🐻⬇️🏀

Northwood

Also known as: Northwood
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1066 (#85) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1124 (#66) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +14.5 (#61) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.736 (#276) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +7.8 More → 0.722 (#155) NetEff +7.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.2 More → 0.911 (#196) AdjNet +20.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.5 More → 0.918 (#197) AdjNet +20.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 63.4 More → 0.780 (#190) AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 63.4

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Saginaw Valley L 49 - 70
2024-11-09 vs Lake Superior St. W 72 - 55
2024-11-14 @ Wayne St. (MI) L 64 - 73
2024-11-20 @ Ferris St. L 63 - 87
2024-11-29 @ Embry-Riddle (FL) L 71 - 84
2024-11-30 @ Rollins L 72 - 77
2024-12-05 vs Ashland W 69 - 58
2024-12-14 @ Cedarville L 73 - 80
2024-12-16 @ Findlay L 62 - 72
2024-12-20 vs Northern Mich. W 68 - 50
2024-12-22 vs Grand Valley St. L 45 - 76
2025-01-02 vs Lake Erie W 98 - 74
2025-01-04 vs Thomas More W 77 - 63
2025-01-09 @ Ohio Dominican W 70 - 55
2025-01-11 @ Tiffin W 69 - 48
2025-01-14 vs Hillsdale L 83 - 86
2025-01-18 vs Walsh W 75 - 62
2025-01-23 @ Ky. Wesleyan W 79 - 63
2025-01-25 @ Thomas More L 55 - 64
2025-01-30 vs Tiffin W 75 - 57
2025-02-01 @ Walsh W 72 - 60
2025-02-08 vs Ohio Dominican L 69 - 71
2025-02-13 vs Ky. Wesleyan W 73 - 63
2025-02-15 @ Hillsdale W 85 - 81
2025-02-20 vs Ursuline W 75 - 68
2025-02-22 vs Malone W 59 - 54
2025-02-27 @ Lake Erie W 72 - 58
2025-03-01 @ Ursuline W 76 - 52
2025-03-04 vs Findlay W 71 - 66
2025-03-07 @ Ashland L 51 - 73

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Maeve st John - 1 29.0 20.0 5.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 18.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 100.0 - 68.3 58.3
Maeve St. john - 2 30.0 18.5 2.5 7.0 1.0 0.5 5.0 7.5 17.0 - - - 80.0 80.0 100.0 - 97.6 93.3
Lea Holmes - 30 27.8 16.0 6.5 1.3 1.1 2.4 2.8 12.2 12.2 -35 -0.9 -1.1 53.7 0.0 72.9 -0.14 57.3 53.7
Maddie Voelker - 30 30.2 13.8 4.6 0.8 0.3 0.2 1.8 10.6 7.2 4 0.1 0.2 42.9 36.9 82.4 0.08 57.8 53.3
Ella Miller - 30 25.6 7.0 6.5 1.8 0.9 0.8 1.5 5.9 9.7 2 0.1 0.1 46.0 30.8 82.1 0.9 54.4 50.6
Alexa Kolnitys - 16 27.8 6.9 3.1 1.1 1.2 0.2 2.8 6.4 3.3 25 1.0 1.3 37.9 28.9 61.3 0.07 47.2 44.2
Lexie Bowers - 30 19.2 4.9 2.3 1.2 0.9 0.1 1.6 5.0 2.7 -45 -1.2 -1.4 35.6 35.0 65.0 0.22 46.6 45.0
Maelyn Mcnealy - 4 20.5 4.0 2.8 0.5 1.2 0.0 1.8 3.8 3.0 -17 -0.4 -0.5 40.0 44.4 0 -0.04 53.3 53.3
Taryn Jackson - 28 11.3 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.6 1.9 1.7 -19 -0.7 -1.2 41.5 38.9 63.2 0.04 51.3 48.1
Savannah Fellenbaum - 30 6.9 1.7 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.9 1.1 -13 -0.4 -1.1 35.7 18.8 56.2 0.14 41.2 38.4
Grace Isenhath - 23 2.3 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.8 6 0.3 1.1 60.0 0.0 33.3 0.11 57.4 60.0
Mackenzie Bell - 30 4.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 -11 -0.6 -2.0 40.0 35.3 0.0 -0.22 48.6 52.0
Ava Muschong - 29 1.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 - - - 26.7 25.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Raegan Lauinger - 29 2.4 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 -5 -0.4 -2.7 28.6 0 25.0 -0.1 28.5 28.6
Peyton Richter - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kate Stemmer - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -20 -2.9 -4.6 0 0 0 0.03 0 0
Emma Trombly - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.08 0 0
Avery Parker - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 64 1.6 2.9 0 0 0 0.21 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG