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Northwestern-St. Paul

Also known as: Northwestern-St. Paul
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1025 (#188) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1074 (#132) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +0.4 (#185) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.727 (#347) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +15.9 More → 0.888 (#84) NetEff +15.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.7 More → 0.395 (#412) AdjNet -3.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.8 More → 0.389 (#411) AdjNet -3.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 66.7 More → 0.435 (#415) AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 66.7

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 @ Buena Vista W 62 - 59
2024-11-13 @ Hamline L 54 - 59
2024-11-16 vs Luther L 59 - 83
2024-11-20 @ Minnesota St. L 57 - 104
2024-11-26 vs Carleton W 56 - 42
2024-12-07 vs Maranatha Baptist W 99 - 27
2024-12-11 @ Wis.-Eau Claire L 54 - 62
2024-12-14 @ Gustavus Adolphus L 50 - 74
2024-12-20 @ Concordia Chicago W 80 - 56
2024-12-21 vs Wis.-Oshkosh L 35 - 79
2024-12-30 vs Neb. Wesleyan W 93 - 37
2024-12-31 vs Augsburg W 61 - 46
2025-01-08 vs Bethany Lutheran W 68 - 61
2025-01-11 vs North Central (MN) W 73 - 49
2025-01-15 @ Martin Luther L 68 - 72
2025-01-18 @ Minn.-Morris W 77 - 68
2025-01-22 vs Wis.-Superior L 63 - 69
2025-01-25 @ Crown (MN) W 65 - 50
2025-01-29 @ Northland W 104 - 30
2025-02-01 vs Martin Luther W 88 - 64
2025-02-05 @ Wis.-Superior W 76 - 69
2025-02-08 vs Minn.-Morris W 67 - 64
2025-02-12 @ Bethany Lutheran L 74 - 79
2025-02-15 @ North Central (MN) W 67 - 53
2025-02-19 vs Northland W 98 - 35
2025-02-22 vs Crown (MN) W 73 - 57
2025-02-26 vs Bethany Lutheran W 79 - 66
2025-03-01 @ Wis.-Superior L 47 - 53
2025-03-19 @ Ozarks (MO) L 54 - 77
2025-03-20 @ Clinton W 90 - 64
2025-03-21 @ Houghton W 76 - 52

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alex Rondorf - 1 27.0 15.0 7.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 12.0 13.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 0.91 62.5 62.5
Kayce Vaile - 1 24.0 14.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 11.0 - - - 54.5 0 100.0 1.06 58.9 54.5
Lexi Hagen - 30 26.7 12.9 6.3 0.8 1.0 0.3 1.3 11.0 9.1 - - - 42.3 33.7 85.0 0.16 54.1 50.8
Jasmine Sondrol - 31 28.4 11.9 4.9 2.1 1.0 1.7 1.4 9.7 10.5 - - - 45.4 41.4 67.9 0.99 54.8 52.2
Ella Falk - 31 28.4 11.2 5.3 1.8 1.0 0.3 1.4 9.2 8.9 - - - 46.7 33.3 83.0 0.01 56.4 53.3
Taylor Christenson - 31 28.0 8.5 2.2 2.6 1.2 0.1 2.0 7.0 5.5 - - - 40.1 40.4 78.1 0.41 53.4 48.8
Grace Landvik - 30 26.0 8.3 5.1 3.2 1.7 0.2 2.3 8.0 8.1 - - - 32.0 25.0 78.0 0.33 43.5 35.3
Allison Forney - 1 9.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 - - - 75.0 66.7 0 - 100.0 100.0
Kate Huml - 1 15.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 3.0 107 2.6 3.1 50.0 33.3 0 0.58 58.3 58.3
Sammi Beyer - 1 25.0 7.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 166 4.0 5.0 33.3 33.3 100.0 1.43 50.9 41.7
Mallory Hoitink - 1 12.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 26 0.9 3.1 66.7 50.0 100.0 -0.02 90.2 83.3
Reese Sellers - 31 20.5 6.9 2.1 1.6 1.4 0.0 1.4 5.9 4.6 42 1.2 1.6 43.4 40.6 63.6 -0.27 55.6 54.7
Paige Seckar - 1 9.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 140 3.4 4.7 100.0 0 50.0 1.03 86.8 100.0
Avery Poole - 1 10.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 187 4.6 5.6 100.0 0 50.0 1.44 86.8 100.0
Lexi Garcia - 31 14.9 4.0 2.0 0.5 1.1 0.1 0.6 4.5 2.6 51 1.4 1.4 29.3 26.4 72.0 0.1 40.7 37.5
Mallory Lindsey - 1 16.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 53 2.4 13.0 33.3 33.3 0 0.54 50.0 50.0
Ryann Eddy - 28 12.5 2.3 2.4 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.4 3.1 2.0 -5 -0.3 -0.6 26.4 18.4 64.3 -0.48 34.3 31.6
Mahra Wieman - 1 6.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 24 1.0 4.4 25.0 0.0 0 -0.02 25.0 25.0
Mayah Holzhueter - 1 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 2 0.1 1.2 33.3 0.0 0 0.12 33.3 33.3
Sarah Hardwick - 1 19.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 136 3.3 4.1 50.0 0 0 1.25 50.0 50.0
Ashlyn Knapp - 1 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Allison Terry - 24 6.7 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.1 0.7 1.2 1.7 - - - 36.7 14.3 71.4 -0.21 48.4 38.3
Brenna Vogel - 31 3.3 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.2 0.6 -20 -1.1 -3.4 25.0 23.5 77.8 -0.15 41.0 30.6
Reese Schmidt - 31 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 -17 -1.4 -1.7 47.8 50.0 64.7 -0.25 55.8 50.0
Makenzie Anderstrom - 27 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.4 19 2.4 10.2 58.8 0 66.7 0.18 62.8 58.8
Caroline West - 29 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 - - - 33.3 20.0 50.0 - 40.5 38.9
Stella Multerer - 23 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 - - - 20.0 0.0 100.0 - 44.4 20.0
Emily Ashton - 20 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Karley Loven - 16 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -20 -2.5 -6.6 0 0 0 0.14 0 0
River Landers - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Hope Barington - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -3.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.36 0.0 0.0
Julia Magnuson - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Olivia Argall - 1 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 36 1.6 5.4 0.0 0 0 0.65 0.0 0.0
Jada Aliesa - 1 2.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG