Northwood
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1017 (#216) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1118 (#96) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1015 (#218) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.7 (#117) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.0 (#159) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.351 (#412) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.690 (#233) | NetEff +7.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.683 (#308) | AdjNet +6.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.690 (#310) | AdjNet +6.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.614 (#313) | AdjO 79.4 | AdjD 74.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.664 (#91) | AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 72.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.723 (#120) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.706 (#126) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1102 (#116) | RD 93 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | @ | Western Mich. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Ferris St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Lake Superior St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Great Lake Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Wayne St. (MI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Kuyper | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Roosevelt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Tiffin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Ashland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Hillsdale | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Findlay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Thomas More | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Saginaw Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Walsh | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-05 | vs | Malone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Thomas More | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Lake Erie | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Cedarville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Ohio Dominican | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Grace Christian (MI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Ashland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Malone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Walsh | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Young II | - | 22 | 32.4 | 17.6 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 14.6 | 7.8 | 28 | 1.6 | 26.2 | 45.5 | 32.5 | 69.4 | 0.24 | 54.1 | 51.2 |
| Parker Day | - | 23 | 28.3 | 16.3 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 11.2 | 13.7 | -65 | -3.0 | -14.8 | 49.0 | 35.6 | 81.0 | 2.07 | 60.0 | 53.1 |
| Jamison Eklund | - | 22 | 29.1 | 13.9 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 10.2 | 10.1 | -54 | -2.6 | -11.2 | 49.6 | 30.4 | 82.2 | -0.04 | 59.7 | 54.9 |
| John Simpson | - | 19 | 20.8 | 11.3 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 6.1 | 9.8 | -13 | -0.7 | -4.5 | 64.7 | 47.1 | 77.8 | -0.54 | 72.5 | 68.1 |
| Brayden Szamrej | - | 21 | 29.4 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 6.3 | 6.3 | -73 | -3.6 | -21.3 | 39.8 | 28.2 | 90.9 | -0.96 | 51.2 | 47.4 |
| John Sweeney | - | 23 | 16.9 | 6.7 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4.0 | 9.2 | -55 | -2.5 | -22.9 | 56.5 | 35.1 | 76.6 | 1.05 | 67.9 | 63.6 |
| Julian Lewis | - | 21 | 24.2 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 6.5 | 3.4 | -84 | -4.0 | -25.5 | 29.4 | 24.4 | 66.7 | -0.36 | 39.3 | 37.1 |
| Ethan Dunn | - | 5 | 8.5 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.4 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 52.9 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 0.94 | 57.3 | 52.9 |
| Delos Rossell | - | 3 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 72.7 | 75.0 |
| Andrew Smith | - | 23 | 10.8 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 19 | 0.9 | 5.2 | 32.7 | 36.6 | 80.0 | -0.53 | 51.5 | 48.0 |
| Jamonte Smith | - | 23 | 10.8 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 98 | 4.9 | 25.3 | 29.6 | 28.6 | 85.7 | -0.92 | 39.9 | 33.3 |
| Miles Jackson | - | 15 | 8.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 1.5 | -40 | -3.1 | -37.7 | 32.3 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -0.63 | 40.0 | 37.1 |
| Jaiden Krynicki | - | 5 | 6.6 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0.01 | 20.2 | 21.4 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG