20.0
Carmen Cruz - 1 8.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 39 1.1 1.9 25.0 0.0 0 0.46 25.0 25.0
Claire Thompson - 1 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 51 1.4 2.5 50.0 0 0 0.72 50.0 50.0
Paige Oh - 1 29.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 -2.0 39 1.2 1.5 12.5 0.0 0 0.23 12.5 12.5
Khailand Anderson-Strawder - 19 7.0 1.8 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.9 1.5 2 0.2 0.4 37.8 0.0 85.7 0.11 42.4 37.8
Micah Elegores - 13 9.9 1.6 0.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 1.0 2.1 0.7 11 0.7 1.4 29.6 14.3 57.1 0.17 34.9 31.5
Kayla Ikuma - 26 6.2 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.6 53 1.8 3.9 46.4 31.2 25.0 0.13 53.8 55.4
Cristina Sepulveda - 22 1.1 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 4 0.4 1.7 36.4 40.0 77.8 -0.05 56.8 45.5
Morgan Seshiki - 22 1.5 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 - - - 46.2 16.7 100.0 - 52.1 50.0
Nicole Vanegas - 22 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 43 2.9 16.7 38.5 50.0 25.0 0.58 40.7 42.3
Lillian Spector - 14 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 6 0.7 2.9 0.0 0 50.0 -0.04 17.4 0.0
Alyanna McGrath - 11 1.4 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Savannah Pohl - 1 7.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 39 1.2 2.2 0.0 0 0 0.42 0.0 0.0
Brianna Forbess - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6 -0.3 -1.2 0 0 0 0.15 0 0
Cayton Smith - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -42 -1.7 -4.8 0 0 0 -0.33 0 0
Katie Anderson - 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2 0.1 0.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.02 0.0 0.0
Ayana Peterson-Henry - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -35 -1.7 -8.3 0 0 0 -0.53 0 0
Maya Sanders - 1 15.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 -9 -0.4 -0.6 0.0 0 0 0.18 0.0 0.0
Jaydin Lutu - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Aasia Williams - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -35 -1.8 -9.9 0 0 0 -0.32 0 0
Daisy Boling-Schmidt - 1 14.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 -54 -1.5 -1.9 0 0 0 -0.08 0 0
Emma Floyd - 1 8.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -9 -0.2 -0.4 0.0 0.0 0 0.08 0.0 0.0
Syd Shoemaker - 1 21.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -42 -1.8 -9.1 0.0 0 0 -0.33 0.0 0.0
Lecia Sincere - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Addie Hiler - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6 0.2 0.6 0 0 0 -0.15 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG