Nova Southeastern
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1293 (#10) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1388 (#5) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1148 (#33) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +35.9 (#8) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +20.7 (#54) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.945 (#105) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#20) | NetEff +77.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.984 (#30) | AdjNet +35.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.985 (#31) | AdjNet +35.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.943 (#19) | AdjO 103.3 | AdjD 72.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.824 (#11) | AdjO 90.2 | AdjD 73.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.857 (#30) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.858 (#25) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1188 (#58) | RD 70 | GP 55 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Wyoming | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Okla. Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | UAH | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Ark.-Monticello | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Montevallo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Southern Nazarene | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Minn.-Crookston | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Ozark Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Southern Nazarene | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Northern Mich. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Tampa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | P.R.-Mayaguez | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Ecclesia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Arkansas Tech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Jamestown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Mississippi Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Chadron St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Missouri St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Ark.-Fort Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Barry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Mary | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Newman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Embry-Riddle (FL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Minot St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Minn. Duluth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Bemidji St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Palm Beach Atl. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Truman St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Fort Lauderdale | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Missouri Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | MSU Moorhead | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Assumption | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Minn.-Crookston | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Mo. Southern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Eckerd | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | Black Hills St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Jamestown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Fla. Southern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Pittsburg St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Central Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Wayne St. (NE) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Rollins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Rogers St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Augustana (SD) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Florida Tech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Winona St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Ark.-Fort Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Lynn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Concordia-St. Paul | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Saint Leo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Palm Beach Atl. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Eckerd | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Tampa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Barry | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Reeves | - | 19 | 32.0 | 23.3 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 16.8 | 16.6 | 361 | 19.0 | 89.9 | 52.7 | 33.0 | 78.5 | 2.52 | 61.5 | 58.0 |
| Xavier Glenn | - | 16 | 31.3 | 19.6 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 14.6 | 10.9 | 39 | 1.8 | 6.2 | 52.1 | 45.1 | 69.7 | 2.02 | 59.5 | 57.1 |
| Dallas Graziani | - | 19 | 33.7 | 19.3 | 3.2 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 14.2 | 14.8 | 175 | 9.7 | 37.8 | 51.1 | 37.7 | 70.9 | 1.7 | 59.4 | 56.5 |
| Jaxon Nap | - | 19 | 29.3 | 14.2 | 8.2 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 10.1 | 15.0 | 336 | 16.8 | 94.7 | 51.0 | 27.0 | 69.6 | 5.05 | 58.1 | 53.6 |
| Joshua Book | - | 18 | 33.4 | 14.0 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 11.7 | 10.2 | 27 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 38.9 | 28.9 | 95.2 | -0.15 | 52.8 | 45.5 |
| Ethan Blackmon | - | 13 | 27.3 | 13.4 | 8.8 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 9.5 | 13.3 | -24 | -1.3 | -7.6 | 51.6 | 0.0 | 74.2 | 0.63 | 57.5 | 51.6 |
| James Glenn | - | 14 | 26.4 | 12.6 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 9.6 | 9.4 | 40 | 2.0 | 11.7 | 44.8 | 38.0 | 90.0 | 1.21 | 61.6 | 59.0 |
| AJ Reed Jr | - | 16 | 27.8 | 12.1 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 9.6 | 9.7 | - | - | - | 38.3 | 31.2 | 78.9 | - | 52.4 | 44.8 |
| Nehemiah Weber | - | 16 | 31.6 | 11.2 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 7.8 | 24 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 46.9 | 34.9 | 70.3 | -0.28 | 57.6 | 52.7 |
| Marshawn Smith | - | 18 | 24.2 | 11.0 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 10.2 | 6.4 | -34 | -1.4 | -7.0 | 44.3 | 25.4 | 69.0 | -1.88 | 50.6 | 48.6 |
| Taven Washington | - | 15 | 28.8 | 10.8 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 6.8 | 9.1 | 23 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 53.9 | 54.8 | 87.5 | 0.43 | 67.7 | 62.3 |
| Simon Akena | - | 14 | 26.8 | 10.7 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 8.6 | 5.6 | 89 | 4.5 | 18.6 | 46.7 | 33.3 | 75.8 | 3.24 | 55.8 | 52.1 |
| Bennett Kayser | - | 16 | 20.0 | 10.4 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 7.8 | 9.3 | 129 | 8.1 | 170.3 | 50.4 | 35.1 | 77.1 | -2.26 | 59.1 | 55.6 |
| Cameron Mercadel | - | 8 | 30.3 | 10.2 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 9.4 | 4.4 | -42 | -5.2 | -23.3 | 36.0 | 34.9 | 81.2 | -0.13 | 50.0 | 46.0 |
| Ty Rogers | - | 16 | 26.8 | 9.1 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 7.6 | 6.0 | -47 | -2.1 | -11.7 | 40.5 | 33.8 | 56.8 | -1.16 | 52.0 | 50.0 |
| Ryan Davis | - | 11 | 24.9 | 8.9 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 6.8 | 10.2 | 167 | 15.2 | 108.5 | 41.3 | 50.0 | 67.4 | 3.75 | 52.2 | 46.0 |
| Eli Allen | - | 19 | 18.9 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 5.6 | 10.1 | 243 | 12.8 | 96.2 | 60.4 | 51.2 | 68.4 | 1.66 | 70.8 | 70.3 |
| Bobby Rosenberger | - | 19 | 17.0 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 6.1 | 8.3 | 114 | 6.3 | 43.8 | 51.7 | 56.1 | 70.4 | 4.79 | 63.3 | 61.6 |
| Michael Santicola | - | 3 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 5.0 | 6.3 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 57.1 | 100.0 | 0.43 | 75.6 | 73.3 |
| Tobi Obiora | - | 15 | 27.2 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5.1 | 11.1 | -5 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 61.8 | 23.1 | 48.5 | -0.49 | 62.4 | 63.8 |
| Benjamin Bowen | - | 18 | 27.6 | 7.4 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 4.4 | 8.1 | -4 | -0.2 | -0.9 | 48.1 | 36.8 | 74.1 | 1.57 | 63.6 | 57.0 |
| Dylan Tea | - | 16 | 18.2 | 6.8 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 6.9 | -8 | -0.4 | -2.6 | 56.7 | 51.6 | 80.0 | -0.97 | 71.2 | 68.7 |
| Harry Neilson | - | 16 | 13.7 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 4.4 | 8.4 | 42 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 63.4 | 0.0 | 41.9 | -0.06 | 60.8 | 63.4 |
| Jarvis Wright | - | 15 | 9.1 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 87 | 5.8 | 93.2 | 62.3 | 64.7 | 66.7 | 2.87 | 71.7 | 71.3 |
| Blaise Vespe | - | 9 | 14.5 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 5.1 | 5.4 | -3 | -0.3 | -2.6 | 39.1 | 0.0 | 78.3 | 1.07 | 48.1 | 39.1 |
| Nelson Reynolds | - | 16 | 12.2 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 4.1 | 2.8 | -17 | -0.8 | -6.8 | 46.2 | 46.0 | 66.7 | -0.63 | 64.3 | 63.8 |
| Jaxson Vandegarde | - | 15 | 14.2 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 39 | 1.9 | 18.9 | 50.0 | 31.8 | 68.2 | -1.38 | 61.9 | 58.3 |
| Alex Sessoms | - | 15 | 9.9 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 6.1 | 99 | 6.6 | 78.7 | 56.2 | 54.5 | 79.2 | 3.32 | 71.7 | 65.6 |
| Sage Wayans | - | 4 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 26 | 6.5 | 624.0 | 37.5 | 25.0 | 28.6 | 0.77 | 39.3 | 40.6 |
| Ben Hagebusch | - | 3 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 10 | 2.5 | 82.8 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 137.5 | 137.5 |
| Dalen Fuller | - | 13 | 8.4 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 17 | 1.2 | 29.1 | 39.5 | 26.1 | 77.8 | -0.4 | 51.2 | 47.4 |
| Ryan Walsh | - | 8 | 10.6 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 36 | 4.5 | 122.7 | 34.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -0.98 | 44.6 | 46.2 |
| Jamie Qualley | - | 18 | 10.0 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 87 | 4.8 | 54.4 | 37.3 | 25.7 | 75.0 | 1.41 | 47.4 | 46.1 |
| Pierce Ross | - | 10 | 7.1 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 32 | 2.0 | 32.4 | 33.3 | 22.2 | 40.0 | 0.87 | 42.0 | 41.7 |
| Koen Derry | - | 8 | 9.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 43 | 3.3 | 22.5 | 70.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 1.52 | 70.7 | 70.0 |
| Lane Tietz | - | 7 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | -21 | -2.1 | -77.7 | 22.2 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -3.26 | 46.5 | 33.3 |
| Parker Hardage | - | 3 | 5.9 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 10 | 2.5 | 82.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Marley Baah-Yeboah | - | 4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -0.5 | -14 | -2.0 | -111.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jake Vliem | - | 3 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -15 | -2.5 | -119.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Braeden Vanbockern | - | 2 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -16 | -3.2 | -54.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Parker Lemer | - | 1 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -11 | -3.7 | -149.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG