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Orlando Miracle

Season: 2002 2001 2000 1999
Also known as: Orlando Miracle
Program History

Model Outputs

1999
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 990 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 960 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 978 (#8) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.2 More โ†’ -1.2 (#7) HCA +4.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +4.5 More โ†’ -0.5 (#7) HCA +4.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.487 (#6) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.6 More โ†’ 0.453 (#7) AdjNet -1.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.6 More โ†’ 0.453 (#6) AdjNet -1.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 67.9 More โ†’ 0.475 (#7) AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 67.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 68.0 More โ†’ 0.491 (#7) AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 68.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.471 (#7) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.474 (#7) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 32 More โ†’ 952 (#9) RD 95 | GP 32

1999 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1999-06-10 vs Houston Comets L 63 - 77
1999-06-12 @ Utah Starzz L 65 - 71
1999-06-15 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 88 - 86
1999-06-17 @ Detroit Shock L 74 - 79
1999-06-19 vs Washington Mystics W 73 - 68
1999-06-21 vs Phoenix Mercury W 80 - 76
1999-06-22 @ Cleveland Rockers W 71 - 62
1999-06-28 @ Houston Comets W 68 - 66
1999-07-03 vs Charlotte Sting L 58 - 75
1999-07-07 vs Minnesota Lynx L 66 - 71
1999-07-09 @ Charlotte Sting W 66 - 61
1999-07-10 vs Utah Starzz W 62 - 56
1999-07-12 vs Detroit Shock L 67 - 76
1999-07-16 vs Charlotte Sting L 50 - 56
1999-07-17 vs Sacramento Monarchs L 70 - 76
1999-07-19 @ Washington Mystics W 77 - 52
1999-07-20 @ New York Liberty L 56 - 61
1999-07-23 @ Phoenix Mercury L 67 - 73
1999-07-24 @ Sacramento Monarchs W 73 - 64
1999-07-27 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 60 - 81
1999-07-29 vs New York Liberty L 65 - 73
1999-08-01 @ New York Liberty L 61 - 74
1999-08-04 vs Cleveland Rockers W 70 - 62
1999-08-05 @ Washington Mystics L 68 - 72
1999-08-07 @ Charlotte Sting L 60 - 64
1999-08-09 vs New York Liberty L 75 - 80
1999-08-12 vs Cleveland Rockers W 55 - 54
1999-08-14 @ Cleveland Rockers W 73 - 61
1999-08-15 vs Washington Mystics W 81 - 54
1999-08-18 vs Detroit Shock W 93 - 81
1999-08-20 @ Minnesota Lynx W 83 - 80
1999-08-21 @ Detroit Shock L 68 - 74

1999 Roster

No roster data available for this season.