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Northwestern-St. Paul

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Northwestern-St. Paul
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 845 (#475) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 825 (#457) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -9.6 (#266) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.515 (#454) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.6 More → 0.570 (#251) NetEff +2.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.6 More → 0.228 (#507) AdjNet -10.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.9 More → 0.220 (#512) AdjNet -10.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 80.2 More → 0.322 (#514) AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 80.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 @ Hamline L 72 - 94
2024-11-12 vs Bethel (MN) L 73 - 84
2024-11-16 @ St. Scholastica W 85 - 78
2024-11-19 @ Macalester W 83 - 72
2024-11-23 vs St. Olaf W 85 - 58
2024-11-29 @ Neb. Wesleyan L 57 - 81
2024-11-30 @ Central (IA) L 76 - 84
2024-12-07 vs Maranatha Baptist W 108 - 60
2024-12-11 vs Wis.-Eau Claire L 58 - 76
2024-12-14 vs Carleton L 74 - 78
2024-12-17 @ Augsburg W 85 - 77
2025-01-08 vs Bethany Lutheran W 91 - 82
2025-01-11 vs North Central (MN) W 87 - 82
2025-01-15 @ Martin Luther L 72 - 82
2025-01-18 @ Minn.-Morris W 71 - 69
2025-01-22 vs Wis.-Superior W 82 - 72
2025-01-25 @ Crown (MN) L 91 - 94
2025-01-29 @ Northland W 85 - 66
2025-02-01 vs Martin Luther W 87 - 67
2025-02-05 @ Wis.-Superior L 78 - 87
2025-02-08 vs Minn.-Morris L 73 - 78
2025-02-12 @ Bethany Lutheran L 83 - 90
2025-02-15 @ North Central (MN) W 92 - 87
2025-02-19 vs Northland W 86 - 65
2025-02-22 vs Crown (MN) W 83 - 73
2025-02-26 @ Minn.-Morris W 87 - 77
2025-03-01 vs Bethany Lutheran L 84 - 90

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Japheth Nyamari - 26 32.4 18.5 3.9 1.3 1.0 0.0 1.7 15.2 7.8 -29 -1.9 -2.8 44.9 36.0 80.0 0.17 55.7 52.4
AJ Greene - 27 30.1 13.1 4.1 1.8 1.6 0.2 0.9 12.1 7.8 -84 -3.5 -8.5 46.0 27.3 71.4 0.65 50.8 48.8
Soren Anderson - 27 28.2 11.3 8.1 2.0 0.6 0.4 1.5 7.6 13.3 -16 -1.1 -1.7 61.2 18.2 63.0 0.53 63.1 61.7
Elijah Burns - 26 25.9 10.0 4.8 1.4 0.9 0.1 1.3 8.6 7.3 -31 -2.4 -3.6 44.8 36.6 65.7 0.3 51.3 48.2
Caden Stevens - 27 18.4 8.6 3.9 1.1 0.3 1.7 1.1 7.0 7.5 11 1.2 3.9 49.2 42.1 65.9 0.56 55.4 53.4
Lewis Wolbert - 26 18.5 8.4 3.5 2.2 0.7 0.0 0.8 6.6 7.4 24 3.0 7.6 50.3 20.0 89.4 0.56 57.1 51.8
Noah Frazell - 27 17.0 7.0 2.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.1 5.0 4.9 -22 -1.4 -9.1 44.9 34.9 88.1 0.44 60.8 55.5
Kelton Vincent - 27 22.1 3.4 2.0 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.9 3.4 3.7 -53 -4.4 -7.0 36.3 25.0 84.2 0.04 46.8 42.3
Noah Deedrick - 26 4.3 1.4 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.4 -2 -0.5 -126.3 35.9 33.3 100.0 -1.46 45.1 43.6
Mateo Cortes Weiss - 26 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 - - - 71.4 100.0 0.0 - 80.6 85.7
Drew Beckman - 27 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Owen Bernatz - 27 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.0 - - - 20.0 33.3 0 - 30.0 30.0
Jacob Hoefs - 26 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - 50.0 0 0.0 - 41.0 50.0
Lopemi Omole - 27 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Jonah Burnett - 25 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Blake Dalluge - 27 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Tait Deedrick - 27 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Tyson Misegades - 27 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Peter Norby - 27 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG