Oberlin
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 943 (#344) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 969 (#273) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.3 (#160) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.416 (#486) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.431 (#259) | NetEff -2.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.652 (#322) | AdjNet +5.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.648 (#322) | AdjNet +5.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.562 (#324) | AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 59.7 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Adrian | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2024-11-12 | @ | Baldwin Wallace | L | 48 - 63 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Oglethorpe | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2024-11-17 | @ | Emory | L | 28 - 60 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Carnegie Mellon | L | 43 - 81 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Penn St.-Behrend | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Alma | W | 79 - 70 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Wooster | W | 64 - 52 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Kalamazoo | W | 73 - 61 |
| 2024-12-08 | vs | Muskingum | W | 73 - 54 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Hamilton | L | 70 - 80 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Otterbein | L | 56 - 60 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Ohio Wesleyan | L | 44 - 83 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | DePauw | L | 57 - 67 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Denison | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Wittenberg | L | 52 - 81 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Hiram | W | 69 - 67 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Kenyon | W | 73 - 40 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Ohio Wesleyan | L | 44 - 76 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Wooster | W | 63 - 41 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | DePauw | L | 42 - 70 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Denison | W | 64 - 57 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Wittenberg | L | 55 - 72 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Hiram | W | 76 - 65 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Kenyon | W | 62 - 39 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Wittenberg | L | 42 - 60 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camille Zinaich | - | 25 | 26.3 | 14.2 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 11.8 | 12.4 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.0 | 44.6 | 0.0 | 80.4 | 0.39 | 51.3 | 44.6 |
| Ellie Pollock-ballard | - | 1 | 22.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 11 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 57.1 | 75.0 | 100.0 | -0.23 | 82.5 | 78.6 |
| Angela Kumler | - | 26 | 25.2 | 9.8 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 7.5 | 11.6 | 24 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 51.0 | 24.4 | 71.2 | 0.24 | 57.4 | 53.9 |
| Krystal Montas | - | 26 | 24.8 | 8.0 | 5.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 8.4 | 7.3 | 49 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 38.4 | 19.7 | 58.7 | -0.12 | 43.5 | 41.3 |
| Gabby Pena-hilzen | - | 1 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.31 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Lily Najmulski | - | 26 | 33.6 | 6.8 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 4.2 | 10 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 32.2 | 26.3 | 76.5 | -0.26 | 41.3 | 39.7 |
| Ellie Pollockballard | - | 1 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Anora Lee | - | 26 | 28.8 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 4.6 | 1.7 | -65 | -2.2 | -2.3 | 34.5 | 27.3 | 83.3 | -0.18 | 42.8 | 38.2 |
| katherine Csiszar | - | 1 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | -59 | -2.0 | -5.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.49 | 72.5 | 100.0 |
| Gabby Pena | - | 25 | 12.4 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 1.5 | -40 | -1.6 | -3.2 | 33.7 | 26.7 | 58.8 | -0.3 | 42.2 | 40.2 |
| Kendal Mccall | - | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -20 | -1.4 | -9.1 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.22 | 22.5 | 25.0 |
| A Sivasubramaniam | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 69.4 | 100.0 |
| Alira Allen | - | 22 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | -37 | -1.2 | -4.9 | 40.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.38 | 51.0 | 40.0 |
| Taylor Sanchez | - | 18 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.04 | 53.2 | 33.3 |
| Samantha Dormer | - | 25 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 30 | 2.0 | 14.3 | 30.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.23 | 28.8 | 30.8 |
| Allison Bubar | - | 24 | 4.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 13.3 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.04 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Nik Lopez | - | 21 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Camilla McDaniel | - | 20 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ananya Sivasubramaniam | - | 24 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG