Northwood
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1057 (#92) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1133 (#76) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1015 (#218) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.8 (#66) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.0 (#159) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.351 (#412) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.690 (#233) | NetEff +7.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.683 (#308) | AdjNet +6.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.690 (#310) | AdjNet +6.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.614 (#313) | AdjO 79.4 | AdjD 74.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.664 (#91) | AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 72.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.723 (#120) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.706 (#126) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1103 (#116) | RD 93 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | @ | Western Mich. | W | 85 - 81 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Ferris St. | W | 97 - 71 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Lake Superior St. | L | 81 - 83 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Great Lake Christian | W | 102 - 55 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Wayne St. (MI) | L | 73 - 79 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Kuyper | W | 93 - 59 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Roosevelt | W | 92 - 82 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Tiffin | W | 58 - 46 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Ashland | L | 81 - 85 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Hillsdale | W | 87 - 73 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Findlay | L | 81 - 93 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Thomas More | W | 102 - 100 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Saginaw Valley | W | 82 - 80 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Walsh | W | 80 - 75 |
| 2026-01-05 | vs | Malone | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Thomas More | L | 71 - 75 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 63 - 69 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Lake Erie | W | 100 - 96 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Cedarville | L | 82 - 101 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Ohio Dominican | W | 78 - 69 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Grace Christian (MI) | W | 104 - 73 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Ashland | L | 63 - 81 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Malone | L | 65 - 67 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Walsh | L | 65 - 74 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Young II | - | 23 | 32.4 | 17.3 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 14.5 | 7.9 | 28 | 1.6 | 26.2 | 44.9 | 32.5 | 67.4 | 2.37 | 53.5 | 50.7 |
| Parker Day | - | 24 | 28.2 | 16.5 | 7.6 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 11.3 | 13.7 | -65 | -3.0 | -14.8 | 49.4 | 35.5 | 80.8 | -1.45 | 60.2 | 53.5 |
| Jamison Eklund | - | 23 | 29.3 | 13.9 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 10.3 | 10.0 | -54 | -2.6 | -11.2 | 48.5 | 29.3 | 83.3 | 3.42 | 58.8 | 53.6 |
| John Simpson | - | 20 | 20.7 | 11.3 | 4.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 9.8 | -13 | -0.7 | -4.5 | 65.9 | 47.1 | 77.8 | -3.38 | 73.1 | 69.1 |
| Brayden Szamrej | - | 22 | 29.3 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 6.3 | 6.3 | -73 | -3.6 | -21.3 | 38.8 | 28.0 | 84.6 | -0.14 | 50.2 | 46.4 |
| John Sweeney | - | 24 | 16.8 | 6.7 | 5.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4.1 | 9.0 | -55 | -2.5 | -22.9 | 56.1 | 32.5 | 75.5 | 1.33 | 66.9 | 62.8 |
| Julian Lewis | - | 22 | 24.1 | 5.8 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 6.5 | 4.0 | -84 | -4.0 | -25.5 | 30.6 | 26.6 | 68.2 | -3.37 | 41.6 | 39.2 |
| Ethan Dunn | - | 6 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 4.2 | - | - | - | 52.9 | 0.0 | 71.4 | - | 57.3 | 52.9 |
| Delos Rossell | - | 3 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 72.7 | 75.0 |
| Andrew Smith | - | 24 | 10.5 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 19 | 0.9 | 5.2 | 32.7 | 36.6 | 80.0 | 1.95 | 51.5 | 48.0 |
| Jamonte Smith | - | 24 | 11.1 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 98 | 4.9 | 25.3 | 29.1 | 28.6 | 87.5 | 4.05 | 40.3 | 32.7 |
| Miles Jackson | - | 15 | 8.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 1.5 | -40 | -3.1 | -37.7 | 32.3 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -0.58 | 40.0 | 37.1 |
| Jaiden Krynicki | - | 5 | 6.6 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 16.7 | 0.0 | - | 20.2 | 21.4 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG