Orlando Miracle
Also known as: Orlando Miracle
Program History
Model Outputs
1999
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 990 (#7) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 960 (#9) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 978 (#8) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -1.2 (#7) | HCA +4.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -0.5 (#7) | HCA +4.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.487 (#6) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.453 (#7) | AdjNet -1.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.453 (#6) | AdjNet -1.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.475 (#7) | AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 67.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.491 (#7) | AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 68.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.471 (#7) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.474 (#7) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 952 (#9) | RD 95 | GP 32 |
1999 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-06-10 | vs | Houston Comets | L | 63 - 77 |
| 1999-06-12 | @ | Utah Starzz | L | 65 - 71 |
| 1999-06-15 | vs | Los Angeles Sparks | W | 88 - 86 |
| 1999-06-17 | @ | Detroit Shock | L | 74 - 79 |
| 1999-06-19 | vs | Washington Mystics | W | 73 - 68 |
| 1999-06-21 | vs | Phoenix Mercury | W | 80 - 76 |
| 1999-06-22 | @ | Cleveland Rockers | W | 71 - 62 |
| 1999-06-28 | @ | Houston Comets | W | 68 - 66 |
| 1999-07-03 | vs | Charlotte Sting | L | 58 - 75 |
| 1999-07-07 | vs | Minnesota Lynx | L | 66 - 71 |
| 1999-07-09 | @ | Charlotte Sting | W | 66 - 61 |
| 1999-07-10 | vs | Utah Starzz | W | 62 - 56 |
| 1999-07-12 | vs | Detroit Shock | L | 67 - 76 |
| 1999-07-16 | vs | Charlotte Sting | L | 50 - 56 |
| 1999-07-17 | vs | Sacramento Monarchs | L | 70 - 76 |
| 1999-07-19 | @ | Washington Mystics | W | 77 - 52 |
| 1999-07-20 | @ | New York Liberty | L | 56 - 61 |
| 1999-07-23 | @ | Phoenix Mercury | L | 67 - 73 |
| 1999-07-24 | @ | Sacramento Monarchs | W | 73 - 64 |
| 1999-07-27 | @ | Los Angeles Sparks | L | 60 - 81 |
| 1999-07-29 | vs | New York Liberty | L | 65 - 73 |
| 1999-08-01 | @ | New York Liberty | L | 61 - 74 |
| 1999-08-04 | vs | Cleveland Rockers | W | 70 - 62 |
| 1999-08-05 | @ | Washington Mystics | L | 68 - 72 |
| 1999-08-07 | @ | Charlotte Sting | L | 60 - 64 |
| 1999-08-09 | vs | New York Liberty | L | 75 - 80 |
| 1999-08-12 | vs | Cleveland Rockers | W | 55 - 54 |
| 1999-08-14 | @ | Cleveland Rockers | W | 73 - 61 |
| 1999-08-15 | vs | Washington Mystics | W | 81 - 54 |
| 1999-08-18 | vs | Detroit Shock | W | 93 - 81 |
| 1999-08-20 | @ | Minnesota Lynx | W | 83 - 80 |
| 1999-08-21 | @ | Detroit Shock | L | 68 - 74 |
1999 Roster
No roster data available for this season.