Oakland Golden
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 931 (#186) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 920 (#211) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1041 (#116) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -3.5 (#190) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -3.1 (#192) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.369 (#212) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.334 (#196) | AdjNet -6.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.332 (#196) | AdjNet -6.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.427 (#191) | AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 73.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.469 (#179) | AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 74.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.440 (#179) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.448 (#179) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 924 (#204) | RD 171 | GP 29 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-19 | @ | Michigan | L | 62 - 82 |
| 1999-11-21 | vs | Illinois State | L | 67 - 72 |
| 1999-11-26 | N | Louisiana State | L | 80 - 87 |
| 1999-11-28 | N | Toledo | L | 65 - 74 |
| 1999-12-04 | vs | Southern Utah | W | 78 - 65 |
| 1999-12-07 | vs | Bowling Green | L | 57 - 69 |
| 1999-12-09 | vs | Toledo | L | 76 - 90 |
| 1999-12-11 | vs | Western Michigan | L | 87 - 89 |
| 1999-12-18 | @ | Michigan State | L | 51 - 86 |
| 1999-12-20 | @ | Cleveland State | L | 67 - 81 |
| 1999-12-27 | @ | Ohio State | L | 50 - 76 |
| 1999-12-30 | @ | Akron | L | 72 - 97 |
| 2000-01-02 | @ | Northwestern | W | 60 - 41 |
| 2000-01-03 | @ | Loyola (IL) | L | 60 - 69 |
| 2000-01-08 | vs | Youngstown State | W | 85 - 66 |
| 2000-01-13 | @ | Valparaiso | L | 56 - 58 |
| 2000-01-15 | vs | Chicago State | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2000-01-20 | @ | Oral Roberts | W | 93 - 78 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Kansas City | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2000-01-27 | @ | IU Indy | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2000-01-29 | @ | Youngstown State | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2000-02-03 | @ | Valparaiso | L | 62 - 65 |
| 2000-02-10 | @ | Southern Utah | L | 58 - 68 |
| 2000-02-12 | @ | Western Illinois | W | 77 - 60 |
| 2000-02-17 | vs | IU Indy | W | 83 - 79 |
| 2000-02-19 | @ | Chicago State | W | 99 - 95 |
| 2000-02-21 | vs | Western Illinois | W | 78 - 75 |
| 2000-02-24 | vs | Kansas City | W | 111 - 108 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | Oral Roberts | W | 86 - 84 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.