Oberlin
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 997 (#387) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1018 (#358) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 950 (#604) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.6 (#153) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.8 (#407) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.510 (#460) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.240 (#47) | NetEff -8.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.373 (#413) | AdjNet -4.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.364 (#413) | AdjNet -4.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.416 (#420) | AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 73.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.496 (#420) | AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 69.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.427 (#459) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.435 (#454) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 989 (#395) | RD 101 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Adrian | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Beloit | W | 57 - 43 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Cal Lutheran | L | 51 - 57 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Medgar Evers | W | 91 - 72 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Sarah Lawrence | W | 72 - 62 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Allegheny | W | 72 - 60 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Waynesburg | W | 108 - 69 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Wooster | L | 58 - 72 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Wabash | L | 78 - 82 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Denison | L | 55 - 63 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | Wilmington (OH) | W | 83 - 75 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Kalamazoo | W | 79 - 56 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Ohio Wesleyan | L | 69 - 75 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | DePauw | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | John Carroll | L | 69 - 86 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Wittenberg | W | 54 - 45 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Kenyon | L | 72 - 78 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Wooster | L | 66 - 74 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Denison | L | 68 - 81 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Ohio Wesleyan | W | 69 - 57 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | DePauw | L | 66 - 75 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rich Brooks | - | 1 | 28.1 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 29 | 1.5 | 7.9 | 80.0 | 71.4 | 66.7 | 0.5 | 98.9 | 105.0 |
| JJ Gray | - | 15 | 29.4 | 15.3 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 11.8 | 8.6 | 7 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 46.9 | 37.0 | 86.8 | 1.54 | 57.2 | 51.7 |
| Zach Smith | - | 20 | 28.0 | 14.1 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 12.0 | 6.9 | -25 | -1.3 | -6.3 | 42.9 | 35.0 | 70.2 | -2.5 | 54.1 | 51.9 |
| Deric Cannady | - | 1 | 35.1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.6 | 50.0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 74.2 | 77.8 |
| Luke Ellspermann | - | 1 | 36.6 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | -22 | -1.1 | -5.3 | 36.4 | 33.3 | 60.0 | 0.44 | 49.2 | 45.5 |
| Keegan Manowitz | - | 1 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | -28 | -1.4 | -9.9 | 57.1 | 60.0 | 0 | 0.48 | 78.6 | 78.6 |
| Milun Micanovic | - | 20 | 26.9 | 10.8 | 8.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 7.8 | 11.0 | -16 | -0.8 | -4.2 | 55.1 | 28.0 | 59.4 | -1.92 | 58.9 | 57.4 |
| Rob Magner | - | 20 | 21.7 | 8.1 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 6.6 | 5.2 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 42.4 | 34.8 | 70.3 | -0.41 | 54.3 | 51.1 |
| Gavin Schippert | - | 1 | 34.6 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 39 | 1.9 | 9.1 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 1.86 | 50.9 | 41.7 |
| Colton Stowers | - | 1 | 27.2 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | -36 | -1.9 | -11.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 71.4 | -1.19 | 43.3 | 20.0 |
| Nate Matelic | - | 1 | 16.2 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -4.0 | -15 | -0.8 | -4.9 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.65 | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Sam Kamenko | - | 20 | 26.9 | 4.7 | 5.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 3.8 | 9.7 | 35 | 1.8 | 7.9 | 43.4 | 17.4 | 62.2 | 2.03 | 50.4 | 46.1 |
| Matthaios Andreopoulos | - | 16 | 18.7 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 5.9 | 2.5 | -3 | -0.3 | -1.7 | 28.4 | 22.0 | 83.3 | 0.93 | 36.4 | 33.2 |
| Augustus Donohue | - | 16 | 11.0 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 2.3 | -29 | -1.7 | -22.4 | 37.3 | 37.3 | 87.5 | -1.33 | 56.0 | 53.4 |
| Liam Gray | - | 15 | 13.7 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 3.5 | -4 | -0.2 | -2.4 | 38.8 | 33.3 | 70.0 | 1.37 | 52.8 | 48.0 |
| Matthew Callahan | - | 4 | 7.1 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 53.8 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 57.7 | 57.7 |
| Noah Kim | - | 8 | 8.3 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3.4 | -14 | -1.8 | -63.3 | 46.2 | 66.7 | 86.7 | -2.03 | 68.9 | 53.8 |
| Adam Navarre | - | 13 | 11.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 1.0 | -16 | -1.2 | -20.8 | 34.0 | 24.0 | 71.4 | 0.62 | 42.9 | 40.4 |
| Will Manfredi | - | 5 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.4 | -0.6 | -11 | -2.8 | -1257.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.32 | 32.2 | 33.3 |
| Kyryl Streltsov | - | 10 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.3 | -2 | -0.2 | -5.0 | 54.5 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 1.31 | 58.9 | 59.1 |
| Mouhamed Toure | - | 6 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1 | 0.2 | 14.3 | 57.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.03 | 50.8 | 57.1 |
| Uros Petrusic | - | 13 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 1 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 0.07 | 53.3 | 45.5 |
| Shea Laursen | - | 6 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Alasan Njie-Morgan | - | 5 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | -0.6 | -14 | -3.5 | -501.5 | 12.5 | 16.7 | 0 | 0.1 | 18.8 | 18.8 |
| Jackson Reynolds | - | 15 | 5.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 9 | 0.6 | 19.7 | 44.4 | 16.7 | 0 | -0.49 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Dut Lual | - | 2 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Horton | - | 1 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -3 | -0.2 | -3.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.11 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Edward Thomas | - | 1 | 10.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -3 | -3.0 | -109.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.56 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG