🐻⬇️🏀

Orlando Magic

Also known as: Orlando Magic
Program History

2017 Team Stats (82 games)

94.6
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
44.3%
FG%
33.0%
3P%
74.7%
FT%
39.9
RPG
20.7
APG
11.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
99.7
Adj PPG
106.3
Adj Opp PPG
#29
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 853 (#27) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 888 (#26) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +63 elo More → 926 (#28) HCA +63 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → -6.6 (#29) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -8.1 (#30) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.326 (#29) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.4 More → 0.324 (#30) AdjNet -6.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.4 More → 0.323 (#30) AdjNet -6.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 99.7 | AdjD 106.3 More → 0.356 (#29) AdjO 99.7 | AdjD 106.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 102.7 | AdjD 109.4 More → 0.351 (#30) AdjO 102.7 | AdjD 109.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.329 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.328 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 251 | GP 82 More → 899 (#27) RD 251 | GP 82

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-10-26 vs Miami Heat L 96 - 108
2016-10-28 @ Detroit Pistons L 82 - 108
2016-10-29 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 99 - 105
2016-11-01 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 103 - 101
2016-11-03 vs Sacramento Kings W 102 - 94
2016-11-05 vs Washington Wizards W 88 - 86
2016-11-07 @ Chicago Bulls L 80 - 112
2016-11-09 vs Minnesota Timberwolves L 107 - 123
2016-11-11 vs Utah Jazz L 74 - 87
2016-11-13 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 119 - 117
2016-11-14 @ Indiana Pacers L 69 - 88
2016-11-16 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 89 - 82
2016-11-19 vs Dallas Mavericks W 95 - 87
2016-11-21 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 89 - 93
2016-11-23 vs Phoenix Suns L 87 - 92
2016-11-25 vs Washington Wizards L 91 - 94
2016-11-27 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 96 - 104
2016-11-29 @ San Antonio Spurs W 95 - 83
2016-12-01 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 94 - 95
2016-12-02 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 105 - 88
2016-12-04 @ Detroit Pistons W 98 - 92
2016-12-06 @ Washington Wizards W 124 - 116
2016-12-07 vs Boston Celtics L 87 - 117
2016-12-09 @ Charlotte Hornets L 88 - 109
2016-12-10 vs Denver Nuggets L 113 - 121
2016-12-13 @ Atlanta Hawks W 131 - 120
2016-12-14 vs LA Clippers L 108 - 113
2016-12-16 vs Brooklyn Nets W 118 - 111
2016-12-18 vs Toronto Raptors L 79 - 109
2016-12-20 @ Miami Heat W 136 - 130
2016-12-22 @ New York Knicks L 95 - 106
2016-12-23 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 109 - 90
2016-12-26 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 112 - 102
2016-12-28 vs Charlotte Hornets L 101 - 120
2017-01-01 @ Indiana Pacers L 104 - 117
2017-01-02 @ New York Knicks W 115 - 103
2017-01-04 vs Atlanta Hawks L 92 - 111
2017-01-06 vs Houston Rockets L 93 - 100
2017-01-08 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 95 - 111
2017-01-11 @ LA Clippers L 96 - 105
2017-01-13 @ Portland Trail Blazers W 115 - 109
2017-01-14 @ Utah Jazz L 107 - 114
2017-01-16 @ Denver Nuggets L 112 - 125
2017-01-18 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 98 - 118
2017-01-20 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 112 - 96
2017-01-22 vs Golden State Warriors L 98 - 118
2017-01-24 vs Chicago Bulls L 92 - 100
2017-01-27 @ Boston Celtics L 98 - 128
2017-01-29 @ Toronto Raptors W 114 - 113
2017-01-30 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 105 - 111
2017-02-01 vs Indiana Pacers L 88 - 98
2017-02-03 vs Toronto Raptors W 102 - 94
2017-02-04 @ Atlanta Hawks L 86 - 113
2017-02-07 @ Houston Rockets L 104 - 128
2017-02-09 vs Philadelphia 76ers L 111 - 112
2017-02-11 @ Dallas Mavericks L 80 - 112
2017-02-13 @ Miami Heat W 116 - 107
2017-02-15 vs San Antonio Spurs L 79 - 107
2017-02-23 vs Portland Trail Blazers L 103 - 112
2017-02-25 vs Atlanta Hawks W 105 - 86
2017-03-01 vs New York Knicks L 90 - 101
2017-03-03 vs Miami Heat W 110 - 99
2017-03-05 @ Washington Wizards L 114 - 115
2017-03-06 vs New York Knicks L 105 - 113
2017-03-08 vs Chicago Bulls W 98 - 91
2017-03-10 @ Charlotte Hornets L 81 - 121
2017-03-11 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 104 - 116
2017-03-13 @ Sacramento Kings L 115 - 120
2017-03-16 @ Golden State Warriors L 92 - 122
2017-03-17 @ Phoenix Suns W 109 - 103
2017-03-20 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 112 - 109
2017-03-22 vs Charlotte Hornets L 102 - 109
2017-03-24 vs Detroit Pistons W 115 - 87
2017-03-27 @ Toronto Raptors L 112 - 131
2017-03-29 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 106 - 114
2017-03-31 @ Boston Celtics L 116 - 117
2017-04-01 @ Brooklyn Nets L 111 - 121
2017-04-04 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 102 - 122
2017-04-06 vs Brooklyn Nets W 115 - 107
2017-04-08 vs Indiana Pacers L 112 - 127
2017-04-10 @ Chicago Bulls L 75 - 122
2017-04-12 vs Detroit Pistons W 113 - 109

2017 Roster

No roster data available for this season.

2016-2017 Shot Zones

5912 located field-goal attempts in 68 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Payton20% Vučević24% Vučević24% Vučević35% Vučević29% Augustin19% Fournier27% Fournier14% Fournier18% Fournier21%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Payton22% Vučević20% Vučević24% Vučević32% Vučević24% Gordon17% Fournier21% Gordon13% Fournier18% Fournier19%
Misses: who misses most here

Nikola VučevićEvan FournierElfrid PaytonAaron GordonD.J. Augustin

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 1027-1700 60.4 2054 Elfrid Payton 20% (414 pts) Aaron Gordon 18% (378 pts) Elfrid Payton 22% (147 misses) Evan Fournier 14% (97 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 412-980 42.0 824 Nikola Vučević 24% (198 pts) Elfrid Payton 17% (142 pts) Nikola Vučević 20% (115 misses) Elfrid Payton 17% (95 misses)
Mid-range left 256-602 42.5 512 Nikola Vučević 24% (124 pts) Serge Ibaka 21% (110 pts) Nikola Vučević 24% (82 misses) Serge Ibaka 17% (58 misses)
Mid-range center 99-216 45.8 198 Nikola Vučević 35% (70 pts) Elfrid Payton 10% (20 pts) Nikola Vučević 32% (38 misses) Elfrid Payton 14% (16 misses)
Mid-range right 250-651 38.4 500 Nikola Vučević 29% (144 pts) Aaron Gordon 9% (46 pts) Nikola Vučević 24% (98 misses) Evan Fournier 10% (42 misses)
Left corner 3 54-183 29.5 162 D.J. Augustin 19% (30 pts) Aaron Gordon 15% (24 pts) Aaron Gordon 17% (22 misses) Evan Fournier 12% (16 misses)
Right corner 3 44-154 28.6 132 Evan Fournier 27% (36 pts) Aaron Gordon 18% (24 pts) Evan Fournier 21% (23 misses) Aaron Gordon 17% (19 misses)
Above-break 3 left 192-527 36.4 576 Evan Fournier 14% (78 pts) Serge Ibaka 14% (78 pts) Aaron Gordon 13% (45 misses) D.J. Augustin 13% (45 misses)
Above-break 3 center 137-393 34.9 411 Evan Fournier 18% (75 pts) Serge Ibaka 13% (54 pts) Evan Fournier 18% (46 misses) D.J. Augustin 12% (31 misses)
Above-break 3 right 163-506 32.2 489 Evan Fournier 21% (105 pts) D.J. Augustin 16% (78 pts) Evan Fournier 19% (65 misses) Aaron Gordon 12% (42 misses)