Nova Southeastern
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1141 (#31) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1244 (#5) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +21.9 (#16) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.923 (#174) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.929 (#51) | NetEff +20.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.971 (#120) | AdjNet +30.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.973 (#124) | AdjNet +30.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.865 (#115) | AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 55.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Montevallo | W | 72 - 50 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | AUM | W | 65 - 44 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Clayton St. | W | 111 - 44 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | North Georgia | L | 56 - 64 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Rollins | W | 49 - 47 |
| 2024-11-29 | vs | Shaw | W | 79 - 56 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Georgian Court | W | 100 - 34 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Lynn | W | 78 - 73 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Barry | L | 55 - 74 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | Pittsburg St. | W | 72 - 63 |
| 2024-12-20 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | W | 73 - 57 |
| 2025-01-01 | vs | Tampa | W | 63 - 53 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Eckerd | W | 82 - 79 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 74 - 66 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Saint Leo | W | 88 - 67 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Fla. Southern | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Florida Tech | W | 72 - 45 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Embry-Riddle (FL) | L | 69 - 74 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Lynn | W | 73 - 61 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Barry | W | 68 - 53 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Tampa | L | 52 - 69 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Eckerd | W | 60 - 59 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 71 - 56 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Saint Leo | L | 58 - 66 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Fla. Southern | W | 77 - 39 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Florida Tech | W | 81 - 42 |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | Embry-Riddle (FL) | W | 72 - 67 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Rollins | W | 69 - 60 |
| 2025-03-04 | vs | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 65 - 49 |
| 2025-03-06 | @ | Tampa | W | 55 - 45 |
| 2025-03-09 | @ | Embry-Riddle (FL) | L | 51 - 55 |
| 2025-03-14 | vs | UAH | W | 80 - 73 |
| 2025-03-15 | @ | Embry-Riddle (FL) | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2025-03-17 | @ | Union (TN) | L | 60 - 65 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubrey Stupp | - | 33 | 21.8 | 13.2 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 9.1 | 8.8 | 16 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 48.8 | 35.5 | 89.5 | 0.1 | 61.7 | 54.3 |
| Payton Graber | - | 34 | 23.3 | 8.3 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 7.4 | 8.7 | 14 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 38.8 | 23.2 | 59.8 | 0.24 | 47.3 | 43.2 |
| Corina Conley | - | 34 | 21.3 | 6.9 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 5.6 | 6.9 | 35 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 45.0 | 31.4 | 62.5 | 0.56 | 55.4 | 53.7 |
| Alana Ellis | - | 34 | 11.3 | 6.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 44.9 | 30.3 | 54.5 | -0.05 | 51.3 | 50.0 |
| Jess Moors | - | 34 | 26.1 | 6.5 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 6.6 | 7.0 | 39 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 36.9 | 27.6 | 70.0 | 0.55 | 45.5 | 42.9 |
| Dash Shaw | - | 34 | 15.0 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 16 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 34.8 | 31.6 | 78.7 | 0.14 | 50.0 | 42.1 |
| Madison Cloonan | - | 34 | 18.4 | 5.7 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.5 | 39 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 59.3 | 0.0 | 71.7 | 0.67 | 62.2 | 59.3 |
| Mercedes Simmons | - | 32 | 8.8 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 4.6 | 2.9 | -23 | -0.8 | -2.5 | 48.3 | 0.0 | 62.1 | -0.06 | 51.6 | 48.3 |
| Michaela Cloonan | - | 33 | 22.2 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.4 | 7.2 | 104 | 3.2 | 4.6 | 41.1 | 22.6 | 70.3 | 0.94 | 48.7 | 45.2 |
| Kailyn Terrell | - | 34 | 16.9 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 14 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 32.1 | 31.5 | 75.0 | 0.46 | 46.0 | 42.5 |
| Delaney Wolfe | - | 32 | 7.5 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 | -23 | -1.1 | -3.3 | 33.8 | 43.2 | 85.0 | -0.51 | 50.1 | 44.6 |
| Zeyno Seren | - | 33 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 21 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 33.3 | 29.4 | 88.9 | 0.28 | 48.6 | 41.7 |
| Suzan Kinran | - | 25 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG