Oberlin
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 912 (#410) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 924 (#359) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.7 (#192) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.510 (#460) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.553 (#258) | NetEff +1.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.373 (#413) | AdjNet -4.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.364 (#413) | AdjNet -4.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.416 (#420) | AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 73.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Lawrence | W | 78 - 69 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Wash. & Jeff. | W | 64 - 63 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Allegheny | W | 79 - 69 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Waynesburg | W | 67 - 58 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | Albion | W | 65 - 60 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Wooster | L | 80 - 92 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Denison | L | 56 - 97 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Wabash | L | 57 - 66 |
| 2024-12-10 | @ | Kalamazoo | W | 78 - 65 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Adrian | W | 88 - 81 |
| 2024-12-28 | vs | Messiah | W | 85 - 64 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Cal Lutheran | L | 63 - 84 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Ohio Wesleyan | W | 71 - 62 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | DePauw | L | 73 - 76 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Hiram | L | 56 - 60 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Wittenberg | L | 45 - 61 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Kenyon | W | 52 - 47 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Wooster | L | 59 - 83 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Denison | L | 59 - 72 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Ohio Wesleyan | L | 64 - 78 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | DePauw | L | 68 - 80 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Hiram | W | 69 - 58 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Wittenberg | W | 60 - 55 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Kenyon | W | 68 - 67 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Wabash | L | 60 - 71 |
| 2025-02-25 | @ | Wooster | L | 80 - 97 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Gray | - | 26 | 28.2 | 14.7 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 12.7 | 7.2 | -135 | -7.1 | -15.0 | 43.8 | 28.0 | 78.0 | 0.32 | 50.9 | 45.9 |
| Yuuki Okubo | - | 24 | 30.1 | 11.1 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 9.2 | 11.0 | -106 | -7.1 | -11.7 | 44.1 | 35.7 | 85.1 | -0.94 | 53.3 | 47.5 |
| Milun Micanovic | - | 25 | 24.4 | 8.6 | 8.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 9.5 | -74 | -4.1 | -11.4 | 47.6 | 38.2 | 64.1 | 0.39 | 52.9 | 51.1 |
| Zach Smith | - | 26 | 17.7 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 6.7 | 3.4 | -35 | -2.1 | -4.6 | 40.5 | 39.5 | 68.2 | 0.63 | 55.8 | 54.6 |
| Andrew Gannon | - | 26 | 23.1 | 7.4 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 6.8 | -70 | -4.1 | -8.0 | 42.3 | 29.3 | 72.2 | 0.25 | 52.2 | 49.4 |
| Adam Navarre | - | 20 | 11.2 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 2.8 | -2 | -0.3 | -1.4 | 39.4 | 41.5 | 46.7 | 0.15 | 51.5 | 51.4 |
| Will Bousquette | - | 25 | 18.0 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 2.8 | -92 | -7.1 | -22.8 | 29.7 | 26.1 | 64.3 | -0.25 | 41.8 | 40.1 |
| Asaan Snipes-Rea | - | 25 | 14.0 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -48 | -4.4 | -20.1 | 39.5 | 36.8 | 75.9 | -0.3 | 50.1 | 44.1 |
| Rob Magner | - | 25 | 8.2 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 1.4 | -47 | -3.6 | -16.3 | 38.5 | 28.9 | 70.6 | 0.09 | 48.5 | 45.5 |
| Zach Bronson | - | 22 | 11.9 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2.5 | -35 | -3.9 | -21.0 | 36.4 | 11.1 | 40.0 | -0.53 | 38.2 | 37.5 |
| Jackson Reynolds | - | 24 | 8.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | -33 | -3.0 | -10.4 | 38.7 | 32.0 | 50.0 | 0.4 | 51.9 | 51.6 |
| Matt Andreopoulos | - | 25 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | -31 | -3.4 | -24.9 | 38.7 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.04 | 44.3 | 40.3 |
| Alasan Njie-Morgan | - | 23 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | -10 | -2.0 | -68.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -0.78 | 50.9 | 50.0 |
| Shea Laursen | - | 25 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -4 | -1.0 | -53.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.06 | 44.4 | 40.0 |
| Dut Lual | - | 24 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.8 | 12.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.56 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG