Occidental
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 912 (#389) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 977 (#264) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.9 (#103) | HCA +2.4 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-17 | vs | LIFE Pacific | W | 83 - 67 |
| 2023-11-21 | vs | Bethesda (CA) | W | 96 - 73 |
| 2023-11-29 | vs | Chapman | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2023-12-02 | vs | Whittier | L | 50 - 61 |
| 2023-12-16 | @ | Caltech | W | 65 - 51 |
| 2023-12-19 | vs | Austin | W | 61 - 49 |
| 2023-12-20 | vs | Whitworth | W | 75 - 57 |
| 2023-12-29 | @ | Westminster (MO) | W | 67 - 59 |
| 2023-12-30 | vs | Rhodes | W | 86 - 65 |
| 2024-01-03 | vs | Cal Lutheran | W | 85 - 81 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | La Verne | L | 66 - 71 |
| 2024-01-10 | @ | Claremont-M-S | W | 83 - 67 |
| 2024-01-13 | @ | Redlands | W | 71 - 61 |
| 2024-01-15 | vs | Caltech | W | 50 - 49 |
| 2024-01-17 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | W | 85 - 65 |
| 2024-01-24 | @ | Chapman | L | 64 - 68 |
| 2024-01-27 | vs | La Verne | W | 72 - 54 |
| 2024-01-31 | vs | Claremont-M-S | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ | Whittier | W | 64 - 48 |
| 2024-02-07 | @ | Cal Lutheran | L | 84 - 102 |
| 2024-02-10 | vs | Bethesda (CA) | W | 75 - 57 |
| 2024-02-14 | vs | Pomona-Pitzer | W | 75 - 53 |
| 2024-02-17 | vs | Redlands | L | 54 - 59 |
| 2024-02-22 | @ | La Verne | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2024-02-24 | @ | Cal Lutheran | W | 66 - 58 |
| 2024-03-01 | @ | Hardin-Simmons | L | 53 - 65 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toni Thompson | - | 7 | 32.6 | 24.9 | 11.0 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 20.7 | 16.0 | -20 | -2.2 | -2.2 | 44.1 | 18.8 | 61.4 | 0.05 | 49.5 | 45.2 |
| Ainsley Shelsta | - | 7 | 28.9 | 13.1 | 11.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 10.1 | 17.0 | 29 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 53.5 | 0 | 72.7 | 0.58 | 57.0 | 53.5 |
| Paige Yasukochi | - | 7 | 28.1 | 10.4 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 9.1 | 6.6 | -93 | -4.2 | -4.6 | 43.8 | 35.0 | 100.0 | -0.49 | 53.4 | 49.2 |
| MICHE LAGUNAS-MONROY | - | 1 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.1 | 54.3 | 50.0 |
| Dara Tokeshi | - | 7 | 27.3 | 6.4 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 8.1 | 2.7 | -29 | -1.3 | -1.4 | 31.6 | 17.2 | 100.0 | -0.05 | 38.3 | 36.0 |
| Dominique Cabading | - | 7 | 29.0 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 6.7 | 4.6 | -60 | -2.9 | -3.5 | 27.7 | 17.6 | 63.6 | -0.26 | 34.7 | 30.9 |
| M LAGUNAS-MONROY | - | 3 | 18.7 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 87.5 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.1 | 80.5 | 87.5 |
| MICHELLE LAGUNAS-MON | - | 13 | 15.5 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 7.6 | - | - | - | 36.6 | 0 | 77.8 | -0.49 | 51.0 | 36.6 |
| Gabriela Etopio | - | 7 | 14.1 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 5.3 | 6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 45.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 47.8 | 45.0 |
| Michelle Lagunas-Monroy | - | 7 | 15.9 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 4.3 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 68.8 | -0.1 | 45.9 | 33.3 |
| Micah Elegores | - | 7 | 12.4 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 81.8 | 0.18 | 50.4 | 36.7 |
| Amaia McCoy | - | 7 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.1 | -1.3 | -27 | -1.8 | -2.3 | 22.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.44 | 22.7 | 22.7 |
| Nicole Vanegas | - | 7 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 48 | 3.7 | 13.0 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.69 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Chelsea Groves | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG