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Nova Southeastern

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Nova Southeastern
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1111 (#40) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1316 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1148 (#33) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +30.9 (#2) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +20.7 (#54) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.945 (#105) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +77.6 More → 1.000 (#20) NetEff +77.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +35.6 More → 0.984 (#30) AdjNet +35.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +35.6 More → 0.985 (#31) AdjNet +35.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 103.3 | AdjD 72.4 More → 0.943 (#19) AdjO 103.3 | AdjD 72.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 90.2 | AdjD 73.2 More → 0.824 (#11) AdjO 90.2 | AdjD 73.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.857 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.858 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 70 | GP 56 More → 1186 (#57) RD 70 | GP 56

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Wyoming L 75 - 99
2025-11-14 vs Okla. Baptist L 72 - 83
2025-11-14 vs UAH W 87 - 79
2025-11-14 vs Ark.-Monticello W 79 - 74
2025-11-15 vs Montevallo W 94 - 78
2025-11-15 @ Southern Nazarene L 66 - 72
2025-11-15 vs Minn.-Crookston W 80 - 73
2025-11-18 vs Ozark Christian W 113 - 52
2025-11-21 vs Southern Nazarene L 71 - 91
2025-11-21 vs Northern Mich. L 61 - 80
2025-11-22 vs Tampa W 112 - 99
2025-11-22 vs Northwest Mo. St. L 65 - 73
2025-11-24 vs P.R.-Mayaguez W 123 - 52
2025-11-24 vs Ecclesia W 102 - 59
2025-11-26 @ Arkansas Tech L 60 - 65
2025-11-26 vs Jamestown W 74 - 71
2025-11-29 vs Mississippi Col. W 86 - 68
2025-11-29 @ Chadron St. L 73 - 74
2025-11-30 @ Missouri St. L 71 - 92
2025-12-02 vs Ark.-Fort Smith L 75 - 86
2025-12-03 vs Barry W 95 - 70
2025-12-04 @ Mary W 87 - 68
2025-12-04 @ Newman L 71 - 81
2025-12-06 vs Embry-Riddle (FL) W 96 - 81
2025-12-06 vs Minot St. L 79 - 91
2025-12-11 @ Minn. Duluth L 62 - 79
2025-12-13 vs Bemidji St. L 63 - 66
2025-12-13 @ Palm Beach Atl. L 83 - 88
2025-12-14 vs Truman St. W 90 - 81
2025-12-16 vs Fort Lauderdale W 130 - 70
2025-12-17 vs Missouri Valley W 105 - 73
2025-12-18 @ MSU Moorhead W 76 - 52
2025-12-19 vs Assumption W 125 - 68
2025-12-20 @ Minn.-Crookston W 86 - 67
2025-12-21 vs Mo. Southern St. W 119 - 117
2025-12-31 @ Eckerd W 101 - 84
2026-01-01 vs Black Hills St. L 70 - 77
2026-01-03 @ Jamestown W 86 - 77
2026-01-03 vs Fla. Southern W 104 - 86
2026-01-03 vs Pittsburg St. L 95 - 98
2026-01-07 @ Central Okla. L 93 - 97
2026-01-09 @ Wayne St. (NE) L 79 - 86
2026-01-10 @ Rollins W 91 - 73
2026-01-10 @ Rogers St. W 96 - 87
2026-01-10 @ Augustana (SD) W 91 - 88
2026-01-14 vs Florida Tech W 106 - 78
2026-01-16 vs Winona St. W 84 - 80
2026-01-16 @ Ark.-Fort Smith W 71 - 63
2026-01-17 @ Lynn W 77 - 65
2026-01-17 vs Concordia-St. Paul L 73 - 78
2026-01-19 vs Elizabeth City St. W 86 - 61
2026-01-21 @ Saint Leo W 126 - 74
2026-01-24 vs Palm Beach Atl. W 103 - 82
2026-01-28 vs Eckerd W 102 - 57
2026-01-31 @ Tampa W 110 - 78
2026-02-04 @ Barry W 110 - 74

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anthony McComb III - 1 35.4 25.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 25.0 41 6.8 55.8 63.6 50.0 88.9 0.01 83.6 77.3
Ross Reeves - 19 32.0 23.3 5.2 3.4 2.5 0.3 1.3 16.8 16.6 361 19.0 89.9 52.7 33.0 78.5 2.42 61.5 58.0
Dallas Graziani - 19 33.7 19.3 3.2 6.0 2.3 0.1 1.9 14.2 14.8 175 9.7 37.8 51.1 37.7 70.9 3.37 59.4 56.5
Xavier Glenn - 17 30.9 18.9 4.2 1.9 0.6 0.4 1.4 14.4 10.3 39 1.8 6.2 51.6 44.2 69.7 0.4 58.8 56.4
Devon Ellis - 1 32.6 15.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 12.0 - - - 80.0 0 77.8 - 83.7 80.0
Jaxon Nap - 19 29.3 14.2 8.2 3.1 1.1 0.4 1.9 10.1 15.0 336 16.8 94.7 51.0 27.0 69.6 4.56 58.1 53.6
Joshua Book - 19 33.0 13.5 5.1 4.4 0.3 0.1 2.1 11.6 9.7 27 1.1 4.0 37.7 27.5 95.4 1.04 51.5 44.1
Ethan Blackmon - 14 27.0 13.4 8.6 2.2 1.0 0.4 2.9 9.9 12.9 -24 -1.3 -7.6 51.4 0.0 71.9 -2.57 56.6 51.4
James Glenn - 15 25.9 12.7 2.9 2.3 1.6 0.1 0.8 9.4 9.3 40 2.0 11.7 45.4 40.0 90.9 0.12 63.0 60.3
AJ Reed Jr - 17 27.5 12.1 4.3 3.8 1.8 0.2 2.8 9.5 9.9 - - - 39.1 31.3 79.7 - 53.2 45.7
Elijah Jamison - 1 28.3 12.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 16.0 -4.0 - - - 31.2 0.0 100.0 - 35.5 31.2
Marshawn Smith - 19 24.1 11.2 4.9 1.3 0.5 0.3 1.6 10.2 6.4 -34 -1.4 -7.0 44.3 28.2 67.7 -4.24 51.3 49.5
Melo Baines - 1 12.7 11.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 6.0 - - - 71.4 0 100.0 - 73.9 71.4
Nehemiah Weber - 17 31.1 10.9 2.5 2.5 1.4 0.1 1.9 7.9 7.5 24 1.1 4.0 46.7 33.3 70.3 -1.67 57.0 52.2
Bennett Kayser - 16 20.0 10.4 4.6 1.0 1.3 0.4 0.6 7.8 9.3 129 8.1 170.3 50.4 35.1 77.1 -1.49 59.1 55.6
Taven Washington - 16 28.4 10.4 3.2 2.1 0.8 0.1 1.4 6.5 8.7 23 1.0 4.0 54.8 56.2 87.5 2.05 68.7 63.5
Cameron Mercadel - 9 29.2 10.4 2.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.6 9.2 4.8 -42 -5.2 -23.3 36.1 34.7 81.0 0.5 51.0 46.4
Simon Akena - 15 27.0 10.3 3.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 1.3 8.5 5.1 89 4.5 18.6 45.3 31.7 75.8 0.18 54.0 50.4
Ty Rogers - 17 26.5 9.2 4.1 1.1 0.5 0.2 1.8 7.6 5.8 -47 -2.1 -11.7 41.9 33.3 56.8 0.65 52.9 51.2
Dian Wright-Forde - 1 23.1 9.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 12.0 - - - 80.0 50.0 0.0 - 76.5 90.0
Ryan Davis - 11 24.9 8.9 5.5 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.8 6.8 10.2 167 15.2 108.5 41.3 50.0 67.4 1.07 52.2 46.0
Eli Allen - 19 18.9 8.5 3.8 2.2 1.8 0.2 0.9 5.6 10.1 243 12.8 96.2 60.4 51.2 68.4 1.68 70.8 70.3
Bobby Rosenberger - 19 17.0 8.5 3.7 0.9 1.4 0.4 0.7 6.1 8.3 114 6.3 43.8 51.7 56.1 70.4 5.19 63.3 61.6
Michael Santicola - 3 11.0 8.0 1.7 0.7 0.3 1.0 0.3 5.0 6.3 - - - 60.0 57.1 100.0 0.47 75.6 73.3
Benjamin Bowen - 19 27.0 7.5 3.8 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.9 4.4 8.1 -4 -0.2 -0.9 50.0 37.5 74.1 -0.35 64.8 58.9
Tobi Obiora - 16 26.7 7.3 7.4 1.6 0.4 1.0 1.6 5.2 10.9 -5 -0.2 -1.0 59.0 16.7 48.5 -0.07 60.0 60.8
Dylan Tea - 17 17.5 6.5 2.6 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.5 4.1 6.5 -8 -0.4 -2.6 55.7 50.0 80.0 -1.87 70.4 67.9
Jarvis Wright - 15 9.1 6.3 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 4.1 3.9 87 5.8 93.2 62.3 64.7 66.7 0.52 71.7 71.3
Harry Neilson - 17 13.7 6.3 5.7 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.6 4.5 8.4 42 2.0 14.0 61.8 0.0 41.9 0.36 59.7 61.8
Blaise Vespe - 9 14.5 6.0 3.6 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.4 5.1 5.4 -3 -0.3 -2.6 39.1 0.0 78.3 -0.93 48.1 39.1
Keyontae Lewis - 1 16.4 6.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 - - - 75.0 0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Jaquel Morris - 1 15.2 6.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 10.0 103 6.9 81.8 66.7 0 66.7 2.05 69.4 66.7
Nelson Reynolds - 17 12.1 5.1 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.2 3.9 2.7 -17 -0.8 -6.8 45.5 45.1 66.7 0.31 63.4 62.9
Jaxson Vandegarde - 16 14.3 4.2 1.5 1.8 0.6 0.1 1.0 2.8 4.5 39 1.9 18.9 50.0 31.8 66.7 -1.43 61.4 58.0
Alex Sessoms - 15 9.9 4.1 1.8 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.8 2.1 6.1 99 6.6 78.7 56.2 54.5 79.2 0.14 71.7 65.6
Sage Wayans - 5 7.5 4.0 2.4 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 3.8 3.2 26 6.5 624.0 42.1 33.3 28.6 -0.5 45.3 47.4
Dalen Fuller - 14 8.8 3.5 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.6 3.2 2.6 17 1.2 29.1 37.8 29.6 77.8 -0.8 50.0 46.7
Ryan Walsh - 8 10.6 3.0 1.1 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.9 3.2 2.0 36 4.5 122.7 34.6 33.3 0.0 -0.27 44.6 46.2
Jamie Qualley - 18 10.0 2.8 2.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.2 2.8 3.2 87 4.8 54.4 37.3 25.7 75.0 -2.5 47.4 46.1
Ben Hagebusch - 4 5.2 2.8 0.8 0.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.5 10 2.5 82.8 100.0 100.0 0 -0.59 137.5 137.5
Pierce Ross - 11 7.9 2.5 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.4 1.7 32 2.0 32.4 34.6 22.2 50.0 0.07 44.4 42.3
Koen Derry - 8 9.2 2.0 1.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.2 2.5 43 3.3 22.5 70.0 0 66.7 1.55 70.7 70.0
Lane Tietz - 8 4.4 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.5 -21 -2.1 -77.7 18.2 20.0 100.0 -1.3 39.2 27.3
Jake Vliem - 4 2.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 -15 -2.5 -119.2 100.0 0 0 -0.86 100.0 100.0
Parker Hardage - 4 5.2 0.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.2 10 2.5 82.8 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.59 17.4 0.0
Marley Baah-Yeboah - 5 2.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 -0.2 -14 -2.0 -111.3 0.0 0 0 -0.86 0.0 0.0
Braeden Vanbockern - 2 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -16 -3.2 -54.9 0.0 0.0 0 -1.36 0.0 0.0
Jordan Leaks - 1 24.9 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Adrean Newton - 1 6.9 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jake Kuhl - 1 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Parker Lemer - 1 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -11 -3.7 -149.2 0 0 0 -1.08 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG