Northwestern State Lady Demons
Model Outputs
2004-2005
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 913 (#537) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 950 (#328) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.7 (#347) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.263 (#310) | - |
2005 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004-11-19 | vs | Southern Jaguars | W | 74 - 68 |
| 2004-11-23 | vs | East Texas A&M Lions | W | 78 - 62 |
| 2004-11-26 | @ | Chattanooga Mocs | L | 59 - 83 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ | Saint Mary's Gaels | L | 73 - 74 |
| 2004-12-02 | vs | LSU Shreveport Pilots | W | 86 - 51 |
| 2004-12-11 | vs | Arkansas-Monticello Boll Weevils | W | 102 - 79 |
| 2004-12-19 | @ | Texas A&M Aggies | L | 61 - 70 |
| 2004-12-21 | vs | Centenary (LA) Gentlemen | W | 79 - 55 |
| 2004-12-29 | vs | Jackson State Lady Tigers | L | 64 - 77 |
| 2004-12-30 | @ | South Alabama Jaguars | L | 54 - 77 |
| 2005-01-03 | @ | UL Monroe Warhawks | L | 41 - 56 |
| 2005-01-06 | @ | Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | L | 55 - 58 |
| 2005-01-08 | vs | UTSA Roadrunners | W | 54 - 49 |
| 2005-01-12 | @ | UT Arlington Mavericks | L | 60 - 75 |
| 2005-01-15 | vs | SE Louisiana Lady Lions | W | 80 - 63 |
| 2005-01-20 | @ | Texas State Bobcats | L | 76 - 81 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ | UTSA Roadrunners | W | 82 - 68 |
| 2005-01-29 | @ | Sam Houston Bearkats | W | 83 - 67 |
| 2005-02-03 | vs | Lamar Cardinals | W | 88 - 69 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ | McNeese Cowgirls | W | 85 - 80 |
| 2005-02-10 | vs | Nicholls Colonels | W | 82 - 65 |
| 2005-02-12 | vs | UL Monroe Warhawks | L | 64 - 70 |
| 2005-02-17 | @ | Lamar Cardinals | W | 74 - 71 |
| 2005-02-23 | @ | Nicholls Colonels | W | 62 - 50 |
| 2005-02-26 | vs | Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | W | 72 - 71 |
| 2005-03-02 | vs | Sam Houston Bearkats | W | 77 - 53 |
| 2005-03-04 | vs | McNeese Cowgirls | L | 72 - 77 |
| 2005-03-07 | vs | UTSA Roadrunners | W | 51 - 48 |
| 2005-03-09 | @ | UT Arlington Mavericks | L | 45 - 74 |
2005 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Wallace
|
- | 14 | 26.9 | 12.4 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 9.9 | 7.1 | - | - | - | 43.5 | 38.3 | 75.0 | - | 55.6 | 51.8 |
C. Lee
|
- | 15 | 25.3 | 9.8 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 7.4 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 43.2 | 30.4 | 73.3 | - | 53.5 | 46.4 |
B. Allen
|
- | 15 | 19.3 | 8.3 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 5.4 | 6.1 | - | - | - | 51.9 | 0.0 | 63.1 | - | 57.0 | 51.9 |
J. Spencer
|
- | 15 | 18.2 | 8.0 | 5.6 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5.8 | 8.5 | - | - | - | 60.9 | 0 | 51.9 | - | 60.7 | 60.9 |
T. Mitchell
|
- | 15 | 21.9 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 4.7 | 8.7 | - | - | - | 42.3 | 48.6 | 85.7 | - | 60.6 | 54.2 |
K. Forges
|
- | 15 | 12.5 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 4.9 | 3.6 | - | - | - | 50.7 | 20.8 | 80.0 | - | 58.9 | 54.1 |
T. Hancock
|
- | 15 | 17.8 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4.8 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 38.9 | 28.3 | 81.5 | - | 54.2 | 47.9 |
K. Jones
|
- | 15 | 18.6 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 3.9 | 5.7 | - | - | - | 44.8 | 77.8 | 66.7 | - | 56.9 | 50.9 |
A. Dyer
|
- | 15 | 11.9 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 51.9 | 0 | 71.4 | - | 59.6 | 51.9 |
C. Bargeman
|
- | 15 | 14.1 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 4.5 | 3.2 | - | - | - | 32.4 | 25.7 | 80.0 | - | 43.6 | 39.0 |
D. Bell
|
- | 15 | 11.0 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 4.1 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 54.8 | - | 53.7 | 50.0 |
G. Tyer
|
- | 4 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 47.5 | 40.0 |
K. Hancock
|
- | 7 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 28.2 | 12.5 |
M. Ross
|
- | 14 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 21.4 | 25.0 | 66.7 | - | 33.1 | 25.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG